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Robinhood's Lofy Valuation: A Vote of Confidence or Cautionary Tale?

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Key Takeaways

  • HOOD trades at 67.23X forward P/E, far above the industry average of 14.81X and peers like SCHW and IBKR.
  • Robinhood is expanding globally with product launches, crypto acquisitions and a probable Asia-Pacific hub.
  • HOOD is diversifying beyond trading into advisory, wealth management, banking and prediction markets.

Robinhood Markets’ (HOOD - Free Report) shares are trading at a massive premium to the industry. At present, the company has a forward price/earnings (P/E) of 67.23X compared with the industry average of 14.81X.

Price-to-Earnings F12M
 

Zacks Investment Research
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research

Further, HOOD stock looks expensive compared with its peers -- Charles Schwab (SCHW - Free Report) and Interactive Brokers (IBKR - Free Report) . Schwab and Interactive Brokers have a forward P/E of 19.40X and 32.26X, respectively.

With the stock trading at a premium, this has raised a question in everyone’s mind: whether the valuation is rooted in optimism over its long-term growth or detached from its current fundamentals. With expanding product offerings and a growing user base, is the market right to bet big on HOOD? Let’s find out.

Robinhood: A Global Innovative Player

Robinhood has evolved significantly since the meme stock frenzy of early 2021, emerging as a serious competitor to established online brokerage players like Interactive Brokers and Schwab. The company intends to become a one-stop shop for building generational wealth globally.

To align with its goal of becoming an international player, the company has unveiled several products and services, including tokenized U.S. stock and exchange-traded fund (ETF) for European Union (EU) investors and an advanced desktop platform, Robinhood Legend, in the U.K., following its launch in the United States in October 2024. 

Moreover, in May, HOOD announced an agreement to acquire Canada-based WonderFi Technologies Inc. Besides granting regulatory footing in Canada, the transaction strengthens the company’s position in a rapidly growing crypto market. 

These efforts align with Robinhood’s ambition to become a global player as the company looks to expand its presence beyond the Americas and Europe into the Asia-Pacific region. During its first Investor Day conference in December 2024, CEO Vlad Tenev mentioned that the company will set up a new office in Singapore in 2025, which will serve as HOOD’s headquarters for the region.

The company is likely to launch digital asset trading in Singapore soon, having completed the acquisition of Luxembourg-based Bitstamp, a globally recognized cryptocurrency exchange. The deal provides Robinhood with the requisite regulatory approvals, positioning the company to enter Singapore’s expanding digital assets market.

HOOD’s Business Diversifying Efforts

Robinhood has evolved from a brokerage firm primarily trading in digital assets to a more mature and diversified entity, striving to widen its market and reach. Looking at the numbers, in 2021, it mainly relied on transaction-based revenues (almost 75% of total revenues) to generate income. In 2024, this came down to nearly 56%.

Other initiatives by Robinhood reflect its ambition to become a comprehensive financial services provider. In March, the company launched Robinhood Strategies, Robinhood Banking and Robinhood Cortex, a suite of new features, to boost the wealth management offerings for its Robinhood Gold members. Further, it launched the prediction markets hub, allowing customers to trade on the outcomes of several major global events. Initially, the hub will be available across the United States through KalshiEX LLC, a Commodity Futures Trading Commission-regulated exchange.

Event contracts gained traction when Robinhood launched them in October 2024, just before the U.S. Presidential elections. Similarly, Interactive Brokers has been actively expanding its event contract offerings to capitalize on rising demand. In April, it launched prediction markets in Canada. Like HOOD, it first introduced event contracts in October 2024, starting with the U.S. election results.

Further, in February, Robinhood acquired Gainesville, FL-based TradePMR, a custodial (having $40 billion in assets under administration) and portfolio management platform specializing in services for Registered Investment Advisors. The company gained immediate credibility and resources to cater to wealthier investors seeking advisory solutions. By foraying into the advisory space, the company now directly competes with established players like Schwab and Fidelity Investments.

Moreover, in July 2024, Robinhood acquired Pluto Capital Inc. With the integration of Pluto’s advanced capabilities, HOOD is set to revolutionize the investment experience for its users. Also, as part of a diversification effort, the company launched a credit card (expanding into the consumer finance space).

