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Will RXRX's Shift in Pipeline Focus Help Restore Investor Faith?

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Key Takeaways

  • RXRX dropped REC-994, REC-2282 and REC-3964 due to poor mid-stage study results and low efficacy.
  • The company is now focused on REC-4881, which showed a 43% polyp reduction in early phase II data.
  • RXRX is advancing REC-1245, REC-617, and REC-3565 as it refines its AI-driven drug development pipeline.

Recursion Pharmaceuticals (RXRX - Free Report) faced a massive setback in May 2025 after announcing the discontinuation of three key drug candidates — REC-994, REC-2282 and REC-3964 — due to disappointing results from mid-stage studies. REC-994 and REC-2282 were being developed for cerebral cavernous malformation and neurofibromatosis type II, respectively, but showed insufficient efficacy to justify further investment. Similarly, REC-3964, for Clostridioides difficile infection, was also shelved as the company opted to focus on areas with greater unmet needs. The move was part of a broader strategic pipeline reprioritization, but it shook investor confidence and led to a stock price decline.

In the wake of these terminations, Recursion Pharmaceuticals turned its attention to more promising candidates, including REC-4881, which is being evaluated for familial adenomatous polyposis in the phase Ib/II TUPELO study. Early data from the phase II portion showed a preliminary median 43% reduction in polyp burden by week 13. Additionally, half of the patients demonstrated a reduction in upper gastrointestinal disease severity. More comprehensive data from this study are expected in the second half of 2025.

Beyond REC-4881, Recursion Pharmaceuticalsis advancing other candidates to diversify and strengthen its pipeline. These include REC-1245, currently in a phase I/II DAHLIA study for biomarker-enriched solid tumors and lymphoma, with initial results anticipated in the first half of 2026. The company is also exploring REC-617 for advanced solid tumors and REC-3565 for B-cell malignancies in separate early-stage studies. While recent setbacks have dealt a blow to its near-term prospects, RXRX remains committed to leveraging its AI-driven platform to develop novel therapies, aiming to rebuild momentum through a refocused and streamlined clinical portfolio.

RXRX Faces Competitive Pressure in the TechBio Industry

In the TechBio space, Relay Therapeutics (RLAY - Free Report) and Schrödinger (SDGR - Free Report) are emerging as strong competitors to Recursion Pharmaceuticals, who also use AI-driven platforms to develop novel therapies. RLAY uses its Dynamo platform to target challenging protein structures and is on track to advance its lead investigational candidate, RLY-2608, into a phase III study for metastatic breast cancer. An early-stage study evaluating the candidate for a second indication, vascular malformations, is also currently underway.

Meanwhile, SDGR relies on a unique physics-based computational platform to design novel molecules, with its lead asset SGR-1505 in an early-stage study for B-cell malignancies. Schrödinger is also evaluating two other candidates, SGR-2921 and SGR-3515, in separate phase I studies for leukemia and solid tumors. Both Relay Therapeutics and Schrödinger are steadily building robust pipelines through cutting-edge approaches.

RXRX’sStock Price, Valuation & Estimate Movements

Year to date, RXRX shares have plunged 22% compared with the industry’s 1.1% decline. Recursion Pharmaceuticals has also underperformed the sector and the S&P 500 during the same time frame, as seen in the chart below.

RXRX Stock Underperforms the Industry, Sector & the S&P 500

Zacks Investment ResearchImage Source: Zacks Investment Research

Recursion Pharmaceuticals is trading at a discount to the industry, as seen in the chart below. Going by the price/book value ratio, the company’s shares currently trade at 2.29, which is less than 3.13 for the industry. The stock is trading significantly below its five-year mean of 3.57.

RXRX Stock Valuation

Zacks Investment ResearchImage Source: Zacks Investment Research

Loss estimates for 2025 have remained constant at $1.34 per share over the past 60 days. During the same time frame, RXRX’s 2026 loss per share estimates have narrowed from $1.21 to $1.08.

RXRX Estimate Movement

Zacks Investment ResearchImage Source: Zacks Investment Research

Recursion Pharmaceuticals currently carries a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold). You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here.


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