Back to top

Image: Shutterstock

Sysco Margins Pressured by Mix: Can Strategic Shifts Rebound?

Read MoreHide Full Article

Key Takeaways

  • SYY's Q3 gross profit fell 0.8% as margin dipped to 18.3% due to weak volume and mix pressure.
  • Margin mix skewed by strong national accounts and lower Sysco-branded product penetration.
  • New sourcing deals and local segment focus aim to improve margins in a tough operating environment.

Sysco Corporation (SYY - Free Report) experienced margin pressure in the third quarter of fiscal 2025, with gross profit falling 0.8% and gross margin contracting 35 basis points to 18.3%. Despite improved gross profit per case, overall margin was impacted by volume softness and an unfavorable shift in mix, specifically, stronger performance from lower-margin national accounts and reduced penetration of Sysco-branded products.

The company cited macroeconomic headwinds and declining restaurant traffic as primary factors behind the volume decline. In addition, national business outpaced local performance during the quarter, further skewing the mix. 

Strategic sourcing initiatives, expected to bolster gross margin, fell short of internal timelines in the quarter. Fewer deals were finalized than anticipated, due in part to the challenging operating environment. However, management stated that several sourcing agreements closed shortly after quarter-end and are expected to contribute in the near term.

Looking ahead, the company expects gross margin improvement supported by recently completed strategic sourcing agreements, which are set to take effect in the near term. These initiatives, part of a broader cost savings program, are anticipated to deliver incremental benefits. In addition, management is focused on improving mix through increased penetration of Sysco-branded products and renewed momentum in the local customer segment, both key to restoring margin quality.

The company noted that margin improvement will depend on executing planned cost-efficiency measures and gradually rebalancing its business mix. In a competitive environment with continued customer price sensitivity, aligning internal initiatives with market dynamics will be essential to supporting profitability and offsetting recent margin pressure.

Sysco’s Zacks Rank & Share Price Performance

Shares of this Zacks Rank #3 (Hold) company have risen 8.5% in the past three months, outperforming the industry and the broader Consumer Staples sector’s 3.7% and 0.3% decline, respectively. However, the stock underperformed the S&P 500 index, which advanced 16% over the same period.

SYY Stock's Past 3-Month Performance

Zacks Investment Research
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research

Closing the last trading session at $77.46, SYY stock is trading 5.8% below its 52-week high of $82.23 attained on Dec. 6, 2024. Technical indicators show the company’s strong performance. The stock is trading above its 50 and 200-day SMA (simple moving average) of $73.10 and $73.33, respectively, highlighting a continued uptrend. This technical strength, along with sustained momentum, indicates positive market sentiment and investors’ confidence in SYY’s financial health and growth prospects.

SYY Trades Above 50 and 200-Day SMA

Zacks Investment Research
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research

Is SYY a Value Play Stock?

Sysco currently trades at a forward 12-month P/E ratio of 16.44 compared with the industry average of 15.97. This valuation places the stock at a premium relative to peers, reflecting broader market expectations around its business stability and ability to navigate current cost and demand dynamics.

SYY P/E Ratio (Forward 12 Months)

Zacks Investment Research
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research

Some Solid Bets

TreeHouse Foods, Inc. (THS - Free Report) manufactures and distributes private-brands snacks and beverages in the United States and internationally and presently flaunts a Zacks Rank of 1 (Strong Buy). You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank stocks here

The Zacks Consensus Estimate for TreeHouse Foods’ current financial-year sales indicates growth of 0.4% from the year-ago numbers. THS delivered a trailing four-quarter earnings surprise of 58.8%, on average.

Post Holdings, Inc. (POST - Free Report) operates as a consumer-packaged goods holding company in the United States and internationally. It currently holds a Zacks Rank of 2 (Buy). POST delivered a trailing four-quarter earnings surprise of 22.9%, on average.

The consensus estimate for Post Holdings’ current fiscal-year earnings implies growth of 5.7% from the year-ago figures. 

BRF S.A. (BRFS - Free Report) raises, produces and slaughters poultry and pork for processing, production and sale of fresh meat, processed products, pasta, margarine, pet food and other products. It currently carries a Zacks Rank of 2. BRFS delivered a trailing four-quarter earnings surprise of 5.4%, on average.

The Zacks Consensus Estimate for BRF S.A.'s current fiscal-year sales and earnings indicates growth of 11.1% and 8.33%, respectively, from the prior-year levels.

Published in