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Can Newmont Continue Its Strong Free Cash Flow Momentum?

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Key Takeaways

  • Newmont delivered record Q4 free cash flow of $2.8 billion and $7.3 billion for 2025.
  • NEM's cash from operating activities jumped 44% in Q4 to $3.6 billion and 62% to $10.3 billion in 2025.
  • Newmont expects continued strong free cash flow in 2026, supported by its world-class portfolio.

Newmont Corporation (NEM - Free Report) logged a record quarterly free cash flow in the fourth quarter of 2025, underscoring its operational efficiency and the strength of its portfolio. Its free cash flow nearly doubled year over year to a record $2.8 billion in the fourth quarter and surged two-and-a-half-fold year over year to a record $7.3 billion, led by an increase in net cash from operating activities. Net cash from operating activities shot up 44% from the prior-year quarter to $3.6 billion, and surged 62% to $10.3 billion in 2025.  

NEM, on its fourth-quarter call, said that it expects to continue to deliver strong free cash flows in 2026, aided by its world-class portfolio. Newmont stands to benefit from the strength in gold prices, which should drive its profitability and cash flow generation. 

Increased central bank buying and persistent safe-haven demand driven by the war in the Middle East and concerns over further escalation in the coming days, as well as broader macroeconomic uncertainty, are expected to underpin gold prices. NEM’s robust balance sheet positions it to continue supporting growth initiatives, meeting its debt commitments and delivering shareholder value.

Among its major peers, Barrick Mining Corporation (B - Free Report) generated strong operating cash flows in 2025, with a significant portion funneled back to investors. Barrick logged operating cash flows of roughly $2.7 billion in the fourth quarter, up 13% year over year, while free cash flow rose 9% to around $1.6 billion. For full-year 2025, Barrick’s operating cash flow surged 71% to around $7.7 billion, and free cash flow shot up 194% to $3.9 billion.  

Agnico Eagle Mines Limited (AEM - Free Report) recorded fourth-quarter free cash flow of roughly $1.3 billion, more than doubling the prior-year figure of $570 million. For the full year, AEM’s free cash flow was a record $4.4 billion, up 105% year over year. The upside was backed by the strength in gold prices and robust operational results. Agnico Eagle’s operating cash flow for full-year 2025 was a record $6.8 billion, driven by operational efficiencies.

The Zacks Rundown for NEM

Shares of Newmont have shot up 44.3% in the past six months compared with the Zacks Mining – Gold industry’s growth of 42.9%, largely driven by the gold price rally.

Zacks Investment Research Image Source: Zacks Investment Research

From a valuation standpoint, NEM is currently trading at a forward 12-month earnings multiple of 12.79, a roughly 0.4% discount to the industry average of 12.84X. It carries a Value Score of C.
 

Zacks Investment Research Image Source: Zacks Investment Research

The Zacks Consensus Estimate for NEM’s 2026 and 2027 earnings implies a year-over-year rise of 27.6% and 17.6%, respectively. The EPS estimates for 2026 and 2027 have been trending higher over the past 60 days.

Zacks Investment Research Image Source: Zacks Investment Research

NEM stock currently carries a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy). 

You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank stocks here.

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