Retail sales in the United Kingdom reflected an impressive increase, per data released by Office for National Statistics (ONS).
Retail sales grew 2.4% in August on an annual basis compared with a revised 1.4% in the previous month, and way above economists’ expectations of 1.3%.
This data makes it evident that higher prices were not a deterrent for consumer spending and that it increased despite a wage squeeze. Wages in the United Kingdom are not increasing as fast as inflation. It grew 2.1% in the three months to August.
Consumer price index increased 2.9% year over year in August compared with 2.6% last month, per data released by the Office for National Statistics. It equaled May’s four-year high of 2.9% and was above market expectations of a 2.8% increase. Core inflation, which excludes volatile items such as food and energy, increased 2.7% in the month. The primary driver of inflation growth in August was clothing and footwear prices, which increased 4.6% year over year.
In the second quarter, U.K. GDP grew 0.3% sequentially and 1.7% year over year. Although this reflects a slight increase from 0.2% sequential growth in the first quarter, the rate of improvement has been dismal since Brexit. The U.K. economy was the worst performer in the region, having logged growth that was just half that of the entire Eurozone (read: U.K. GDP Edges up in Q2: ETFs in Focus).
Rate Hike in the Cards?
Bank of England (BOE) officials expect the inflation reading to edge higher in October and stated that continuous increase in inflation will prompt the committee to hike rates sooner than expected by the markets.
The sharp increase in inflation is owing to Brexit, as the fall in pound made imports costlier. Moreover, unemployment is at a 42-year low of 4.3%.
Although the economy is currently weak, the inflation reading is almost a percentage point above the BOE’s target. Hence, a rate hike might be enacted later this year to keep inflation in check.
Let us now discuss a few ETFs focused on providing exposure to the U.K. (see all European Equity ETFs here).
iShares Currency Hedged MSCI United Kingdom ETF (HEWU - Free Report)
For those looking to gain exposure to the British markets in particular, this fund is one of the most popular pure play options available. It seeks to maintain equity exposure to its un-hedged version EWU, while hedging away currency fluctuations between the dollar and the British pound.
The fund has AUM of $18.63 million and charges 49 basis points in fees per year. Financials, Consumer Staples and Energy are the top three sectors of this fund with 22.8%, 18.9% and 14.8% allocation, respectively (as of Sep 20, 2017). The top three holdings for EWU are HSBC Holdings PLC, British American Tobacco PLC and Royal Dutch Shell PLC, with 7.6%, 5.6% and 5.1% allocation, respectively (as of Sep 20, 2017). It has returned 1.7% year to date but has lost 8.0% in a year (as of Sep 21, 2017). HEWU currently has a Zacks ETF Rank #3 (Hold) with a Medium risk outlook.
WisdomTree United Kingdom Hedged Equity Fund (DXPS - Free Report)
This fund seeks to provide exposure to the U.K. dividend paying companies with an export tilt, while also hedging the currency risk.
The fund has AUM of $14.34million and charges 48 basis points in fees per year. Consumer Staples, Energy and Financials are the top three sectors of this fund with 17.8%, 16.3% and 14.3% allocation, respectively (as of Sep 21, 2017). The top three holdings for the fund are Royal Dutch Shell PLC Class B, Royal Dutch Shell PLC Class A and BP PLC with 5.5%, 5.3% and 5.2% allocation, respectively (as of Sep 21, 2017). It has returned 0.8% year to date but has lost 10.0% in a year (as of Sep 21, 2017). DXPS currently has a Zacks ETF Rank #3 with a Medium risk outlook.
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