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Prairie Operating Co. Leans Heavily on Cash Flow Discipline

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Key Takeaways

  • PROP plans to fund drilling and expansion with internal cash flow, avoiding near-term debt reliance.
  • The company targets over 10% production growth while maintaining strong capital efficiency.
  • Hedging strategy aims to shield 50% of reserves, supporting a risk-managed cash flow.

DJ Basin operator Prairie Operating Co. (PROP - Free Report) is shaping its growth story around disciplined cash flow deployment. With no near-term debt maturities and a firm emphasis on liquidity, PROP aims to fund drilling activity and expansion efforts primarily through internally generated cash flow. The company’s financial strategy revolves around stability, reducing leverage, keeping operational costs lean, and avoiding overreliance on capital markets.

PROP’s focus on free cash flow reinvestment is central to its development playbook. Management is targeting over 10% production growth through the drill-bit, all while maintaining capital efficiency. It’s a strategy designed to preserve balance sheet strength without sacrificing operating momentum. The company also employs a hedging program aimed at protecting cash flow from market volatility, with a long-term goal of hedging about 50% of its reserve base.

In the DJ Basin, PROP’s acreage offers a strong platform to deliver competitive returns, allowing it to deploy capital in a calculated manner. Cost-conscious operations and superior full-cycle economics give PROP the breathing room to make steady progress without excessive financial strain. The cash flow-centric model, underpinned by organic growth and strategic acquisitions, keeps the company well-positioned to manage risk and deliver shareholder value in a measured, sustainable way.

PROP’s DJ Basin Strategy Stands Out

Oil production in Colorado’s DJ Basin dates back to the 1970s, but activity has surged in recent years thanks to the involvement of major players like Chevron (CVX - Free Report) and Civitas Resources (CIVI - Free Report) . Both companies played a critical role in unlocking the basin’s potential, bringing capital, technology, and scale to the region. However, Chevron and Civitas Resources have since turned their attention elsewhere, opening up a rare window of opportunity.

Chevron is now focused on high-return global assets and deeper Permian Basin exposure, while Civitas Resources has aggressively shifted its drilling inventory to the Permian, where it now controls over 1,200 locations. With Chevron expanding globally and Civitas Resources consolidating in other basins, competition in the DJ has cooled, leaving Prairie Operating Co. with enough space to execute.

This diversification by Chevron and Civitas Resources makes Prairie Operating Co.’s strategy especially compelling. With 157 permits and more than 586 gross locations, Prairie is carving out a meaningful position in a basin where consolidation has often commanded a premium.

The Zacks Rundown on Prairie Operating Co.

Shares of Prairie Operating Co. have lost nearly 40% so far this year, while the Oil/Energy sector has remained relatively stable.

Zacks Investment Research Image Source: Zacks Investment Research

From a valuation perspective — in terms of forward price-to-sales ratio — Prairie Operating Co. is trading at a discount compared to the industry average. 

Zacks Investment Research Image Source: Zacks Investment Research

See how the Zacks Consensus Estimate for Prairie Operating Co.’s earnings has been revised over the past 60 days.

Zacks Investment Research Image Source: Zacks Investment Research

The stock currently carries a Zacks Rank #5 (Strong Sell).

You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here.


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