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Compared to Estimates, Sunrun (RUN) Q1 Earnings: A Look at Key Metrics

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For the quarter ended March 2026, Sunrun (RUN - Free Report) reported revenue of $722.23 million, up 43.2% over the same period last year. EPS came in at $0.62, compared to $0.20 in the year-ago quarter.

The reported revenue represents a surprise of +6.96% over the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $675.26 million. With the consensus EPS estimate being -$0.05, the EPS surprise was +1444.9%.

While investors closely watch year-over-year changes in headline numbers -- revenue and earnings -- and how they compare to Wall Street expectations to determine their next course of action, some key metrics always provide a better insight into a company's underlying performance.

Since these metrics play a crucial role in driving the top- and bottom-line numbers, comparing them with the year-ago numbers and what analysts estimated about them helps investors better project a stock's price performance.

Here is how Sunrun performed in the just reported quarter in terms of the metrics most widely monitored and projected by Wall Street analysts:
  • Solar Capacity Installed for Subscribers: 148.70 MW compared to the 132.29 MW average estimate based on three analysts.
  • Solar Capacity Installed: 154.20 MW versus 150.50 MW estimated by three analysts on average.
  • Subscriber Value: $61,240.00 versus the three-analyst average estimate of $50,255.33.
  • Contracted Subscriber Value: $55,464.00 versus the three-analyst average estimate of $47,802.00.
  • Storage Capacity Installed: 282.30 Mwh versus 265.70 Mwh estimated by three analysts on average.
  • Subscriber additions: 17,665 compared to the 17,374 average estimate based on three analysts.
  • Revenue- Customer agreements and incentives: $467.82 million versus $472.14 million estimated by five analysts on average. Compared to the year-ago quarter, this number represents a +16.1% change.
  • Revenue- Solar energy systems and product sales: $254.41 million versus $199.71 million estimated by five analysts on average. Compared to the year-ago quarter, this number represents a +151% change.
  • Revenue- Customer agreements: $447.1 million compared to the $434.74 million average estimate based on three analysts. The reported number represents a change of +17.2% year over year.
  • Revenue- Incentives: $20.72 million compared to the $41.87 million average estimate based on three analysts. The reported number represents a change of -3.9% year over year.
  • Revenue- Solar energy systems: $212.22 million versus the two-analyst average estimate of $56.67 million. The reported number represents a year-over-year change of +429.6%.
  • Revenue- Products: $42.19 million versus $58.95 million estimated by two analysts on average. Compared to the year-ago quarter, this number represents a -31.2% change.

View all Key Company Metrics for Sunrun here>>>

Shares of Sunrun have returned +1.8% over the past month versus the Zacks S&P 500 composite's +10.3% change. The stock currently has a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy), indicating that it could outperform the broader market in the near term.

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