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Vistra Q3 Earnings Beat Estimates, Revenues Lag, '25 Guidance Narrowed

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Key Takeaways

  • Vistra posted Q3 earnings of $1.75 per share, topping estimates by nearly 46%.
  • Sales fell 21% year over year to $4.97 billion, also missing consensus estimates.
  • The company has repurchased $5.6 billion in shares since 2021, cutting share count by 30%.

Vistra Corp. (VST - Free Report) reported third-quarter 2025 earnings of $1.75 per share, which beat the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.20 by 45.83%. In the year-ago quarter, the company reported earnings of $5.25 per share.

Market reacted positively to the third-quarter earnings beat, with shares gaining nearly 2% from the release and closing at $188.28 on 
Nov. 10, 2025.

Total Revenues of VST

Sales for the quarter totaled $4.97 billion, which missed the Zacks Consensus Estimate of nearly $7 billion by 28.96%. The top line decreased 21% from $6.3 billion recorded in the year-ago quarter.

 

Vistra Corp. Price, Consensus and EPS Surprise

Vistra Corp. Price, Consensus and EPS Surprise

Vistra Corp. price-consensus-eps-surprise-chart | Vistra Corp. Quote

VST’s Operational Highlights

Fuel, purchased power costs and delivery fees amounted to $2.37 billion, up 7.24% from the year-ago quarter’s $2.21 billion.

Operating costs for the quarter totaled $655 million, up 6.33% from the year-ago quarter’s $616 million.

Selling, general and administrative expenses amounted to $444 million, up 8.02% from the year-ago quarter’s $411 million.

Operating income totaled $1.04 billion, down 59.85% from the year-ago quarter’s $2.59 billion. 

Interest expenses and related charges amounted to $286 million, down 13.85% year over year.

VST’s Financial Highlights

Cash and cash equivalents totaled $0.60 billion as of Sept. 30, 2025, compared with $1.2 billion as of Dec. 31, 2024.

Net cash flow provided by operating activities in the first nine months of 2025 totaled $2.64 billion compared with $3.21 billion in the year-ago period.

Total capital expenditures for the first nine months of 2025 totaled $1.92 billion compared with $1.65 billion a year ago.

Available liquidity of the company as of Sept. 30, 2025, was $3.71 billion, enough to meet its near-term obligations.

As of Oct. 31, 2025, Vistra executed $5.6 billion in share repurchases since November 2021. Vistra has $1.0 billion of the share repurchase authorization available, which it expects to complete by the end of 2027.

VST’s Guidance

The company has narrowed its guidance for 2025 ongoing operations adjusted EBITDA and ongoing operations adjusted free cash flow before growth to $5.7-$5.9 billion and $3.3-$3.5 billion, respectively.

For 2026, VST expects its Ongoing Operations Adjusted EBITDA and Ongoing Operations Adjusted free cash flow before growth to be in the band of $6.8-$7.6 billion and $3.925-$4.725 billion, respectively.

VST’s Zacks Rank

The company currently has a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold). You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here.

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