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Here's Why Valero Energy (VLO) Fell More Than Broader Market

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Valero Energy (VLO - Free Report) closed the most recent trading day at $153.05, moving -1.14% from the previous trading session. The stock fell short of the S&P 500, which registered a loss of 0.33% for the day. At the same time, the Dow lost 0.63%, and the tech-heavy Nasdaq lost 0.22%.

Shares of the oil refiner witnessed a gain of 15.96% over the previous month, beating the performance of the Oils-Energy sector with its gain of 4.04%, and the S&P 500's gain of 4.07%.

The investment community will be closely monitoring the performance of Valero Energy in its forthcoming earnings report. The company is scheduled to release its earnings on July 24, 2025. The company's upcoming EPS is projected at $1.75, signifying a 35.42% drop compared to the same quarter of the previous year. Meanwhile, our latest consensus estimate is calling for revenue of $27.83 billion, down 19.3% from the prior-year quarter.

For the annual period, the Zacks Consensus Estimates anticipate earnings of $6.18 per share and a revenue of $115.71 billion, signifying shifts of -27.12% and -10.91%, respectively, from the last year.

Investors might also notice recent changes to analyst estimates for Valero Energy. Such recent modifications usually signify the changing landscape of near-term business trends. As a result, we can interpret positive estimate revisions as a good sign for the business outlook.

Research indicates that these estimate revisions are directly correlated with near-term share price momentum. To take advantage of this, we've established the Zacks Rank, an exclusive model that considers these estimated changes and delivers an operational rating system.

The Zacks Rank system, running from #1 (Strong Buy) to #5 (Strong Sell), holds an admirable track record of superior performance, independently audited, with #1 stocks contributing an average annual return of +25% since 1988. Within the past 30 days, our consensus EPS projection has moved 1.37% higher. As of now, Valero Energy holds a Zacks Rank of #3 (Hold).

From a valuation perspective, Valero Energy is currently exchanging hands at a Forward P/E ratio of 25.03. This signifies a premium in comparison to the average Forward P/E of 18.64 for its industry.

Meanwhile, VLO's PEG ratio is currently 2.7. The PEG ratio is akin to the commonly utilized P/E ratio, but this measure also incorporates the company's anticipated earnings growth rate. By the end of yesterday's trading, the Oil and Gas - Refining and Marketing industry had an average PEG ratio of 1.75.

The Oil and Gas - Refining and Marketing industry is part of the Oils-Energy sector. This group has a Zacks Industry Rank of 187, putting it in the bottom 25% of all 250+ industries.

The Zacks Industry Rank assesses the strength of our separate industry groups by calculating the average Zacks Rank of the individual stocks contained within the groups. Our research shows that the top 50% rated industries outperform the bottom half by a factor of 2 to 1.

Remember to apply Zacks.com to follow these and more stock-moving metrics during the upcoming trading sessions.


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