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4 GARP Stocks With Attractive PEG Ratios and Strong Growth Outlooks
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Key Takeaways
Harmony Biosciences is among four GARP picks screened for discounted PEG ratios and solid long-term growth.
NEXA stands out with a discounted PEG and a long-term expected earnings growth rate of 35.6%.
Suzano combines discounted valuation metrics with a strong long-term expected growth outlook of 44.1%.
In the equity market, investments need to be prudently hedged to overcome uncertainties and limit losses related to external shocks. A question that often arises is whether one should resort to a value strategy that seeks discounted stocks or opt for growth investing in times of extreme market instability.
The investing track of the Oracle of Omaha over the past few decades and his gradual shift from being a pure-play value investor to a GARP (growth at a reasonable price) investor might give us all the answers.
Per the GARP theory, the strategic mingling of growth and value-investing principles gives us a hybrid strategy, offering an ideal investment by utilizing the best features of both. What GARPers look for is whether or not the stocks are somewhat undervalued and have solid, sustainable growth potential (Investopedia).
Several stocks that have surged significantly in recent years have demonstrated the overwhelming success of this hybrid investing strategy over pure-play value and growth investments. Here, we will discuss the success of four such stocks. These are Nexa Resources (NEXA - Free Report) , Harmony Biosciences (HRMY - Free Report) , Commercial Metals (CMC - Free Report) and Suzano (SUZ - Free Report) .
A Few More Words on GARP
GARP investing gives priority to one of the popular value metrics — the price/earnings growth (PEG) ratio. Although it is categorized under value investing, this strategy follows the principles of both growth and value investing.
The PEG ratio is defined as (Price/ Earnings)/Earnings Growth Rate
It relates the stocks’ P/E ratios to the future earnings growth rates.
While P/E alone gives an idea of stocks that are trading at a discount, PEG, while adding the growth element to it, helps identify stocks with solid future potential.
A lower PEG ratio, preferably less than 1, is always better for GARP investors.
Say, for example, if a stock's P/E ratio is 10 and the expected long-term growth rate is 15%, the company's PEG will come down to 0.66, a ratio indicating both undervaluation and future growth potential.
Unfortunately, this ratio is often neglected due to investors' limitations in calculating the future earnings growth rate of a stock.
There are some drawbacks to using the PEG ratio, though. It does not consider the very common situation of changing growth rates, such as the forecast of the first three years at a very high growth rate, followed by a sustainable but lower growth rate over the long term.
Hence, PEG-based investing can be even more rewarding if some other relevant parameters are also taken into consideration.
Here are the screening criteria for a winning strategy:
PEG Ratio less than X Industry Median
P/E Ratio (using F1) less than X Industry Median (For more accurate valuation purpose)
Zacks Rank of 1 (Strong Buy) or 2 (Buy) (Whether good market conditions or bad, stocks with a Zacks Rank #1 or #2 have a proven history of success.)
Market Capitalization greater than $1 Billion (This helps us to focus on companies that have strong liquidity.)
Average 20-Day Volume greater than 50,000: A substantial trading volume ensures that the stock is easily tradable.
Percentage Change F1 Earnings Estimate Revisions (4 Weeks) greater than 5%: Upward estimate revisions add to the optimism, suggesting further bullishness.
Value Score of less than or equal to B: Our research shows that stocks with a Value Style Score of A or B, when combined with a Zacks Rank #1, 2 or 3 (Hold), offer the best upside potential.
Our PEG-Driven Picks
Here are four stocks that qualified the screening:
Nexa: It is a global zinc miner and smelter operating Mining and Smelting segments. It produces zinc, zamac, zinc oxide and multiple by-products. Nexa runs four polymetallic mines in Peru and Brazil and three zinc smelters in Peru and Brazil.
Nexa can be an impressive GARP investment pick with its Zacks Rank #2 and a Value Score of A. Apart from a discounted PEG and P/E, the stock has an impressive long-term expected growth rate of 35.6%.
Harmony Biosciences: This is a U.S.-based pharmaceutical company developing therapies for rare neurological diseases. Harmony Biosciences markets WAKIX for narcolepsy and has a pipeline targeting conditions such as Prader-Willi syndrome, myotonic dystrophy, Fragile X syndrome, epilepsy, and other neurodevelopmental disorders.
HRMY has a Zacks Rank #1 and a Value Score of A. Harmony Biosciences also has an impressive five-year expected growth rate of 27.1%.
Commercial Metals: The company, based in Irving, TX, manufactures, recycles and markets steel and metal products and services. It operates a broad network of facilities, including EAF mini and micro mills, a rerolling mill, fabrication plants, construction product warehouses, and metal recycling sites in the United States and Poland.
CMC stock can be an impressive value investment pick with its Zacks Rank #2 and a Value Score of A. Apart from a discounted PEG and P/E, Commercial Metals also has an impressive long-term expected growth rate of 25.5%.
Suzano: It manufactures and sells pulp and paper products in Brazil and globally, operating in Pulp and Paper and Consumer Goods segments. Its portfolio includes printing papers, paperboard, tissue and pulp. The company also engages in biofuels, logistics, energy generation, biotechnology, lignin research and advanced cellulose product development.
