Back to top

Is Western Union a Great Stock for Value Investors?

Read MoreHide Full Article

Value investing is easily one of the most popular ways to find great stocks in any market environment. After all, who wouldn’t want to find stocks that are either flying under the radar and are compelling buys, or offer up tantalizing discounts when compared to fair value?

One way to find these companies is by looking at several key metrics and financial ratios, many of which are crucial in the value stock selection process. Let’s put The Western Union Company (WU - Free Report) stock into this equation and find out if it is a good choice for value-oriented investors right now, or if investors subscribing to this methodology should look elsewhere for top picks:

PE Ratio

A key metric that value investors always look at is the Price to Earnings Ratio, or PE for short. This shows us how much investors are willing to pay for each dollar of earnings in a given stock, and is easily one of the most popular financial ratios in the world. The best use of the PE ratio is to compare the stock’s current PE ratio with: a) where this ratio has been in the past; b) how it compares to the average for the industry/sector; and c) how it compares to the market as a whole.

On this front, Western Union has a trailing twelve months PE ratio of 10.78, as you can see in the chart below:

This level actually compares pretty favorably with the market at large, as the PE for the S&P 500 stands at about 19.95. If we focus on the long-term PE trend, Western Union’s current PE level puts it below its midpoint over the past five years.

Further, the stock’s PE also compares favorably with the industry’s trailing twelve months PE ratio, which stands at 27.37. At the very least, this indicates that the stock is relatively undervalued right now, compared to its peers.

We should also point out that Western Union has a forward PE ratio (price relative to this year’s earnings) of just 10.77, so it is fair to say that a value-oriented path may be ahead for Western Union stock in the near term too.

P/S Ratio

Another key metric to note is the Price/Sales ratio. This approach compares a given stock’s price to its total sales, where a lower reading is generally considered better. Some people like this metric more than other value-focused ones because it looks at sales, something that is far harder to manipulate with accounting tricks than earnings.

Right now, Western Union has a P/S ratio of about 1.65. This is a bit lower than the S&P 500 average, which comes in at 3.13 right now. Also, as we can see in the chart below, this is well below the highs for this stock in particular over the past few years.

If anything, this suggests some level of undervalued trading—at least compared to historical norms.

Broad Value Outlook

In aggregate, Western Union currently has a Zacks Value Style Score of ‘B’, putting it into the top 40% of all stocks we cover from this look. This makes Western Union a solid choice for value investors, and some of its other key metrics make this pretty clear too.  

For example, the PEG ratio for Western Union is just 1.08, a level that is far lower than the industry average of 1.74. The PEG ratio is a modified PE ratio that takes into account the stock’s earnings growth rate. Clearly, WU is a solid choice on the value front from multiple angles.

What About the Stock Overall?

Though Western Union might be a good choice for value investors, there are plenty of other factors to consider before investing in this name. In particular, it is worth noting that the company has a Growth grade of ‘F’ and a Momentum score of ‘B’. This gives WU a Zacks VGM score—or its overarching fundamental grade—of ‘C’. (You can read more about the Zacks Style Scores here >>)

Meanwhile, the company’s recent earnings estimates have been mixed at best. The current quarter has seen three estimates go higher in the past sixty days compared to six lower, while the full year estimate has seen ten up and one down in the same time period.

This has had just a small impact on the consensus estimate though as the current quarter consensus estimate has risen by 2.2% in the past two months, while the full year estimate has inched lower by 3.6%. You can see the consensus estimate trend and recent price action for the stock in the chart below:

Western Union Company (The) Price and Consensus

 

Western Union Company (The) Price and Consensus | Western Union Company (The) Quote

In spite of the slightly bearish analyst opinion, the stock’s Zacks Rank #2 (Buy) indicates robust fundamentals and expectations of outperformance in the near term.

Bottom Line

Western Union is an inspired choice for value investors, as it is hard to beat its incredible lineup of statistics on this front. With a formidable industry rank (among the Top 31%) and strong Zacks Rank, Western Union looks like a strong value contender. In fact, over the past two year, the industry has clearly outperformed the broader market, as you can see below:

So, value investors might want to wait for estimates and analyst sentiment to turn around in this name first, but once that happens, this stock could be a compelling pick.

One Simple Trading Idea

Since 1988, the Zacks system has more than doubled the S&P 500 with an average gain of +25% per year. With compounding, rebalancing, and exclusive of fees, it can turn thousands into millions of dollars.

This proven stock-picking system is grounded on a single big idea that can be fortune shaping and life changing. You can apply it to your portfolio starting today.

Learn more >>




In-Depth Zacks Research for the Tickers Above


Normally $25 each - click below to receive one report FREE:


Western Union Company (The) (WU) - free report >>


More from Zacks Analyst Blog

You May Like