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Luminex (LMNX) Down 4.4% Since Earnings Report: Can It Rebound?

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A month has gone by since the last earnings report for Luminex Corporation . Shares have lost about 4.4% in that time frame, underperforming the market.

Will the recent negative trend continue leading up to the stock's next earnings release, or is it due for a breakout? Before we dive into how investors and analysts have reacted as of late, let's take a quick look at its most recent earnings report in order to get a better handle on the important catalysts.

Luminex Posts Loss in Q4, Revenues Miss Estimates

Headquartered in Austin, TX, Luminex Corporation reported loss of $0.08 per share in the fourth quarter of 2016, comparing unfavorably with the Zacks Consensus Estimate of adjusted earnings of $0.04 per share. In fact, earnings declined almost 117% on a year-over-year basis.

However, revenues increased almost 19.6% year over year to $72.3 million, marginally ahead of the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $71 million. The year-over-year upside in revenues may be attributed to impressive systems sales, strong contribution from Nanosphere, strength in the Assay product portfolio and robust consumable sales.

For the full year, Luminex reported revenues of $270.6 million, up 13.9% on a year-over-year basis. Furthermore, the company reported earnings of $0.93 per share in 2016.

Quarter Highlights

Luminex is focused on fortifying its market leadership in infectious diseases with its flagship platform –– the ARIES system. The company is making noteworthy progress with the ARIES system, which represents a major revenue opportunity for the stock. Per management, Luminex is the only company that provides solutions to both targeted and syndromic testing in a lab.

In the quarter, Luminex received an approval from the U.S. FDA for the ARIES Group B Strep assay.

Luminex is well poised on the acquisition of Nanosphere -- a well known company in the healthcare economics space with a strong clientele engaged in the development of molecular diagnostic tools. Notably, Nanosphere contributed revenues of $9.5 million, up 39% on a year-over-year basis.

In the just reported quarter, Luminex announced that its ARIES System was awarded the R&D 100 Award at the 54th Annual R&D 100 Awards ceremony in Nov 2016. The award was presented by the R&D Magazine, following an international competition that honors the 100 best technologies of the year.

Quarter in Details

System sales jumped 12.4% on a year-over-year basis to $9.6 million. Notably, the company shipped 72 multiplexing analyzers in the reported quarter that led to higher system revenues. Here we note that system sales included the placement of the ARIES MAGPIX systems, LX systems, FLEXMAP 3D systems and Verigene System platforms as well.

Assay revenues grew 36.5% year over year. Sales of the infectious disease assay were approximately 78% of total assay sales in the quarter while genetic testing assays contributed 22%.

Coming to royalty revenues, sales at this segment increased roughly 7% on a year-over-year basis to approximately $10.2 million.

Consumables sales rose 5.1% to $11.1 million, primarily attributable to strong demand across the partner base of the company.

Margins

Adjusted gross margin was 61.2% in the reported quarter, compared to 71.8% a year ago. Per management, the contraction in gross margin can be majorly attributed to the acquisition of Nanosphere.

Coming to operating expenses along with the Nanosphere deal and related costs, expenses soared a massive 32% on a year-over-year basis. However, excluding Nanosphere, operating expenses climbed 7% from the year-ago quarter.

Financial Condition

The company ended the fourth quarter with approximately $93 million in cash and investments.

Guidance

Luminex reiterated its 2017 annual revenue guidance at the band of $295 million to $305 million.

The company projects first-quarter 2017 revenues in the range of $73 million to $75 million.

How Have Estimates Been Moving Since Then?

Analysts were quiet during the last two month period as none of them issued any earnings estimate revisions. In the past month, the consensus estimate has shifted by 22.22% due to these changes.

Luminex Corporation Price and Consensus

 

Luminex Corporation Price and Consensus | Luminex Corporation Quote

VGM Scores

Currently, Luminex's stock has an average Growth Score of 'C', however its Momentum is doing a lot better with an 'A'. Charting a somewhat similar path, the stock was allocated a grade of 'B' on the value side, putting it in the second quintile for this investment strategy.

Overall, the stock has an aggregate VGM Score of 'B'. If you aren't focused on one strategy, this score is the one you should be interested in.

Based on our scores, the stock is primarily suitable for momentum investors while also being suitable for those looking for value and to a lesser degree growth.

Outlook

The stock has a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold). We are expecting an inline return from the stock in the next few months.

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