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Marathon Petroleum (MPC) Stock Drops Despite Market Gains: Important Facts to Note

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In the latest close session, Marathon Petroleum (MPC - Free Report) was down 1.93% at $177.59. The stock's performance was behind the S&P 500's daily gain of 0.26%. Elsewhere, the Dow saw an upswing of 0.6%, while the tech-heavy Nasdaq appreciated by 0.25%.

Shares of the refiner have appreciated by 3.78% over the course of the past month, outperforming the Oils-Energy sector's gain of 3.32%, and the S&P 500's gain of 1.57%.

Investors will be eagerly watching for the performance of Marathon Petroleum in its upcoming earnings disclosure. The company's earnings report is set to be unveiled on February 3, 2026. The company is expected to report EPS of $3.41, up 342.86% from the prior-year quarter. Meanwhile, our latest consensus estimate is calling for revenue of $30.58 billion, down 8.62% from the prior-year quarter.

For the full year, the Zacks Consensus Estimates project earnings of $10.36 per share and a revenue of $132.48 billion, demonstrating changes of +8.94% and 0%, respectively, from the preceding year.

Any recent changes to analyst estimates for Marathon Petroleum should also be noted by investors. These revisions typically reflect the latest short-term business trends, which can change frequently. As such, positive estimate revisions reflect analyst optimism about the business and profitability.

Our research shows that these estimate changes are directly correlated with near-term stock prices. We developed the Zacks Rank to capitalize on this phenomenon. Our system takes these estimate changes into account and delivers a clear, actionable rating model.

The Zacks Rank system, which ranges from #1 (Strong Buy) to #5 (Strong Sell), has an impressive outside-audited track record of outperformance, with #1 stocks generating an average annual return of +25% since 1988. Over the past month, the Zacks Consensus EPS estimate has moved 4.76% lower. Marathon Petroleum is holding a Zacks Rank of #3 (Hold) right now.

Digging into valuation, Marathon Petroleum currently has a Forward P/E ratio of 12.83. This indicates a premium in contrast to its industry's Forward P/E of 12.48.

Also, we should mention that MPC has a PEG ratio of 0.72. The PEG ratio bears resemblance to the frequently used P/E ratio, but this parameter also includes the company's expected earnings growth trajectory. The Oil and Gas - Refining and Marketing industry currently had an average PEG ratio of 1.17 as of yesterday's close.

The Oil and Gas - Refining and Marketing industry is part of the Oils-Energy sector. This industry currently has a Zacks Industry Rank of 188, which puts it in the bottom 24% of all 250+ industries.

The Zacks Industry Rank gauges the strength of our individual industry groups by measuring the average Zacks Rank of the individual stocks within the groups. Our research shows that the top 50% rated industries outperform the bottom half by a factor of 2 to 1.

Be sure to use Zacks.com to monitor all these stock-influencing metrics, and more, throughout the forthcoming trading sessions.


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