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Compared to Estimates, Vistra (VST) Q3 Earnings: A Look at Key Metrics

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For the quarter ended September 2025, Vistra Corp. (VST - Free Report) reported revenue of $4.97 billion, down 20.9% over the same period last year. EPS came in at $1.75, compared to $5.25 in the year-ago quarter.

The reported revenue compares to the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $7 billion, representing a surprise of -28.96%. The company delivered an EPS surprise of +45.83%, with the consensus EPS estimate being $1.20.

While investors closely watch year-over-year changes in headline numbers -- revenue and earnings -- and how they compare to Wall Street expectations to determine their next course of action, some key metrics always provide a better insight into a company's underlying performance.

Since these metrics play a crucial role in driving the top- and bottom-line numbers, comparing them with the year-ago numbers and what analysts estimated about them helps investors better project a stock's price performance.

Here is how Vistra performed in the just reported quarter in terms of the metrics most widely monitored and projected by Wall Street analysts:
  • Total retail electricity sales volumes: 40,062.00 GWh compared to the 39,366.82 GWh average estimate based on two analysts.
  • Adjusted EBITDA- Retail: $37 million compared to the $106.78 million average estimate based on two analysts.
  • Adjusted EBITDA- Texas: $784 million compared to the $730.17 million average estimate based on two analysts.
  • Adjusted EBITDA- Corporate and Other: $-22 million compared to the $-37.41 million average estimate based on two analysts.
  • Adjusted EBITDA- West: $63 million versus the two-analyst average estimate of $37.27 million.
  • Adjusted EBITDA- East: $719 million compared to the $634.78 million average estimate based on two analysts.

View all Key Company Metrics for Vistra here>>>

Shares of Vistra have returned -12.1% over the past month versus the Zacks S&P 500 composite's -0.2% change. The stock currently has a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold), indicating that it could perform in line with the broader market in the near term.

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