Suzano can also be an impressive value investment pick with its Zacks Rank #1 and a Value Score of A. Apart from a discounted PEG and P/E, the stock also has a solid long-term expected growth rate of 44.1%.
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4 GARP Stocks With Attractive PEG Ratios and Strong Growth Outlooks
Key Takeaways
In the equity market, investments need to be prudently hedged to overcome uncertainties and limit losses related to external shocks. A question that often arises is whether one should resort to a value strategy that seeks discounted stocks or opt for growth investing in times of extreme market instability.
The investing track of the Oracle of Omaha over the past few decades and his gradual shift from being a pure-play value investor to a GARP (growth at a reasonable price) investor might give us all the answers.
Per the GARP theory, the strategic mingling of growth and value-investing principles gives us a hybrid strategy, offering an ideal investment by utilizing the best features of both. What GARPers look for is whether or not the stocks are somewhat undervalued and have solid, sustainable growth potential (Investopedia).
Several stocks that have surged significantly in recent years have demonstrated the overwhelming success of this hybrid investing strategy over pure-play value and growth investments. Here, we will discuss the success of four such stocks. These are Nexa Resources (NEXA - Free Report) , Harmony Biosciences (HRMY - Free Report) , Commercial Metals (CMC - Free Report) and Suzano (SUZ - Free Report) .
A Few More Words on GARP
GARP investing gives priority to one of the popular value metrics — the price/earnings growth (PEG) ratio. Although it is categorized under value investing, this strategy follows the principles of both growth and value investing.
The PEG ratio is defined as (Price/ Earnings)/Earnings Growth Rate
It relates the stocks’ P/E ratios to the future earnings growth rates.
While P/E alone gives an idea of stocks that are trading at a discount, PEG, while adding the growth element to it, helps identify stocks with solid future potential.
A lower PEG ratio, preferably less than 1, is always better for GARP investors.
Say, for example, if a stock's P/E ratio is 10 and the expected long-term growth rate is 15%, the company's PEG will come down to 0.66, a ratio indicating both undervaluation and future growth potential.
Unfortunately, this ratio is often neglected due to investors' limitations in calculating the future earnings growth rate of a stock.
There are some drawbacks to using the PEG ratio, though. It does not consider the very common situation of changing growth rates, such as the forecast of the first three years at a very high growth rate, followed by a sustainable but lower growth rate over the long term.
Hence, PEG-based investing can be even more rewarding if some other relevant parameters are also taken into consideration.
Here are the screening criteria for a winning strategy:
PEG Ratio less than X Industry Median
P/E Ratio (using F1) less than X Industry Median (For more accurate valuation purpose)
Zacks Rank of 1 (Strong Buy) or 2 (Buy) (Whether good market conditions or bad, stocks with a Zacks Rank #1 or #2 have a proven history of success.)
Market Capitalization greater than $1 Billion (This helps us to focus on companies that have strong liquidity.)
Average 20-Day Volume greater than 50,000: A substantial trading volume ensures that the stock is easily tradable.
Percentage Change F1 Earnings Estimate Revisions (4 Weeks) greater than 5%: Upward estimate revisions add to the optimism, suggesting further bullishness.
Value Score of less than or equal to B: Our research shows that stocks with a Value Style Score of A or B, when combined with a Zacks Rank #1, 2 or 3 (Hold), offer the best upside potential.
Our PEG-Driven Picks
Here are four stocks that qualified the screening:
Nexa: It is a global zinc miner and smelter operating Mining and Smelting segments. It produces zinc, zamac, zinc oxide and multiple by-products. Nexa runs four polymetallic mines in Peru and Brazil and three zinc smelters in Peru and Brazil.
Nexa can be an impressive GARP investment pick with its Zacks Rank #2 and a Value Score of A. Apart from a discounted PEG and P/E, the stock has an impressive long-term expected growth rate of 35.6%.
Harmony Biosciences: This is a U.S.-based pharmaceutical company developing therapies for rare neurological diseases. Harmony Biosciences markets WAKIX for narcolepsy and has a pipeline targeting conditions such as Prader-Willi syndrome, myotonic dystrophy, Fragile X syndrome, epilepsy, and other neurodevelopmental disorders.
HRMY has a Zacks Rank #1 and a Value Score of A. Harmony Biosciences also has an impressive five-year expected growth rate of 27.1%.
You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank stocks here.
Commercial Metals: The company, based in Irving, TX, manufactures, recycles and markets steel and metal products and services. It operates a broad network of facilities, including EAF mini and micro mills, a rerolling mill, fabrication plants, construction product warehouses, and metal recycling sites in the United States and Poland.
CMC stock can be an impressive value investment pick with its Zacks Rank #2 and a Value Score of A. Apart from a discounted PEG and P/E, Commercial Metals also has an impressive long-term expected growth rate of 25.5%.
Suzano: It manufactures and sells pulp and paper products in Brazil and globally, operating in Pulp and Paper and Consumer Goods segments. Its portfolio includes printing papers, paperboard, tissue and pulp. The company also engages in biofuels, logistics, energy generation, biotechnology, lignin research and advanced cellulose product development.
Suzano can also be an impressive value investment pick with its Zacks Rank #1 and a Value Score of A. Apart from a discounted PEG and P/E, the stock also has a solid long-term expected growth rate of 44.1%.