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Walmart's Ad Business Jumps 37%: Margin Upside Ahead?

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Key Takeaways

  • WMT's global ad business grew 37% in Q4 and 46% to nearly $6.4 billion for the year.
  • Walmart Connect sales rose 41% in the US as revenues increased 5.6% in the quarter.
  • Walmart ads and memberships made up nearly one-third of Q4 operating income.

Walmart Inc. (WMT - Free Report) is building a larger advertising business within its retail model, and the fourth-quarter fiscal 2026 results showed that this business is becoming more meaningful to the company’s profit mix. Higher-margin businesses, such as advertising and membership fees, are helping improve WMT’s e-commerce economics through the business mix.

In the fourth quarter, Walmart’s global advertising business grew 37%, including VIZIO. In the United States, Walmart Connect sales increased 41%. These numbers stood out in a quarter when total revenues rose 5.6% and operating income increased 10.8%, allowing profit growth to outpace sales growth. For the full year, Walmart’s global advertising business grew 46% to nearly $6.4 billion, including VIZIO.

The company made clear that advertising is no longer a small side business within the broader model. Advertising income and membership fees together accounted for nearly one-third of operating income in the fourth quarter. That figure shows how these higher-margin revenue streams are becoming a more important part of Walmart’s overall earnings mix as digital activity expands.

That ad growth is also linked with Walmart’s broader online momentum. Global e-commerce sales increased 24% in the quarter, supported by marketplace growth and strength in store-fulfilled pickup and delivery. As Walmart’s digital ecosystem becomes larger, it is creating more room for advertising activity across its platform.

Taken together, the fourth-quarter fiscal 2026 results show that advertising is becoming a more important part of Walmart’s profit mix, supported by continued digital growth and a stronger mix of higher-margin revenue streams. The fourth-quarter numbers also show why advertising is increasingly relevant to the company’s margin picture.

What the Latest Metrics Say About Walmart

Walmart, which competes with Costco Wholesale Corporation (COST - Free Report) and Target Corporation (TGT - Free Report) , has seen its shares rally 36% in the past year compared with the industry’s growth of 34.6%. Shares of Costco and Target have gained 4.5% and 5%, respectively, in the aforementioned period.

Zacks Investment Research
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research

From a valuation standpoint, Walmart's forward 12-month price-to-earnings ratio stands at 40.49, higher than the industry’s 37.04. The company is trading at a premium to Target (with a forward 12-month P/E ratio of 13.98) while trading at a discount to Costco (45.39). 

Zacks Investment Research
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research

The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Walmart’s current fiscal-year sales and earnings per share implies year-over-year growth of about 5% and 9.5%, respectively. 

Walmart currently carries a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold). You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here.

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