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BlackRock Shares Gain 12.6% in a Month: Is Now the Time to Buy BLK?

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The stock markets continue to witness volatility due to tariff-related uncertainties and their impact on the economy. Despite massive volatility, BlackRock Inc. (BLK - Free Report) , one of the leading global asset managers, has had a solid run on the bourses of late.
 
In the past month, BLK shares have risen 12.6%, outperforming the S&P 500 index and the Zacks Finance sector but underperforming the industry. Additionally, the stock has underperformed its close peers — SEI Investments (SEIC - Free Report) and Invesco Ltd. (IVZ - Free Report) .

One-Month BLK Price Performance

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Image Source: Zacks Investment Research

Given the uncertain and volatile backdrop, let us decipher whether BLK stock is worth betting on now.

Major Factors That Support BlackRock

Strategic Acquisitions: BlackRock has been expanding its footprint in domestic and global markets through acquisitions. In March 2025, it purchased Preqin, a premier independent provider of private markets data, for almost $3.2 billion in cash to enhance its private markets offerings.

In October 2024, BLK acquired Global Infrastructure Partners to enhance its infrastructure offerings and origination capabilities. In May 2024, it completed the buyout of the remaining 75% stake in SpiderRock, solidifying its separately managed accounts offerings. Additionally, in December 2024, the company announced a deal to acquire HPS Investment for $12.1 billion to foray deeper into the private credit market.

These buyouts reflect a strategic expansion of the company’s Aladdin technology business into the rapidly growing private markets data segment. In 2023, the company took over London-based Kreos Capital. Besides these, in the past, the company has acquired numerous firms across the globe, strengthening its presence and market share.
 
Product Diversification to Boost AUM: BlackRock has been focusing on diversifying its product suite and revenue mix, which has been improving its assets under management (AUM) over the years. The company’s inorganic growth strategy also contributed to AUM's growth.

AUM witnessed a five-year (2019-2024) compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 9.2%. The uptrend continued during the first quarter of 2025. As of March 31, 2025, BlackRock’s total AUM was a record $11.58 trillion, with net inflows of $83 billion. Last year, the company witnessed record net inflows of $641 billion, including industry-leading exchange-traded funds (ETF) net inflows of $390 billion. The momentum will likely continue as efforts to strengthen the iShares unit (offering more than 1,400 ETFs globally) and ETF operations (it received approval for spot Bitcoin and ether ETFs in January 2024) and enhanced focus on the active equity business are likely to offer support.

This February, Bloomberg reported that BlackRock plans to list an ETF product tied to Bitcoin in Europe. Last September, the company announced a collaboration with Partners Group to introduce a multi-private markets model solution, boosting retail investors’ accessibility to alternative investments.

Such product diversification efforts are likely to bolster the company’s revenue mix, reduce revenue concentration risk, and allow it to serve a broader range of clients, aiding AUM growth. The company’s GAAP revenues witnessed a CAGR of 7% over the last five years ended 2024, with momentum persisting in the first quarter of 2025.

Additionally, the combination of HPS Investment, Preqin and GIP data with BLK’s alternative asset management platform, eFront, will drive solid revenue growth in the quarters ahead.

Sales Estimates

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Image Source: Zacks Investment Research

However, the uncertainties surrounding the impact of tariff policies and geopolitical risks are likely to exert pressure on BlackRock’s revenues in the near term.

Impressive Capital Distributions: On the back of a solid balance sheet, BlackRock announced a 2% hike in the quarterly dividend to $5.21 per share in January 2025. BLK has increased its dividend five times in the last five years with an annualized dividend growth rate of 8.2%.

Also, the company has a 46% dividend payout ratio, while its peers, SEI Investments and Invesco, have 21% and 45% payout ratios, respectively.

Dividend Yield

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Also, BlackRock has a share repurchase plan in place. In the first quarter of 2025, the company repurchased $375 worth of shares. It aims to buy back shares worth $1.5 billion this year.

Bearish Analyst Sentiments for BLK

Over the past month, the Zacks Consensus Estimate for 2025 and 2026 earnings of $45.21 and $50.86 has been revised 4.6% and 5.8% downward, respectively.

Estimate Revision Trend

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Image Source: Zacks Investment Research

The projected figures imply growth of 3.7% and 12.5% for 2025 and 2026, respectively. (Find the latest EPS estimates and surprises on Zacks Earnings Calendar.)

How to Play BlackRock Stock Now

In terms of valuation, BLK’s price-to-book ratio (P/B) of 3.00X is lower than the industry's 3.58X. Thus, the stock is trading at a discount. This suggests that investors may be paying a lower price relative to the company's expected earnings growth.

Price-to-Book Ratio Trend

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On the other hand, SEI Investments has a P/B of 4.41X, which reflects that it is expensive compared with BLK, while Invesco's P/B of 0.57X indicates that it is trading at a discount.

BlackRock is well-positioned to capitalize on acquisitions and expand its presence in the fast-growing private markets. The record AUM level and product diversification efforts are other tailwinds for the company. Moreover, lower valuation compared to the industry is another positive.
 
Further, BlackRock’s growth initiatives have helped generate higher returns. This is demonstrated by the company’s return on equity (ROE) of 16.03% compared with the industry’s ROE of 12.53%.

Return on Equity Trend

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Image Source: Zacks Investment Research

However, a steady rise in expenses is a headwind. The company recorded a five-year CAGR of 7.4% (ended 2024), mainly due to higher general and administrative (G&A) costs. The uptrend continued in the first quarter of 2025. Overall costs are expected to remain elevated due to the company’s business expansion plans and persisting inflationary pressures. Management expects core G&A expenses in 2025 to increase in the mid to high-single-digit percentage range.

Further, given rising geopolitical risks, foreign currency fluctuations and the global impact of tariff policies, BlackRock is likely to witness subdued overseas revenues, which will likely weigh on its growth. This is reflected in the bearish analyst sentiments amid weakening growth prospects.

Thus, investors should watch out for these concerns and monitor how BlackRock integrates the acquisitions into its businesses and generates solid profits before making any investment decision. Those who already own the stock can sell it off to book profits.

Currently, BLK carries a Zacks Rank #4 (Sell). 

You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here.


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