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Should You Hold on to Total System (TSS) Stock Right Now?

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Shares of Total System Services, Inc. gained 4.5% over the past three months, as against 1.4% loss for the Zacks categorized Financial Transaction Services industry.

It is difficult to get too excited about this stock given a number of concerns including the impact of the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau’s (CFPB) new rules on prepaid industry. However, looking at the company’s strong fundamentals, holding on to the stock might be a good idea for the investors.

Over the past 30 days, the Zacks Consensus Estimate for the stock remained unchanged at $2.64 for 2016 and $2.95 for 2017.



Factors to Influence the Stock Ahead

The Columbus, GA–based company continues to benefit from its long-term processing contracts as it focuses on retaining and acquiring clients. Further, it should benefit from the TransFirst acquisition which was completed in April this year. The acquisition strengthened Total System’s technology, scale, and distribution capabilities, as well as enhanced its access to high growth, strategically attractive vertical markets such as healthcare, business to business and not for profit.

Total System’s third-quarter 2016 results reflected solid growth in revenues. Notably, net revenue inched up 2.4% year over year in its North America segment. Further, it expects revenue growth for this segment to be at or slightly above 5% for the year.

Though the company reduced its overall net revenue guidance for 2016 in order to account for currency impact, the outlook still remains impressive. Revenues are expected in the range of $3.03–$3.05 billion, reflecting 21–22% growth.

Also, Total System reiterated its adjusted earnings per share guidance attributable to the company’s common shareholders from continuing operations in the range of $2.78–$2.85, but no longer expects the low-end of the range as previously projected.

Among others, free cash flow is expected in the range of $550–$570 million for the year, higher than the previous outlook of $510–$540 million.

However, impact of the CFPB’s new rules on prepaid released in Oct 2016, remains a key concern. Based on expected 2016 revenues, Total System estimates revenue loss between $80 million to $85 million due to the removal of certain fees and ceasing of optional overdraft protection on its current prepaid card programs. Also, with the Oct 1, 2017 implementation date, total revenue for 2017 will be negatively impacted by about $20–$25 million.

Among others, stiff competition and huge cash outlays on acquisition keep us cautious.

Total System carries a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold).

Stocks to Consider

E*TRADE Financial Corporation : Over the last 60 days, the Zacks Consensus Estimate for the current year increased 2.2% to $1.83 and advanced 6.9% to $1.87 for 2017. The company sports a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy).

Virtus Investment Partners, Inc. (VRTS - Free Report) : The Zacks Consensus Estimate for 2016 climbed 6.7% to $5.75 and 20.7% for to $7.88 for 2017. The company also boasts a Zacks Rank #1. You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank stocks here.

Meta Financial Group, Inc. (CASH - Free Report) : The Zacks Consensus Estimate inched up 11.8% for 2016 to $6.62 and 14.7% to $7.80 for 2017.  The company sports a Zacks Rank #1.

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