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Innodata Trades 29% Below 52-Week High: Buy, Sell, or Hold the Stock?

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Key Takeaways

  • INOD expects 2025 revenues to rise 40% year over year to $238.6 million on growing enterprise demand.
  • Innodata signed deals with eight Big Tech firms for LLM data work, including five of the Magnificent 7.
  • Shares trade above 50- and 200-day SMAs, but premium valuation and near-term margin pressure pose risks.

Innodata (INOD - Free Report) shares closed at $50.10 on Thursday, roughly 29.4% below the 52-week high of $71 it hit on Feb. 21, 2025. INOD shares have appreciated 26.8% year to date (YTD), outperforming the Zacks Computer and Technology sector’s return of 8.6% and the Zacks Computer – Services industry’s return of 0.9%.

Innodata shares have outperformed closest competitors, such as Cognizant (CTSH - Free Report) , Infosys (INFY - Free Report) and ExlService (EXLS - Free Report) YTD, shares of which have dropped 1.8%, 15.8% and 4.3%, respectively, over the same timeframe. 

Innodata benefits from massive investment promises made by the “Magnificent 7,” including Microsoft’s $80 billion and Meta Platforms’ $64-$72 billion. The data engineering company plans to invest in AI technology, supporting both current and prospective customers, as well as an expanding salesforce. In the second quarter of 2025, Innodata plans to invest $2 billion to support its largest customer.

INOD Stock’s Performance

 

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Image Source: Zacks Investment Research

 

Innodata shares are now trading above the 50-day and 200-day moving averages, indicating a bullish trend.

 

INOD Trades Above the 50-Day and 200-day SMAs

 

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Image Source: Zacks Investment Research

 

However, INOD’s plan to invest in new programs before revenue realization is expected to weigh on near-term margins. Innodata targets an adjusted gross margin of 40%, which is significantly lower than the 43% reported in the first quarter of 2025 and the 41% in the year-ago quarter. Revenues from the largest customer are expected to decline 5% sequentially in the second quarter, which is a headwind.

So, what should investors do with INOD stock? Let’s dig deep to find out.

Expanding Clientele to Boost INOD’s Prospects

Innodata benefits from expanding Generative AI (Gen AI) capabilities for enterprises in 2025 and beyond. Contracts with eight Big Tech for Large Language Models (LLMs) data engineering, including five of the “Magnificent 7” that position INOD for strong growth. 

Innodata serves the Gen AI IT services market that is expected to be worth $200 billion by 2029, offering significant growth prospects. The company is building the capability to collect and create Gen AI training data as LLMs become more complex and advanced. INOD continues to invest in expanding languages like Arabic and French within domains like math and chemistry, for which the company is creating LLM training data and performing reinforcement learning.

The company is expanding relationships with key customers, including a second master statement of work with its largest client, tapping a separate, significantly larger budget. The company secured approximately $8 million in new engagements from four of its other Big Tech customers. Formerly, small accounts are showing material expansion opportunities into multi-million-dollar bookings.

INOD is onboarding several major clients, including top global firms in enterprise tech, cloud software, digital commerce and healthcare technology, each with significant growth potential. New customer acquisitions are expected to provide meaningful upside to both the top and bottom lines. The company expects 2025 revenues to jump 40% year over year to $238.6 million, driven by an expanding clientele. 

INOD’s latest Generative AI Test & Evaluation Platform, a new suite designed to help enterprises assess the safety and reliability of LLMs. Built on NVIDIA’s NIM microservices, the platform supports hallucination detection, adversarial prompt testing and domain-specific risk benchmarking across text, image, audio and video inputs, helping organizations build more trustworthy AI.

Earnings Estimate Revisions Trend Steady for INOD

The Zacks Consensus Estimate for second-quarter 2025 earnings is pegged at 11 cents per share, unchanged over the past 60 days. Innodata reported break-even earnings in the year-ago quarter. 
 

 

The consensus mark for 2025 earnings is pegged at 69 cents per share, unchanged over the past 60 days, suggesting a 22.47% year-over-year decline.

Valuation: INOD Shares Trading at a Premium

Innodata shares are trading at a premium, as suggested by the Value Score of F. 

INOD stock is trading at a premium, with a forward 12-month Price/Sales of 5.84X compared with the Zacks Computer Services industry’s 1.76X.

Innodata shares are trading at a premium compared to its closest peers, including Cognizant, Infosys and EXLService. In terms of the forward 12-month P/S, Cognizant, Infosys and EXLService are trading at 1.75X, 3.81X and 3.17X, respectively.

Price/Sales Ratio (F12M)

 

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Image Source: Zacks Investment Research

 

Conclusion

For current shareholders, holding the stock may be justified given Innodata’s strong positioning in the growing generative AI safety domain and impressive revenue growth prospects. However, new investors might benefit from patience as the INOD stock remains overvalued.

Innodata currently has a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold), suggesting that it may be wise to wait for a more favorable entry point to start accumulating the stock. You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here.

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