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Why Is BOK Financial (BOKF) Down 0.6% Since Last Earnings Report?

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A month has gone by since the last earnings report for BOK Financial (BOKF - Free Report) . Shares have lost about 0.6% in that time frame, underperforming the S&P 500.

But investors have to be wondering, will the recent negative trend continue leading up to its next earnings release, or is BOK Financial due for a breakout? Well, first let's take a quick look at the most recent earnings report in order to get a better handle on the recent drivers for BOK Financial Corporation before we dive into how investors and analysts have reacted as of late.

BOK Financial's Q2 Earnings Beat on NII & Loan Growth

BOK Financial's second-quarter 2025 adjusted earnings per share of $2.19 per share surpassed the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.98. However, the bottom line declined 13.8% from the prior-year quarter.

The results benefited from higher net interest income, a rise in loan balance, and the absence of provisions. However, lower deposit balance and elevated expenses were the major undermining factors.

Net income attributable to shareholders was $140 million, declining 14.5% year over year.

Revenues Decline, Expenses Up

Quarterly net revenues of $535.2 million (net interest income and total other operating revenues) decline 3.6% year over year. However, the top line surpassed the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $517.9 million.

Net interest income was $328.2 million, up 10.8% year over year. The net interest margin expanded 24 basis points to 2.80%.

Total fees and commissions were $197.3 million, down 1.3% year over year. The fall was mainly due to lower brokerage and trading revenues.

Total other operating expenses were $354.5 million, up 5.3% year over year. This rise mainly resulted from higher personnel expenses.

The efficiency ratio rose to 65.42% from the prior year’s 59.83%. A rise in the efficiency ratio indicates a deterioration in profitability.

Loan Balance Rise, Deposits Decline

As of June 30, 2025, total loans were $24.3 billion, up 2.5% from the prior quarter. The increase was primarily due to growth in commercial real estate loans and loans to individuals.

Total deposits slightly decline on a sequential basis to $38.2 billion. The decline was driven by reduced demand and savings.

Credit Quality Improves

Non-performing assets were $81 million or 0.33% of outstanding loans and repossessed assets as of June 30, 2025, which decreased from $93 million or 0.38% in the prior-year quarter.

The company recorded nil provisions for credit losses compared with $8 million in the prior-year quarter. BOKF recorded net charge-offs of $561 thousand, down 91.9%.

The allowance for loan losses was 1.14% of outstanding loans as of June 30, 2025, which declined 3 bps from the year-ago quarter.

Capital Ratios Improve & Profitability Ratios Decline

As of June 30, 2025, the common equity Tier 1 capital ratio was 13.59%, up from 12.10% as of June 30, 2024. The tier 1 capital ratio and total capital ratio were 13.60% and 14.48% compared with 12.11% and 13.25%, respectively, as of June 30, 2024.

At the end of the second quarter, return on average equity was 9.70%, down from the year-earlier quarter’s 12.79%. Return on average assets was 1.07%, down from 1.29% a year ago.

2025 Outlook

The company expects loan growth in the mid to upper single-digit range from $24.1 billion in 2024.

Management expects NII to be $1.33–$1.38 billion in 2025, up from $1.2 billion recorded in 2024.

Total fees and commission revenues are anticipated to be in the range of $775–$825 million.

Non-interest expenses (excluding FDIC special assessment) are likely to increase at a mid-single-digit rate from $1.37 billion in 2024.

Total revenues are expected to grow in mid to upper-single-digit from $2.05 billion in 2024.

Management expects the efficiency ratio to be nearly 65%. The metric is expected to decline over the year as revenue grows.

Provisions are now expected to remain below the $18 million recorded in 2024, compared with the earlier guidance of $20–$40 million.

How Have Estimates Been Moving Since Then?

In the past month, investors have witnessed a flat trend in fresh estimates.

VGM Scores

Currently, BOK Financial has a average Growth Score of C, a grade with the same score on the momentum front. Charting a somewhat similar path, the stock was allocated a score of B on the value side, putting it in the second quintile for this investment strategy.

Overall, the stock has an aggregate VGM Score of B. If you aren't focused on one strategy, this score is the one you should be interested in.

Outlook

BOK Financial has a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold). We expect an in-line return from the stock in the next few months.


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