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International Markets and Agco (AGCO): A Deep Dive for Investors

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Have you evaluated the performance of Agco's (AGCO - Free Report) international operations for the quarter ending March 2024? Given the extensive global presence of this farm equipment maker, analyzing the patterns in international revenues is crucial for understanding its financial strength and potential for growth.

In the current global economy, which is more interconnected than ever, a company's success in penetrating international markets is crucial for its financial health and growth journey. Investors must understand a company's dependence on overseas markets, as this offers a window into the company's earnings stability, its ability to benefit from varied economic cycles and its potential for long-term growth.

Participation in global economies acts as a defense against economic difficulties at home and a pathway to more rapidly developing economies. However, it also comes with the complexities of dealing with fluctuating currencies, geopolitical risks and different market dynamics.

In our recent assessment of AGCO's quarterly performance, we discovered notable trends in its overseas revenue sections, which are typically modeled and scrutinized by Wall Street analysts.

The company's total revenue for the quarter amounted to $2.93 billion, marking a decrease of 12.1% from the year-ago quarter. We will next turn our attention to dissecting AGCO's international revenue to get a clearer picture of how significant its operations are outside its main base.

Decoding AGCO's International Revenue Trends

Europe/Middle East generated $1.73 billion in revenues for the company in the last quarter, constituting 59.0% of the total. This represented a surprise of +7.74% compared to the $1.6 billion projected by Wall Street analysts. Comparatively, in the previous quarter, Europe/Middle East accounted for $2.26 billion (59.4%), and in the year-ago quarter, it contributed $1.7 billion (51.1%) to the total revenue.

During the quarter, Asia/Pacific/Africa contributed $166.7 million in revenue, making up 5.7% of the total revenue. When compared to the consensus estimate of $197.07 million, this meant a surprise of -15.41%. Looking back, Asia/Pacific/Africa contributed $238 million, or 6.3%, in the previous quarter, and $202.8 million, or 6.1%, in the same quarter of the previous year.

Of the total revenue, $303.4 million came from South America during the last fiscal quarter, accounting for 10.4%. This represented a surprise of -13.27% as analysts had expected the region to contribute $349.83 million to the total revenue. In comparison, the region contributed $412 million, or 10.8%, and $503.8 million, or 15.1%, to total revenue in the previous and year-ago quarters, respectively.

Prospective Revenues in International Markets

The current fiscal quarter's total revenue for Agco, as projected by Wall Street analysts, is expected to reach $3.58 billion, reflecting a decline of 6.3% from the same quarter last year. The breakdown of this revenue by foreign region is as follows: Europe/Middle East is anticipated to contribute 53% or $1.9 billion, Asia/Pacific/Africa 6.4% or $229.28 million and South America 14.3% or $512.83 million.

Analysts expect the company to report a total annual revenue of $13.63 billion for the full year, marking a decrease of 5.5% compared to last year. The expected revenue contributions from Europe/Middle East, Asia/Pacific/Africa and South America are projected to be 53.2% ($7.25 billion), 6.5% ($886.27 million) and 14.5% ($1.98 billion) of the total revenue, in that order.

Concluding Remarks

Agco's reliance on international markets for revenues offers both opportunities and risks. Hence, keeping an eye on its international revenue trends could significantly help forecast the company's prospects.

In a world where international interdependencies and geopolitical conflicts are ever-increasing, Wall Street analysts closely monitor these trends for companies having international presence to adjust their earnings forecasts. Of course, there are several other factors, including a company's standing within its home borders, that influence analysts' earnings forecasts.

At Zacks, a company's changing earnings outlook is given considerable attention due to its proven, strong influence on a stock's price performance in the near term. The connection here is straightforward and positive: when earnings estimates are revised upward, the stock price generally follows suit, increasing as well.

The Zacks Rank, our proprietary stock rating tool, comes with an externally validated impressive track record. It effectively utilizes shifts in earnings projections to act as a dependable barometer for forecasting short-term stock price trends.

Currently, Agco holds a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold), signifying its potential to match the overall market's performance in the forthcoming period. You can see the complete list of today's Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy) stocks here >>>>

Reviewing Agco's Recent Stock Price Trends

Over the preceding four weeks, the stock's value has diminished by 8.6%, against a downturn of 1.6% in the Zacks S&P 500 composite. In parallel, the Zacks Industrial Products sector, which counts Agco among its entities, has depreciated by 4.1%. Over the past three months, the company's shares have seen a decline of 2.8% versus the S&P 500's 3.8% increase. The sector overall has witnessed an increase of 5.5% over the same period.


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