Back to top

Image: Bigstock

CAVA Stock Trades at Premium Value: Should You Buy, Sell or Hold?

Read MoreHide Full Article

CAVA Group, Inc. (CAVA - Free Report) is currently trading at a forward 12-month price-to-sales ratio of 10.92X compared with the Zacks Retail-Restaurant industry’s average of 3.86X and the broader Retail-Wholesale sector’s 1.42X.

P/S (F12M)

 

Zacks Investment Research
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research

 

The stock has surged a staggering 168.2% over the past year, dwarfing the industry’s modest 3.9% growth and the S&P 500’s 23% rally. CAVA has outpaced other industry players like Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc.’s (CMG - Free Report) 24.3% rise, Domino's Pizza, Inc.’s (DPZ - Free Report) 2.2% dip and Restaurant Brands International Inc.’s (QSR - Free Report) 22.4% slip in the past year.

Price Performance

 

Zacks Investment Research
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research

 

Estimate Revision Favors CAVA

Analysts are increasingly bullish on CAVA’s prospects. Over the past 60 days, the Zacks Consensus Estimate for fiscal 2025 earnings per share has been revised upward by 17.3% from 52 cents to 61 cents. This optimism is underpinned by expectations of earnings and revenue growth of 24.7% and 22.9%, respectively, in fiscal 2025.


 

Zacks Investment Research
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research

 

CAVA’s impressive performance highlights its ability to outshine industry peers and capture investor attention. However, its elevated valuation, underscored by the sharp contrast with industry and sector averages, signals high expectations for continued success. While this positions CAVA as a compelling growth story, it also serves as a cautionary tale for investors weighing potential rewards against risks at these lofty levels.

Let us explore the key drivers propelling CAVA’s remarkable ascent and why it stands out in the competitive restaurant sector.

Decoding Tailwinds Behind CAVA’s Rally

Recently, CAVA partnered with Olympic gold medalist Gabby Thomas to launch three limited-time menu items, aligning with its Mediterranean-inspired vision of flavorful, wellness-focused dining. The collaboration emphasizes balanced nutrition and abundant living, resonating with Thomas’s high-performance lifestyle as she trains for the U.S. Nationals and World Championships. This strategic partnership reinforces CAVA's brand positioning as a go-to fast-casual option for health-conscious consumers, potentially driving stronger customer engagement and incremental sales as it enters 2025 with momentum. Investors will watch closely to see how this marketing push impacts the company's growth trajectory.

CAVA's disciplined expansion strategy has been a major growth driver. The company plans to achieve at least 17% unit growth in 2025, supported by its robust restaurant pipeline. The latest market entries, such as South Florida and additional Midwest regions, will complement its established and growing markets. Notably, restaurant openings continue to exceed expectations, reinforcing the brand's scalability and broad appeal.

In 2025, CAVA anticipates maintaining restaurant-level margins in line with 2024 actuals. Any additional operational leverage will be reinvested to enhance support for team members and improve the guest experience. The company boasts a solid financial position with zero debt, a strong free cash flow and improving margins.

CAVA’s focus on culinary innovation has been a critical differentiator. Successful product launches, such as Garlic Ranch Pita Chips and steak options, have driven incremental sales and enhanced customer engagement. Management’s innovation pipeline across menu categories promises to maintain excitement and repeat visits.

The nationwide rollout of CAVA’s loyalty program has already boosted sales. Program enhancements are expected to deepen guest relationships, increase frequency and drive transaction volumes.

CAVA is leveraging technology and new labor models to optimize operations. The labor scheduling initiative ensures team members are strategically positioned during peak hours, enhancing guest experience and boosting sales, particularly in lower-volume stores. Early testing of AI-powered kitchen tools also points to improved productivity, consistency and service speed.

Brand awareness has grown significantly since CAVA’s IPO, particularly among younger demographics like Gen Z and Gen Alpha. The company’s ability to align its Mediterranean cuisine with health-conscious and adventurous dining trends positions it as a leader in an emerging category poised for long-term growth.

How to Play the CAVA Stock?

CAVA has established itself as a standout in the competitive restaurant industry, driven by expansions, innovative menu offerings and a strong focus on customer engagement. Its partnership with Olympic gold medalist Gabby Thomas aligns with its Mediterranean-inspired vision, reinforcing its appeal to health-conscious consumers. With disciplined growth, culinary innovation and technology-driven operational improvements, CAVA continues to deliver a compelling value proposition.

The company’s rising brand awareness among younger demographics and robust financial health position it as a promising long-term growth story, making it an attractive investment for those seeking exposure to the evolving fast-casual dining landscape. CAVA currently has a Zacks Rank #2 (Buy).

You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here.

Published in