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Lumentum Q4 Earnings Call Focuses on AI Optics, OCS & NPO Ramps

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Key Takeaways

  • Lumentum's Q4 revenues reached $1.01B, topping the $988.60M consensus estimate.
  • Lumentum expects Q1 FY27 to mark its first triple-digit OCS revenue quarter, above $100M.
  • LITE sees tight laser supply as it expands capacity and prepares for NPO and CPO deployments in 2027-28.

Lumentum Holdings Inc.’s (LITE - Free Report) president and CEO Michael Hurlston used the fourth quarter of fiscal 2026 earnings call to stress broadening AI-driven optical demand across transceivers, lasers and optical circuit switches. He said newer growth drivers are only beginning to contribute.

The call centered on a faster revenue path and improving margins. Scale-out and scale-up connectivity demand is also rising while supply remains tight in several laser categories.

LITE Brings $1.25 Billion Target Forward

The CEO said Lumentum expects to reach its $1.25 billion quarterly revenue target early. He put the timing more than one quarter ahead of the schedule outlined at its last OFC update.

CFO Wajid Ali guided revenues for the first quarter of fiscal 2027 to $1.225 billion-$1.275 billion. He set non-GAAP operating margin at 39.5%-40.5% and earnings at $4.05-$4.35 per share.

Lumentum’s fourth-quarter fiscal 2026 revenues of $1.01 billion topped the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $988.60 million. The company reported quarterly earnings of $3.23 per share, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $2.99.

Lumentum Holdings Inc. Price, Consensus and EPS Surprise

Lumentum Holdings Inc. Price, Consensus and EPS Surprise

Lumentum Holdings Inc. price-consensus-eps-surprise-chart | Lumentum Holdings Inc. Quote

Lumentum Sees Laser Demand Staying Tight

Pump laser shipments rose more than 80% year over year and remain effectively sold out. Lumentum still expects a fourfold shipment increase over the next several quarters.

CEO Michael Hurlston said EML supply remains behind customer demand. The company expects more than 50% EML unit growth in the December 2026 quarter from a year earlier while allocating more capacity to CW lasers.

Global Business Units President Wupen Yuen said supply constraints are influencing customer choices between EML and CW solutions. He said technical considerations also matter as 1.6T volumes expand.

LITE Accelerates 1.6T and OCS Ramps

The CEO said most cloud transceiver shipments remained at 800G in the fourth quarter of fiscal 2026, while 1.6T shipments began as planned. He expects 1.6T uptake to intensify in first-quarter fiscal 2027 and continue through calendar 2027.

Hurlston said the first quarter of fiscal 2027 should mark Lumentum's first triple-digit OCS revenue quarter. He expects revenues to be meaningfully above $100 million.

In Q&A, a Citi analyst asked about the prior $400 million OCS outlook for the second half of calendar 2026. The CEO said Lumentum is tracking to that target, not ahead of it, after earlier supply-chain constraints.

Lumentum Expands NPO and CPO Opportunity

CEO Michael Hurlston said the lead CPO customer's production plans remain on track and its demand signal has increased. Lumentum expects high-volume scale-up laser shipments in the second half of calendar 2027 for 2028 deployments.

Lumentum also received its first ELS module order for delivery in the second half of calendar 2027. Hurlston said the module has a meaningfully higher selling price than the underlying lasers but lower margins than laser chips.

In Q&A, a JPMorgan analyst pressed on NPO timing. The CEO said leading NPO opportunities are in a similar timeframe, with some about a quarter earlier and initially favoring high-power laser architectures.

LITE Sees More Margin and Capacity Leverage

CFO Wajid Ali said non-GAAP gross margin reached 50.4% and operating margin reached 36.6% in the fourth quarter of fiscal 2026. He credited mix, manufacturing utilization and selective pricing.

A Mizuho analyst asked how operating leverage could evolve in fiscal 2027. Ali said the prior 38%-42% operating-margin framework at $2 billion of quarterly revenues could move up 100 to 200 basis points as gross margin improves.

A Wolfe Research analyst asked about indium phosphide substrate supply. CEO Michael Hurlston said ultra-high-power laser demand has accelerated, prompting added supply from AXTI and raising the prospect of substrate support if demand keeps rising.

Lumentum Keeps Focus on Execution

Across prepared remarks and Q&A, the CEO emphasized that demand is expanding faster than several capacity ramps. He highlighted high-power lasers while saying OCS execution has returned to plan.

Management's priorities remain capacity expansion, 1.6T growth and OCS scaling. The company is preparing for NPO and CPO deployments expected to broaden optical content in 2027 and 2028.

LITE's Zacks Signals Favor Growth and Momentum

LITE currently carries a Zacks Rank #2 (Buy), with a Growth Score of A, Momentum Score of B and VGM Score of B. In the Zacks Style Scores framework, A and B grades represent stronger characteristics, while the Value Score of D is weaker. You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here.

The Zacks Rank #2 and favorable Growth, Momentum and VGM scores support a stronger near-term profile within the Zacks methodology. The Zacks Rank can change as analyst earnings estimates are revised after the just-reported results.

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