We use cookies to understand how you use our site and to improve your experience.
This includes personalizing content and advertising.
By pressing "Accept All" or closing out of this banner, you consent to the use of all cookies and similar technologies and the sharing of information they collect with third parties.
You can reject marketing cookies by pressing "Deny Optional," but we still use essential, performance, and functional cookies.
In addition, whether you "Accept All," Deny Optional," click the X or otherwise continue to use the site, you accept our Privacy Policy and Terms of Service, revised from time to time.
You are being directed to ZacksTrade, a division of LBMZ Securities and licensed broker-dealer. ZacksTrade and Zacks.com are separate companies. The web link between the two companies is not a solicitation or offer to invest in a particular security or type of security. ZacksTrade does not endorse or adopt any particular investment strategy, any analyst opinion/rating/report or any approach to evaluating individual securities.
If you wish to go to ZacksTrade, click OK. If you do not, click Cancel.
Expand Energy to Report Q4 Earnings: What's in the Offing?
Read MoreHide Full Article
Key Takeaways
EXE is set to report Q4 results on Feb. 17, with EPS estimated at $1.88 on $2.25B in revenues.
EXE saw Q3 earnings beat estimates on strong production and gas price realization despite a revenue miss.
EXE benefits from efficiency gains, lower well costs and improved productivity, supporting margin improvement.
Expand Energy Corporation (EXE - Free Report) is set to release fourth-quarter 2025 earnings on Feb. 17, 2026. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for the to-be-reported quarter is pegged at a profit of $1.88 per share on revenues of $2.25 billion.
Let us delve into the factors that might have influenced EXE’s performance in the to-be-reported quarter. Before that, it is worth taking a look at the company’s performance in the last reported quarter.
Highlights of EXE’s Q3 Earnings & Surprise History
In the third quarter, the U.S.-based natural gas producer’s adjusted earnings of 97 cents per share beat the Zacks Consensus Estimate of 88 cents, driven by strong production and higher natural gas price realization. However, revenues of $1.8 billion missed the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $2 billion.
Expand Energy’s earnings beat the consensus estimate in three of the trailing four quarters and missed in one, delivering an average surprise of 4.9%.
The Zacks Consensus Estimate for the fourth-quarter bottom line has been revised 16.8% upward in the past 30 days. The estimated figure indicates a 241.8% year-over-year surge. Moreover, the top-line estimate implies a 40.9% increase from the year-ago period’s level.
Factors to Consider Ahead of EXE’s Q4 Release
Expand Energy is well-positioned to capitalize on the increasing demand for natural gas, driven by LNG exports, AI/data centers, EV expansion and broader electrification trends, with key assets in the Haynesville and Marcellus basins. The company’s sustained operational efficiency and cost discipline following the merger in 2024 position it well to outperform expectations. Management highlights that EXE can now deliver the same production with nearly half the rigs used in 2023, while well costs in the Haynesville have fallen more than 25%, and productivity remains at about 40% above basin averages. These structural gains have pushed corporate breakevens well below $3 per thousand cubic feet (mcf), insulating margins even in a volatile gas price environment.
In addition, stronger marketing and optimization efforts have already added tens of millions of dollars to realizations, with further upside expected as commercial initiatives scale. Lower capital intensity, reduced sustaining CapEx and flexibility to modulate production in response to demand should translate into stronger free cash flow and earnings resilience in the quarter to be reported.
However, despite strong fundamentals, earnings could be pressured by near-term natural gas price volatility, given ongoing supply from associated basins. Revenue sensitivity to spot pricing, partial hedging exposure, and potential timing mismatches between efficiency gains and realized pricing could limit upside in the to-be-reported quarter.
What Does Our Model Say About EXE?
The proven Zacks model predicts an earnings beat for Expand Energy this time around. The combination of a positive Earnings ESP and a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy), 2 (Buy) or 3 (Hold) increases the chances of beating estimates. This is exactly the case here.
EXE’s Earnings ESP: Earnings ESP, which represents the difference between the Most Accurate Estimate and the Zacks Consensus Estimate, for this company is +2.62%. You can uncover the best stocks to buy or sell before they’re reported with our Earnings ESP Filter.
Here are some other firms from the energy space that you may want to consider, as these too have the right combination of elements to post an earnings beat this reporting cycle.
Delek US Holdings, Inc. (DK - Free Report) currently has an Earnings ESP of +8.19% and a Zacks Rank of 3.
DK is scheduled to release fourth-quarter 2025 earnings on Feb. 27. Notably, the company’s earnings beat the Zacks Consensus Estimate in three of the trailing four quarters and missed in one, delivering a positive average surprise of 123%. Valued at around $2.1 billion, DK’s shares have jumped 72.5% in a year.
TechnipFMC plc (FTI - Free Report) presently has an Earnings ESP of +1.61% and a Zacks Rank #2. The firm is scheduled to release fourth-quarter 2025 earnings on Feb. 19.
The Zacks Consensus Estimate for FTI’s 2025 earnings indicates 24.7% year-over-year growth.Valued at around $24.3 billion, the company’s shares have surged 89% in a year.
Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. (PARR - Free Report) currently has an Earnings ESP of +0.42% and a Zacks Rank of 3. It is scheduled to release fourth-quarter 2025 earnings on Feb. 24.
The Zacks Consensus Estimate for PARR’s 2025 earnings per share indicates 1956.8% year-over-year growth. Valued at around $2.1 billion, the company’s shares have soared 141.8% in a year.
Zacks' 7 Best Strong Buy Stocks (New Research Report)
Valued at $99, click below to receive our just-released report
predicting the 7 stocks that will soar highest in the coming month.
View the Zacks #1 Rank List
Image: Bigstock
Expand Energy to Report Q4 Earnings: What's in the Offing?
Key Takeaways
Expand Energy Corporation (EXE - Free Report) is set to release fourth-quarter 2025 earnings on Feb. 17, 2026. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for the to-be-reported quarter is pegged at a profit of $1.88 per share on revenues of $2.25 billion.
Let us delve into the factors that might have influenced EXE’s performance in the to-be-reported quarter. Before that, it is worth taking a look at the company’s performance in the last reported quarter.
Highlights of EXE’s Q3 Earnings & Surprise History
In the third quarter, the U.S.-based natural gas producer’s adjusted earnings of 97 cents per share beat the Zacks Consensus Estimate of 88 cents, driven by strong production and higher natural gas price realization. However, revenues of $1.8 billion missed the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $2 billion.
Expand Energy’s earnings beat the consensus estimate in three of the trailing four quarters and missed in one, delivering an average surprise of 4.9%.
This is depicted in the graph below.
Expand Energy Corporation Price and EPS Surprise
Expand Energy Corporation price-eps-surprise | Expand Energy Corporation Quote
Trend in the Estimate Revision of EXE
The Zacks Consensus Estimate for the fourth-quarter bottom line has been revised 16.8% upward in the past 30 days. The estimated figure indicates a 241.8% year-over-year surge. Moreover, the top-line estimate implies a 40.9% increase from the year-ago period’s level.
Factors to Consider Ahead of EXE’s Q4 Release
Expand Energy is well-positioned to capitalize on the increasing demand for natural gas, driven by LNG exports, AI/data centers, EV expansion and broader electrification trends, with key assets in the Haynesville and Marcellus basins. The company’s sustained operational efficiency and cost discipline following the merger in 2024 position it well to outperform expectations. Management highlights that EXE can now deliver the same production with nearly half the rigs used in 2023, while well costs in the Haynesville have fallen more than 25%, and productivity remains at about 40% above basin averages. These structural gains have pushed corporate breakevens well below $3 per thousand cubic feet (mcf), insulating margins even in a volatile gas price environment.
In addition, stronger marketing and optimization efforts have already added tens of millions of dollars to realizations, with further upside expected as commercial initiatives scale. Lower capital intensity, reduced sustaining CapEx and flexibility to modulate production in response to demand should translate into stronger free cash flow and earnings resilience in the quarter to be reported.
However, despite strong fundamentals, earnings could be pressured by near-term natural gas price volatility, given ongoing supply from associated basins. Revenue sensitivity to spot pricing, partial hedging exposure, and potential timing mismatches between efficiency gains and realized pricing could limit upside in the to-be-reported quarter.
What Does Our Model Say About EXE?
The proven Zacks model predicts an earnings beat for Expand Energy this time around. The combination of a positive Earnings ESP and a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy), 2 (Buy) or 3 (Hold) increases the chances of beating estimates. This is exactly the case here.
EXE’s Earnings ESP: Earnings ESP, which represents the difference between the Most Accurate Estimate and the Zacks Consensus Estimate, for this company is +2.62%. You can uncover the best stocks to buy or sell before they’re reported with our Earnings ESP Filter.
EXE’s Zacks Rank: Expand Energy currently carries a Zacks Rank #3. You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank stocks here.
Other Stocks to Consider
Here are some other firms from the energy space that you may want to consider, as these too have the right combination of elements to post an earnings beat this reporting cycle.
Delek US Holdings, Inc. (DK - Free Report) currently has an Earnings ESP of +8.19% and a Zacks Rank of 3.
DK is scheduled to release fourth-quarter 2025 earnings on Feb. 27. Notably, the company’s earnings beat the Zacks Consensus Estimate in three of the trailing four quarters and missed in one, delivering a positive average surprise of 123%. Valued at around $2.1 billion, DK’s shares have jumped 72.5% in a year.
TechnipFMC plc (FTI - Free Report) presently has an Earnings ESP of +1.61% and a Zacks Rank #2. The firm is scheduled to release fourth-quarter 2025 earnings on Feb. 19.
The Zacks Consensus Estimate for FTI’s 2025 earnings indicates 24.7% year-over-year growth.Valued at around $24.3 billion, the company’s shares have surged 89% in a year.
Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. (PARR - Free Report) currently has an Earnings ESP of +0.42% and a Zacks Rank of 3. It is scheduled to release fourth-quarter 2025 earnings on Feb. 24.
The Zacks Consensus Estimate for PARR’s 2025 earnings per share indicates 1956.8% year-over-year growth. Valued at around $2.1 billion, the company’s shares have soared 141.8% in a year.