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Progressive's Q2 Earnings Beat Estimates, Premiums Rise Y/Y

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Key Takeaways

  • Progressive earned $4.85 per share, beating estimates by 3.2%, as premiums written rose 5%.
  • Net premiums earned grew 6% to $21.6 billion, while securities gains surged 56% to $604 million.
  • Personal Lines policies rose 8% to 38.9 million, but the combined ratio worsened 110 bps to 87.1%.

The Progressive Corporation’s (PGR - Free Report) second-quarter 2026 earnings per share of $4.85 beat the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 3.2%. The bottom line, however, decreased 6.1% year over year.

Behind the Headlines

Net premiums written were $21.1 billion in the quarter, up 5% from $20.1 billion a year ago. 

Net premiums earned grew 6% to $21.6 billion. The reported figure met the Zacks Consensus Estimate.

Net realized gains on securities were $604 million, up 56% year over year.

Combined ratio — the percentage of premiums paid out as claims and expenses — deteriorated 110 basis points (bps) from the prior-year quarter’s level to 87.1.

The Progressive Corporation Price, Consensus and EPS Surprise

The Progressive Corporation Price, Consensus and EPS Surprise

The Progressive Corporation price-consensus-eps-surprise-chart | The Progressive Corporation Quote

June Numbers in Details

Operating revenues grew 2.5% year over year to $7.6 billion, driven by 2.1% higher net premiums earned, a 11.5% increase in net investment income, a 2% rise in fees and other revenues, and 6.7% higher service revenues. The top line missed the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 1.2%.

Total expenses rose 6.1% to $6.6 billion, attributable to 5.3% higher losses and loss adjustment expenses, a 0.6% increase in policy acquisition costs, a 12.5% rise in other underwriting expenses, and a 8.5% increase in service expenses.

June Policies in Force

Policies in force were solid in the Personal Lines segment, up 8% from the year-ago month’s figure to 38.9 million. Special Lines improved 7% to 7.3 million.

In the Personal Auto segment, Agency Auto increased 8% year over year to 11.2 million, while Direct Auto increased 10% to 16.7 million.

Progressive’s Commercial Auto segment policies rose 3% year over year to 1.2 million. The Property business had 3.6 million policies in force, up 1%.

Financial Update

Progressive’s book value per share was $59.05 as of June 30, 2026, up 6.2% from $55.62 as of June 30, 2025.

Return on equity in June 2026 was 32.5%, down from 43.6% reported in the year-ago period. The total debt-to-total capital ratio deteriorated 210 bps to 19.6.

Zacks Rank

PGR currently carries a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold). You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here.

Upcoming Releases

The Travelers Companies Inc. (TRV - Free Report) will report second-quarter 2026 results on July 17, before market open. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for second-quarter earnings per share is pegged at $5.16, suggesting a decrease of 20.7% from the year-ago quarter’s reported figure.

TRV’s earnings beat estimates in the last four quarters.

Chubb Limited (CB - Free Report) will report second-quarter 2026 results on July 21, after market close. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for second-quarter earnings per share is pegged at $6.60 per share, indicating an increase of 7.5% from the year-ago quarter’s reported figure.

CB’s earnings beat estimates in the last four quarters.

W.R. Berkley Corporation (WRB - Free Report) will report second-quarter 2026 results on July 20, after market close. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for second-quarter earnings per share is pegged at $1.09, suggesting an increase of 3.8% from the year-ago quarter’s reported figure.

WRB’s earnings beat estimates in three of the last four reported quarters, while missing in one.

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