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Conagra Sets the Tone for Q2 Earnings: Things to Watch for CAG Stock

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Key Takeaways

  • CAG's Q2 reflects recovery after resolving supply and service issues across frozen and protein categories.
  • CAG emphasizes value offerings as inflation drives selective consumer spending and pressures volumes.
  • Input-cost inflation in proteins and packaging is expected to keep margins under near-term strain.

Conagra Brands, Inc. (CAG - Free Report) is likely to register a decrease in the top and bottom lines when it reports second-quarter fiscal 2026 earnings on Dec. 19. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for revenues is pegged at about $3 billion, implying a 6.2% drop from the prior-year quarter’s reported figure. 

The consensus mark for earnings has remained unchanged in the past 30 days at 44 cents per share, which indicates a slump of 37.1% from the figure reported in the year-ago quarter. CAG delivered a trailing four-quarter earnings surprise of 3.53%, on average.

Conagra Brands Price, Consensus and EPS Surprise

Conagra Brands Price, Consensus and EPS Surprise

Conagra Brands price-consensus-eps-surprise-chart | Conagra Brands Quote

Things to Know Ahead of CAG’s Upcoming Results

Conagra Brands’ second quarter is likely to reflect a business still in recovery mode. The company spent its first quarter largely resolving earlier supply and service issues, particularly across frozen and protein-heavy categories. With service levels now largely restored, the upcoming quarter should begin to reflect improved product availability and a gradual return to normal merchandising and promotional activity, though some timing shifts are still likely to weigh on near-term performance. Brand investment and innovation are also key drivers.

Consumer behavior continues to shape results. Management has highlighted persistent value-seeking trends, especially among lower-income households, as inflation pressures remain elevated. Shoppers are being more selective, prompting Conagra to emphasize value-oriented offerings, pack sizes and everyday affordability rather than premium-led innovation. The efficiency of this value-driven approach will be an important factor determining volume trends during the quarter. Our model suggests a 1.3% dip in volumes for the quarter under review.

Cost pressures remain a meaningful headwind. Input-cost inflation, particularly in proteins and packaging, is expected to be more evident in the second quarter as certain costs that were deferred earlier begin to flow through. While productivity initiatives and selective pricing actions are in place, these efforts are unlikely to fully offset near-term pressure, keeping margins under strain. We expect the adjusted gross margin to contract 330 basis points to 23.1% in the second quarter.

Earnings Whispers for CAG

Our proven model predicts an earnings beat for Conagra Brands this time. The combination of a positive Earnings ESP and a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy), 2 (Buy) or 3 (Hold) increases the odds of an earnings beat, which is exactly the case here. 

Conagra Brands has a Zacks Rank #3 and an Earnings ESP of +0.11% at present. You can uncover the best stocks to buy or sell before they’re reported with our Earnings ESP Filter.

Other Stocks With the Favorable Combination

Here are some other companies worth considering, as our model shows that these also have the right combination of elements to beat on earnings this reporting cycle.

Kimberly-Clark Corporation (KMB - Free Report) currently has an Earnings ESP of +4.45% and a Zacks Rank of 3. The consensus mark for quarterly revenues is pegged at $4.13 billion, which indicates a decline of 16.2% from the figure reported in the prior-year quarter. You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank stocks here.

The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Kimberly-Clark’s quarterly earnings per share (EPS) is pegged at $1.54, which implies 2.7% growth year over year. KMB delivered a trailing four-quarter earnings surprise of 10.5%, on average.

The Hershey Company (HSY - Free Report) currently has an Earnings ESP of +0.91% and a Zacks Rank of 3. The consensus estimate for Hershey’s quarterly revenues stands at $2.97 billion, which calls for a 3% jump from the figure reported in the prior-year quarter. 

The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Hershey’s upcoming quarter’s EPS is pegged at $1.39, which implies a 48.3% decrease year over year. HSY delivered a trailing four-quarter earnings surprise of nearly 15%, on average.

Philip Morris (PM - Free Report) currently has an Earnings ESP of +0.20% and a Zacks Rank of 3. The consensus estimate for quarterly revenues is pegged at $10.41 billion, which calls for 7.2% growth from the figure reported in the prior-year quarter. 

The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Philip Morris’ upcoming quarter’s bottom line is pegged at $1.67 per share, which suggests a 7.7% increase from the figure recorded in the year-ago period. PM delivered a trailing four-quarter earnings surprise of 4.4%, on average.

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