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NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) Hit a 52 Week High, Can the Run Continue?

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Have you been paying attention to shares of Nvidia (NVDA - Free Report) ? Shares have been on the move with the stock up 32.1% over the past month. The stock hit a new 52-week high of $746.11 in the previous session. Nvidia has gained 45.9% since the start of the year compared to the 9.6% move for the Zacks Computer and Technology sector and the 32% return for the Zacks Semiconductor - General industry.

What's Driving the Outperformance?

The stock has a great record of positive earnings surprises, as it hasn't missed our earnings consensus estimate in any of the last four quarters. In its last earnings report on November 21, 2023, Nvidia reported EPS of $4.02 versus consensus estimate of $3.36 while it beat the consensus revenue estimate by 11.9%.

For the current fiscal year, Nvidia is expected to post earnings of $20.25 per share on $59 billion in revenues. Meanwhile, for the next fiscal year, the company is expected to earn $23.18 per share on $91.26 billion in revenues. This represents a year-over-year change of 64.37% and 54.69%, respectively.

Valuation Metrics

Nvidia may be at a 52-week high right now, but what might the future hold for the stock? A key aspect of this question is taking a look at valuation metrics in order to determine if the company has run ahead of itself.

On this front, we can look at the Zacks Style Scores, as these give investors a variety of ways to comb through stocks (beyond looking at the Zacks Rank of a security). These styles are represented by grades running from A to F in the categories of Value, Growth, and Momentum, while there is a combined VGM Score as well. The idea behind the style scores is to help investors pick the most appropriate Zacks Rank stocks based on their individual investment style.

Nvidia has a Value Score of F. The stock's Growth and Momentum Scores are A and A, respectively, giving the company a VGM Score of B.

In terms of its value breakdown, the stock currently trades at 35.7X current fiscal year EPS estimates, which is a premium to the peer industry average of 26.9X. On a trailing cash flow basis, the stock currently trades at 232.2X versus its peer group's average of 17.1X. Additionally, the stock has a PEG ratio of 2.64. This isn't enough to put the company in the top echelon of all stocks we cover from a value perspective.

Zacks Rank

We also need to look at the Zacks Rank for the stock, as this supersedes any trend on the style score front. Fortunately, Nvidia currently has a Zacks Rank of #2 (Buy) thanks to favorable earnings estimate revisions from covering analysts.

Since we recommend that investors select stocks carrying Zacks Rank of 1 (Strong Buy) or 2 (Buy) and Style Scores of A or B, it looks as if Nvidia meets the list of requirements. Thus, it seems as though Nvidia shares could still be poised for more gains ahead.


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