Cryptocurrencies: A Vital Tailwind for Robinhood

Robinhood’s focus on the cryptocurrency space, through increased tokenization, enhanced platform capabilities and expansion into EU markets, is expected to drive greater cost efficiency and revenue growth. The company is actively pursuing Markets in Crypto-Assets Regulation (MiCA) licenses, which would enable it to offer crypto services across the European Economic Area, expanding its reach to 27 countries.

The acquisition of Bitstamp and the impending WonderFi deal align with this broader strategy. Bitstamp’s core spot exchange, offering more than 85 tradable assets, will significantly strengthen Robinhood’s crypto product suite. Meanwhile, WonderFi brings two of Canada’s leading regulated crypto platforms — Bitbuy and Coinsquare — with more than C$2.1 billion in assets under custody. These will enable Robinhood to provide trading, staking and custody services.

As the platform diversifies and enhances its offerings, Robinhood’s cryptocurrency revenues are well-positioned for growth, supported by increasing investor interest in crypto as both a return-generating and diversification tool. Currently, Robinhood supports many major cryptocurrencies — Bitcoin, Ethereum, Dogecoin, Litecoin, Solana and Toncoin.

HOOD Rewards Shareholders

In 2024, Robinhood announced a share buyback plan (for the first time) to repurchase up to $1 billion of its outstanding common stock. In April, the company increased its existing authorization by $500 million to $1.5 billion. 

As of April 30, 2025, approximately $833 million worth of shares remained available for repurchase. HOOD plans to complete the remainder of its total authorization over roughly the next two years.

Robinhood is on solid ground, with significant cash reserves. As of March 31, 2025, it reported cash and cash equivalents of $4.42 billion.

Litigation & Probes Surrounding Robinhood

Robinhood operates in a highly regulated industry and is subject to the scrutiny of numerous authorities. This exposes the company to regulatory risks, resulting in hefty fines and restrictions that may affect its growth prospects.

Earlier this month, Florida Attorney General James Uthmeier initiated an investigation into Robinhood Crypto, LLC, a subsidiary of Robinhood, for alleged violation of the state’s Deceptive and Unfair Practices Act by falsely promoting its platform as the most affordable one to buy crypto. The company is also under investigation by Lithuania's central bank, its lead regulator in the EU, regarding its newly launched tokenized equity products. 
 
Moreover, between 2023 and 2025, Robinhood faced multiple regulatory setbacks, including a $45 million fine in January 2025 for securities law violations and a $26 million FINRA settlement in March over identity verification failures. It also paid $3.9 million in 2024 for crypto withdrawal issues and $7.5 million in 2023 after losing a Massachusetts court case tied to product oversight and marketing practices.

These regulatory actions highlight ongoing compliance and oversight challenges faced by Robinhood.

HOOD’s Earnings Estimates & Price Performance

Over the past month, the Zacks Consensus Estimate for 2025 and 2026 has been revised upward to $1.31 and $1.68, respectively. This reflects a bullish sentiment among analysts.

Estimate Revision Trend
 

Zacks Investment Research
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research

The Zacks Consensus Estimate for HOOD’s earnings implies 20.2% and 28.1% year-over-year growth in 2025 and 2026, respectively. 

Further, Robinhood shares have surged an impressive 173.65% this year, driven by rising investor confidence in its strategic growth initiatives and a more favorable regulatory outlook for cryptocurrencies. The rally also reflects broader optimism around the mainstream adoption of digital assets and Robinhood’s positioning to capitalize on that trend.

As such, HOOD stock has outperformed the industry’s rally of 22.4%. Meanwhile, shares of Schwab gained 30.4%, while Interactive Brokers jumped 46.5%.

HOOD’s YTD Price Performance
 

Zacks Investment Research
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research

Making Sense of Robinhood’s Premium Valuation

Robinhood’s premium valuation can be justified by its rapid transformation into a diversified, global financial services platform. The company has moved well beyond its roots in retail brokerage, expanding into wealth management, advisory services and consumer finance. Its growing international footprint has been bolstered by tapping into high-growth crypto and fintech markets. Robinhood’s evolving product suite caters to a younger, tech-savvy investor base, while its declining reliance on transaction-based revenue reflects increasing business maturity. 

Solid liquidity, a $1.5 billion buyback program and robust user growth amid rising digital asset adoption further reinforce investor confidence. Although regulatory scrutiny remains a headwind, Robinhood’s innovation-driven growth strategy and expanding global presence suggest that its lofty valuation reflects more than just hype; it’s a bet on the company’s long-term potential to reshape modern investing.

At present, Robinhood sports a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy). You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank stocks here.


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