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OKTA Trades 25% Below 52-Week High: Right Time to Buy the Stock?

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Key Takeaways

  • OKTA has gained 21.3% YTD, outperforming major peers and its sector amid robust product demand.
  • An expanding AI-powered security suite and 7,000+ integrations are driving customer and revenue growth.
  • OKTA raised FY26 EPS guidance to $3.23-$3.28 from $3.15-$3.20.

Okta (OKTA - Free Report) shares closed at $95.63 on Wednesday, roughly 25% below the 52-week high of $127.57 it hit on May 16, 2025. Okta shares have appreciated 21.3% year to date, outperforming the Zacks Computer and Technology sector’s return of 10.1% and the Zacks Security industry’s increase of 19.7%.

Okta shares have outperformed peers, including CyberArk (CYBR - Free Report) , Cisco Systems (CSCO - Free Report) and Microsoft (MSFT - Free Report) year to date. CyberArk, Cisco, and Microsoft shares have appreciated 12.9%, 15.9% and 20%, respectively.

An innovative portfolio and rich partner base are helping Okta shares outperform. The company benefits from strong demand for its new products, including Identity Governance, Privileged Access, Device Access, Fine Grained Authorization, Identity Security Posture Management, and Identity Threat Protection with Okta AI. Okta’s offerings include Okta AI, a suite of AI-powered capabilities embedded across several products, which empowers organizations to harness AI to build better experiences and protect against cyberattacks.

OKTA Stock’s Performance

 

Zacks Investment Research
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research

 

Okta’s strong liquidity is a key catalyst. The company ended the first quarter of fiscal 2026 with $2.73 billion in cash, cash equivalents, short-term, and long-term investments. Net cash provided by operations was $241 million in the first quarter of fiscal 2026, while free cash flow was $238 million. For fiscal 2026, Okta raised free cash flow margin guidance to roughly 27%.

However, the company is facing a challenging macroeconomic condition and stiff competition in the Identity and Access management domain, which is expected to hurt prospects. 

Okta shares are overvalued, as suggested by the Value Score of D. In terms of forward Price/Cash Flow, OKTA is trading at 22.51X compared with the broader sector’s 22.03X and Cisco’s 20.6X, suggesting a premium valuation. 

However, in comparison to Microsoft and CyberArk, Okta is cheap. Microsoft is trading at 28.88X while CyberArk is trading at 73.58X.

Price/Cash Flow

 

Zacks Investment Research
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research

 

So, what should investors do with Okta stock at the current level? Let’s dig deep into its fundamentals to gain some insight.

OKTA to Benefit From Innovation, Rich Partner Base

Okta is expanding its security portfolio with the launch of a new protocol, Cross App Access, which helps in securing AI agents. End users ultimately benefit as the latest protocol removes repetitive authorization consent screens and manages agent access for better security and compliance. The latest protocol reflects Okta’s commitment to protecting its customers deploying AI. The company’s focus on protecting non-human identities (NHIs) and developers building secure agents is noteworthy. 

Okta is benefiting from a rich partner base that includes the likes of Amazon Web Services, CrowdStrike, Google, LexisNexis Risk Solutions, Microsoft, Netskope, Palo Alto Networks, Plaid, Proofpoint, Salesforce, ServiceNow, VMware, Workday, Yubico and Zscaler. The company has more than 7,000 integrations with cloud, mobile, and web applications and IT infrastructure providers as of April 30, 2025.

OKTA’s innovative portfolio and rich partner base are helping the company win clients. It exited first-quarter fiscal 2026 with roughly 20,000 customers, reflecting strong growth prospects for subscription revenues. Customers with more than $100 thousand in Annual Contract Value increased by 70 sequentially to 4,870. The combined governance portfolio of Okta Identity Governance, Lifecycle Management, and Workflows has surged 400% over the past three years to nearly $40 billion at the end of the fiscal first quarter.

OKTA’s FY26 Guidance Reflects Slowing Federal Business

For fiscal 2026, OKTA still expects revenues between $2.85 billion and $2.86 billion, indicating 9-10% growth from the figure reported in fiscal 2025. Uncertainty in the federal business, along with challenging macroeconomic conditions, is a headwind for the company. 

However, Okta expects fiscal 2026 non-GAAP earnings between $3.23 and $3.28 per share, up from previous guidance between $3.15 and $3.20 per share. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Okta’s earnings has increased 9 cents over the past 60 days to $3.28 per share. The earnings figure suggests 16.73% growth over the figure reported in fiscal 2025.
 

Okta, Inc. Price and Consensus

Okta, Inc. Price and Consensus

Okta, Inc. price-consensus-chart | Okta, Inc. Quote

 

Okta expects second-quarter fiscal 2026 revenues between $710 million and $712 million, indicating 10% year-over-year growth. The current portion of the company’s remaining performance obligations is expected in the 10-11% range. 

Okta anticipates non-GAAP earnings between 83 cents and 84 cents per share. For second-quarter fiscal 2026, the Zacks Consensus Estimate for OKTA’s earnings has increased by a nickel to 84 cents per share over the past 60 days. The earnings figure suggests 16.67% year-over-year growth.

Conclusion

Despite a challenging macroeconomic condition, anticipated sluggishness in federal business and a stretched valuation, Okta rides on an innovative portfolio and an expanding clientele.

Okta currently has a Zacks Rank #2 (Buy) and a Growth Score of A, a favorable combination that offers a strong investment opportunity, per the Zacks Proprietary methodology. You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here.

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