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Is ExxonMobil Poised to Gain From Current Elevation in Crude Prices?

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Key Takeaways

  • XOM benefits from WTI near $90 per barrel, creating a favorable environment for its upstream-heavy business.
  • XOM's key upstream assets in the Permian Basin and offshore Guyana carry low costs, supporting strong margins.
  • ExxonMobil can use higher crude-driven cash flow to fund development projects and expand production capacity.

Exxon Mobil Corporation (XOM - Free Report) operates across the entire energy chain, from crude oil production to refining into finished products.The business model ofXOM is highly exposed to crude price volatility since it generates a significant portion of revenues from upstream operations. With West Texas Intermediate crude prices trading around $90 per barrel, ExxonMobil is currently operating in a favorable business environment.

Investors should know that the majority of the well-known integrated giant ExxonMobil’s upstream assets are spread across the Permian Basin, the most prolific basin in the United States and offshore Guyana. These advantaged assets have relatively low production costs, meaning XOM can generate strong margins when crude prices remain soft. With crude prices currently elevated, XOM stands to benefit significantly from its advantaged asset portfolio.

Elevated crude prices will enable ExxonMobil to generate increased cash flow. The additional cash can be utilized to fund ongoing development projects and expand production capacity. Higher earnings will support the energy giant strengthen its balance sheet while continuing disciplined capital spending.

CVX & COP Are Poised to Benefit From Higher Crude Prices

Chevron Corporation (CVX - Free Report) and ConocoPhillips’(COP - Free Report) business models are highly vulnerable to crude price volatility as they also have strong presence in the exploration and production operations. With high-quality assets spread across multiple regions, CVX maintains a notable presence in the Permian Basin. COP also has presence in the Lower 48 region, which includes the Permian Basin. CVX and COP, by virtue of their business models, benefit from elevated crude prices, as well as their presence in the Permian Basin.

XOM’s Price Performance, Valuation & Estimates

XOM shares have gained 34.6% over the past year compared with the 31.2% return of the composite stocks belonging to the industry.

 

Zacks Investment Research Image Source: Zacks Investment Research

 

From a valuation standpoint, XOM trades at a trailing 12-month enterprise-value-to-EBITDA (EV/EBITDA) of 9.7X. This is above the broader industry average of 6.08X.

 

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Image Source: Zacks Investment Research

 

The Zacks Consensus Estimate for the first quarter of 2026 has seen a downward revision over the past seven days. Meanwhile, for the second quarter and 2026, XOM’s earnings estimates have been unchanged.

 

Zacks Investment Research
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research

 

ExxonMobil currently carries a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold). You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here.

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