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Smartsheet (SMAR) Soars to 52-Week High, Time to Cash Out?

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Shares of Smartsheet (SMAR - Free Report) have been strong performers lately, with the stock up 8.5% over the past month. The stock hit a new 52-week high of $51.42 in the previous session. Smartsheet has gained 3.2% since the start of the year compared to the 16.5% move for the Zacks Computer and Technology sector and the 13.4% return for the Zacks Internet - Software industry.

What's Driving the Outperformance?

The stock has a great record of positive earnings surprises, as it hasn't missed our earnings consensus estimate in any of the last four quarters. In its last earnings report on September 5, 2024, Smartsheet reported EPS of $0.44 versus consensus estimate of $0.29 while it beat the consensus revenue estimate by 0.86%.

For the current fiscal year, Smartsheet is expected to post earnings of $1.26 per share on $1.12 billion in revenues. This represents a 48.24% change in EPS on a 16.7% change in revenues. For the next fiscal year, the company is expected to earn $1.54 per share on $1.28 billion in revenues. This represents a year-over-year change of 22.45% and 14.7%, respectively.

Valuation Metrics

Smartsheet may be at a 52-week high right now, but what might the future hold for the stock? A key aspect of this question is taking a look at valuation metrics in order to determine if the company is due for a pullback from this level.

On this front, we can look at the Zacks Style Scores, as these give investors a variety of ways to comb through stocks (beyond looking at the Zacks Rank of a security). These styles are represented by grades running from A to F in the categories of Value, Growth, and Momentum, while there is a combined VGM Score as well. The idea behind the style scores is to help investors pick the most appropriate Zacks Rank stocks based on their individual investment style.

Smartsheet has a Value Score of F. The stock's Growth and Momentum Scores are A and A, respectively, giving the company a VGM Score of B.

In terms of its value breakdown, the stock currently trades at 39.3X current fiscal year EPS estimates, which is a premium to the peer industry average of 28.8X. On a trailing cash flow basis, the stock currently trades at 5X versus its peer group's average of 22.9X. Additionally, the stock has a PEG ratio of 1.16. This isn't enough to put the company in the top echelon of all stocks we cover from a value perspective.

Zacks Rank

We also need to look at the Zacks Rank for the stock, as this supersedes any trend on the style score front. Fortunately, Smartsheet currently has a Zacks Rank of #1 (Strong Buy) thanks to favorable earnings estimate revisions from covering analysts.

Since we recommend that investors select stocks carrying Zacks Rank of 1 (Strong Buy) or 2 (Buy) and Style Scores of A or B, it looks as if Smartsheet fits the bill. Thus, it seems as though Smartsheet shares could still be poised for more gains ahead.

How Does SMAR Stack Up to the Competition?

Shares of SMAR have been soaring, and the company still appears to be a decent choice, but what about the rest of the industry? One industry peer that looks good is Box, Inc. (BOX - Free Report) . BOX has a Zacks Rank of # 2 (Buy) and a Value Score of C, a Growth Score of B, and a Momentum Score of A.

Earnings were strong last quarter. Box, Inc. beat our consensus estimate by 10%, and for the current fiscal year, BOX is expected to post earnings of $1.63 per share on revenue of $1.09 billion.

Shares of Box, Inc. have gained 20.2% over the past month, and currently trade at a forward P/E of 20.09X and a P/CF of 38.31X.

The Internet - Software industry is in the top 34% of all the industries we have in our universe, so it looks like there are some nice tailwinds for SMAR and BOX, even beyond their own solid fundamental situation.


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