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SoFi Technologies Stock Before Q1 Earnings: To Buy or Not to Buy?

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Key Takeaways

  • SOFI is set to report Q1 2026 earnings on April 29, with EPS seen at 12 cents and revenue at $1.04B.
  • SoFi Technologies shows strong Financial Services and Lending growth, with revenues up 56.8% and 26%.
  • SOFI's high valuation and negative ESP signal caution despite recent stock rebound and platform progress.

SoFi Technologies, Inc. (SOFI - Free Report) will report its first-quarter 2026 results on April 29, before the bell.

The Zacks Consensus Estimate for earnings in the to-be-reported quarter stands at 12 cents, indicating 100% growth from the year-ago reported quarter. The consensus estimate for revenues stands at $1.04 billion, implying 34.8% year-over-year growth.

There has been one downward revision in earnings estimates in the past 60 days.

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SOFI May Not Deliver Q1 Earnings Beat

Our proven model doesn’t conclusively predict an earnings beat for SOFI this time around. The combination of a positive Earnings ESP and a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy), 2 (Buy) or 3 (Hold) increases the odds of an earnings beat. But that’s not the case here. You can uncover the best stocks to buy or sell before they're reported with our Earnings ESP Filter.

SOFI has an Earnings ESP of -1.53% and a Zacks Rank #3. You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank stocks here.

SOFI May Deliver Strong Segmental Growth

We expect a significant year-over-year improvement in the company’s top line in the to-be-reported quarter, driven by healthy business from the Financial Services and Lending segments.

The consensus estimate for Financial Services revenues is pegged at $475 million, indicating 56.8% year-over-year growth. The consensus mark for Lending revenues is pegged at $521 million, indicating 26% year-over-year growth.

Investment Considerations

SoFi’s stock performance shows a mix of hesitation and recent strength. Shares are down 39% over the past six months, but are up 24% over the past month. The company has made solid progress with its asset-light platform, reducing reliance on traditional lending and strengthening its position in consumer finance.

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However, elevated valuations often introduce a degree of risk. When a company trades significantly above industry averages, even modest earnings disappointments or slower growth could lead to sharp market reactions. SoFi is trading at a forward 12-month Price/Earnings ratio of 28.24X, which is way higher than the industry’s average of 9.78X.

While SoFi Technologies’ expanding member base and diversified fintech platform offer meaningful growth potential, the current valuation implies that much of this optimism may already be reflected in the stock price. As a result, investors may closely monitor execution and profitability trends in the future.

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A Zacks Rank #3 supports a more cautious, wait-and-see stance as investors digest valuation levels.

A look at major fintech peers highlights how rich SoFi’s valuation appears. PayPal (PYPL - Free Report) remains one of the largest digital payments platforms globally, supported by a vast merchant and consumer network. Despite its scale and profitability, PayPal trades at more moderate valuation multiples than SoFi. Even with steady growth initiatives, it has not received the same premium investors currently assign to SoFi. PYPL trades at a forward price-to-earnings ratio of 9.08 and a trailing 12-month price-to-earnings ratio of 16.49. 

A similar pattern can be seen with Block (XYZ - Free Report) , the fintech company behind Square and Cash App. Block continues to expand its payment ecosystem and financial services offerings, yet it also trades at a comparatively lower valuation. XYZ trades at a forward price-to-earnings ratio of 17.44 and a trailing 12-month price-to-earnings ratio of 28.18.

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