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Vornado Stock Surges 41.5% in Six Months: Will the Trend Last?
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Shares of Vornado Realty Trust (VNO - Free Report) have surged 41.5% in the past six months, outperforming its industry’s decline of 2.4%.
This office real estate investment trust (REIT) owns a concentration of high-quality office properties strategically located in markets of New York, Chicago and San Francisco. It is poised to benefit from tenants’ healthy demand for premier office spaces with class-apart amenities. A healthy balance sheet position supports its growth endeavors.
Analysts seem positive about this Zacks Rank #3 (Hold) company. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for its 2024 funds from operations (FFO) per share has been revised one cent upward over the past two months to $2.16.
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research
Let us decipher the possible factors behind the rise in the stock price and see whether this positive trend will last or not.
Vornado's focus on having assets in a few select high-rent, high-barrier-to-entry markets, along with a diversified tenant base that includes several industry bellwethers, are expected to drive steady cash flows and fuel its growth over the long term.
The office-using job growth and the expansion of technology, finance, media and other firms are set to bolster rental revenues in the forthcoming quarters. Moreover, office occupiers remain keen to grow their office footprints in New York. During the third quarter of 2024, the company, in its New York office portfolio, leased 454,000 square feet at an initial rent of $92.32 per square foot.
Rents in the newly constructed or best-in-class redeveloped assets, which offer ample amenities at transit-centric locations, have risen. Hence, the company is well-positioned to benefit from this emerging trend.
Vornado is making opportunistic developments and divestitures in addition to business spin-offs. Strategic sell-outs provide the company with the dry powder to reinvest in opportunistic developments and redevelopments. Moreover, in the first nine months of 2024, Vornado sold two condominium units at 220 Central Park South (CPS) for net proceeds of around $31.6 million. Hence, timely portfolio-repositioning initiatives are likely to drive growth over the long term.
Vornado enjoys solid balance sheet strength. As of Sept. 30, 2024, the company had $2.6 billion of liquidity, consisting of $1 billion of cash and cash equivalents and restricted cash, and $1.6 billion available under its $2.2 billion revolving credit facilities. Further, apartment sales at 220 CPS are likely to add to its cash balance and enhance financial strength. A flexible financial position will enable it to take advantage of future investment opportunities and fund its development projects.
Risks Likely to Affect VNO’s Positive Trend
However, with persistent macroeconomic uncertainty and a hybrid working environment, near-term demand for office spaces is expected to remain choppy.
The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Cousins Properties’ 2024 FFO per share is pinned at $2.68, which suggests year-over-year growth of 2.3%.
The Zacks Consensus Estimate for SL Green’s 2024 FFO per share stands at $7.78, which indicates an increase of 57.5% from the year-ago period.
Note: Anything related to earnings presented in this write-up represents funds from operations (FFO) — a widely used metric to gauge the performance of REITs.
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Vornado Stock Surges 41.5% in Six Months: Will the Trend Last?
Shares of Vornado Realty Trust (VNO - Free Report) have surged 41.5% in the past six months, outperforming its industry’s decline of 2.4%.
This office real estate investment trust (REIT) owns a concentration of high-quality office properties strategically located in markets of New York, Chicago and San Francisco. It is poised to benefit from tenants’ healthy demand for premier office spaces with class-apart amenities. A healthy balance sheet position supports its growth endeavors.
Analysts seem positive about this Zacks Rank #3 (Hold) company. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for its 2024 funds from operations (FFO) per share has been revised one cent upward over the past two months to $2.16.
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research
Let us decipher the possible factors behind the rise in the stock price and see whether this positive trend will last or not.
Vornado's focus on having assets in a few select high-rent, high-barrier-to-entry markets, along with a diversified tenant base that includes several industry bellwethers, are expected to drive steady cash flows and fuel its growth over the long term.
The office-using job growth and the expansion of technology, finance, media and other firms are set to bolster rental revenues in the forthcoming quarters. Moreover, office occupiers remain keen to grow their office footprints in New York. During the third quarter of 2024, the company, in its New York office portfolio, leased 454,000 square feet at an initial rent of $92.32 per square foot.
Rents in the newly constructed or best-in-class redeveloped assets, which offer ample amenities at transit-centric locations, have risen. Hence, the company is well-positioned to benefit from this emerging trend.
Vornado is making opportunistic developments and divestitures in addition to business spin-offs. Strategic sell-outs provide the company with the dry powder to reinvest in opportunistic developments and redevelopments. Moreover, in the first nine months of 2024, Vornado sold two condominium units at 220 Central Park South (CPS) for net proceeds of around $31.6 million. Hence, timely portfolio-repositioning initiatives are likely to drive growth over the long term.
Vornado enjoys solid balance sheet strength. As of Sept. 30, 2024, the company had $2.6 billion of liquidity, consisting of $1 billion of cash and cash equivalents and restricted cash, and $1.6 billion available under its $2.2 billion revolving credit facilities. Further, apartment sales at 220 CPS are likely to add to its cash balance and enhance financial strength. A flexible financial position will enable it to take advantage of future investment opportunities and fund its development projects.
Risks Likely to Affect VNO’s Positive Trend
However, with persistent macroeconomic uncertainty and a hybrid working environment, near-term demand for office spaces is expected to remain choppy.
Stocks to Consider
Some better-ranked stocks from the broader REIT sector are Cousins Properties (CUZ - Free Report) and SL Green Realty (SLG - Free Report) , each carrying a Zacks Rank #2 (Buy) at present. You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank stocks here.
The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Cousins Properties’ 2024 FFO per share is pinned at $2.68, which suggests year-over-year growth of 2.3%.
The Zacks Consensus Estimate for SL Green’s 2024 FFO per share stands at $7.78, which indicates an increase of 57.5% from the year-ago period.
Note: Anything related to earnings presented in this write-up represents funds from operations (FFO) — a widely used metric to gauge the performance of REITs.