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Can Mondelez's Organic Growth Momentum Continue Through 2026?

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Key Takeaways

  • Mondelez raises its 2026 organic net revenue growth outlook to at least 2% from flat to 2%.
  • Q2 organic revenues rose 2.2%, with volume/mix adding 0.7 points and pricing contributing 1.5 points.
  • Emerging Markets and North America stayed strong, while Europe is expected to improve in the second half.

Mondelez International, Inc. (MDLZ - Free Report) closed the first half of 2026 with organic revenue growth supported by improving volume/mix and continued pricing. Growth in the second quarter was broad across three of its four regions, while Europe showed signs of improvement. This momentum prompted the company to raise its full-year organic net revenue growth outlook.

Organic net revenues increased 2.2% in the second quarter, with volume/mix contributing 0.7 percentage points and pricing adding 1.5 points. Excluding the impact of package downsizing, underlying volume/mix was about 1.2 points. For the first six months of 2026, organic net revenues rose 2.6%, including 0.1 point from volume/mix and 2.5 points from pricing.

Emerging Markets grew 4.4% organically in the second quarter, supported by 1.6 points of volume/mix. North America advanced 3.4%, with volume/mix up 1.2 points. AMEA delivered 7.1% growth, including a 5.2-point volume/mix contribution, while Latin America increased 8.4%. The Latin America result included an approximately 1.5-point benefit from higher trade inventory ahead of the SAP S4 implementation in the mid-third quarter.

Europe remained softer, with organic revenues down 3.5% and volume/mix declining 2.1 points, largely reflecting lower chocolate volumes tied to unusually hot weather. The Zacks Rank #3 (Hold) company expects European volumes to improve through the second half.

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Image Source: Zacks Investment Research

Mondelez now expects at least 2% organic net revenue growth for 2026 compared with its previous outlook of flat to a 2% increase. Continued positive volume/mix, strength across Emerging Markets and North America and further improvement in Europe are the key elements supporting that higher full-year growth expectation.

Shares of MDLZ have rallied 15.5% year to date, outpacing the industry’s growth of 5%.

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