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Tale of the Tape

Zacks Equity Research

Why Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings (OLLI) Could Beat Earnings Estimates Again
September 27, 2016


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Looking for a stock that might be in a good position to beat earnings at its next report? Consider Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. (OLLI - Snapshot Report) , a firm in the Consumer Products Miscellaneous Staples, which could be a great candidate for another beat.

This company has seen a nice streak of beating earnings estimates, especially when looking at the previous two reports. In fact, in these reports, OLLI has beaten estimates by at least 15% in both cases, suggesting it has a nice short-term history of crushing expectations.

Earnings in Focus

Two quarters ago, OLLI expected to post earnings of 17 cents per share, while it actually produced earnings of 20 cents per share, a beat of 17.6%. Meanwhile, for the most recent quarter, the company looked to deliver earnings of 18 cents per share, when it actually saw earnings of 21 cents per share instead, representing a 16.7% positive surprise.

OLLIES BGN OUTL Price and EPS Surprise


Thanks in part to this history, recent estimates have been moving higher for Ollie’s Bargain Outlet Holdings. In fact, the Earnings ESP for OLLI is positive, which is a great sign of a coming beat.

After all, the Zacks Earnings ESP compares the most accurate estimate to the broad consensus, looking to find stocks that have seen big revisions as of late, suggesting that analysts have recently become more bullish on the company’s earnings prospects. This is the case for OLLI, as the firm currently has a Zacks Earnings ESP of 7.14%, so another beat could be around the corner.

This is particularly true when you consider that OLLI has a great Zacks Rank #2 (Buy) which can be a harbinger of outperformance and a signal for a strong earnings profile. You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here.

When you add this solid Zacks Rank to a positive Earnings ESP, a positive earnings surprise happens nearly 70% of the time, so it seems pretty likely that OLLI could see another beat at its next report, especially if recent trends are any guide.

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