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Is This the Right Time to Hold Medtronic Stock in Your Portfolio?
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Key Takeaways
Medtronic's Cardiovascular business grew 9.3% organically in fiscal 2026, led by strong rhythm growth.
MDT's Hypertension momentum builds as Symplicity Spyral gains access and procedures double after the NCD.
Medtronic faces tariff costs and currency risks, with fiscal 2027 guidance signalling a revenue drag.
Medtronic plc (MDT - Free Report) is well-poised for growth in the upcoming quarters due to strong momentum in its Cardiovascular businesses, both in the United States and internationally. In Neuroscience, the company is investing across the portfolio to advance pipeline innovation and long-term growth. Medtronic’s Hypertension business could benefit from a large unmet need as renal denervation moves into broader use. Yet, macroeconomic pressures and adverse foreign exchange impacts may weigh on the company’s results.
Over the past year, this Zacks Rank #3 (Hold) stock has gained 0.1% against the industry’s 23.1% decline and the S&P 500 composite’s 20.2% rise.
The renowned medical device company has a market capitalization of $116.67 billion. Medtronic has an earnings yield of 6.5% compared with the industry’s yield of 2.6%. MDT’s earnings surpassed estimates in each of the trailing four quarters, delivering an average surprise of 2.3%.
Let’s delve deeper.
Tailwinds for MDT
Market Share Gain Within Cardiovascular to Continue: Medtronic is expanding its global foothold within the Cardiovascular business. Fiscal 2026 Cardiovascular revenues grew 9.3% organically, while fourth-quarter revenues rose 10.1% organically, led by 18.2% growth in Cardiac Rhythm & Heart Failure. Cardiac Ablation Solutions delivered 78% growth, including 124% growth in the United States, and gained 8 U.S. share points.
Cardiac Rhythm Management grew in the mid-single digits, supported by Micra, the SelectSecure 3830 lead, Aurora EV-ICD and OmniaSecure. Peripheral Vascular Health also benefits from the full market release of Liberant mechanical thrombectomy and Neuroguard IEP carotid stenting. These platforms support continued share capture across several cardiovascular categories, while fiscal 2027 commentary calls for Cardiovascular performance broadly in line with fiscal 2026.
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research
Neuroscience Portfolio Shows Growth Prospects: Medtronic’s Neuroscience portfolio remains broad, with growth opportunities across Cranial & Spinal Technologies, Specialty Therapies and Neuromodulation. Fiscal 2026 Neuroscience revenues rose 3.1% organically, and fourth-quarter growth was 3% organically, led by 6% growth in international markets. Within CST, Core Spine grew 6% in the fourth quarter, supported by ModuleX expansion and distributor conversions.
Stealth AXiS secured FDA clearance for spine, cranial and ENT indications and CE Mark for spine and cranial indications, which broadens the platform’s contribution to AiBLE. Specialty Therapies grew 3.4% organically in the fourth quarter, while Neurovascular rose 6% as hemorrhagic products advanced 11% with Neuroguard and Artisse adoption. In Pelvic Health, Altaviva is gaining traction, with active implanters up threefold sequentially and patients treated up 2.5 times. In Neuromodulation, SPR Therapeutics and ViaVerte expand Medtronic’s reach into chronic pain therapies and BVNA.
Hypertension, A New Focus Area: Medtronic’s Hypertension business is entering a broader commercial ramp-up through the Symplicity Spyral renal denervation procedure. The final Medicare National Coverage Determination enabled broader access, and procedure momentum improved after reimbursement clarity. Management noted that average weekly procedures doubled after the NCD, and Symplicity is now annualizing at $100 million.
The company estimates roughly 18 million people in the United States live with uncontrolled hypertension despite multiple medications. Long-term data in more than 2,000 patients showed sustained mean systolic BP reductions of 13.3 millimeters of mercury in ambulatory settings and 18.1 millimeters of mercury in office settings in three years. This evidence, combined with expanding reimbursement and patient demand, supports management’s view that renal denervation can become a multi-billion-dollar opportunity over time.
Downsides for MDT
Macroeconomic Issues Hamper Market Growth: Medtronic’s operations remain vulnerable to cost inflation, reimbursement constraints, geopolitical disruption and changing global trade policies. Tariffs impacted the business by 80 basis points (bps) in the fourth quarter of fiscal 2026 after a 110 bps impact in the third quarter. For fiscal 2027, management expects tariff impact on the cost of goods sold (COGS) of approximately $250 million, up $65 million year over year, with no government refund assumed.
Exposure to Currency Movement: Medtronic generates a large portion of sales internationally, leaving reported results sensitive to exchange rates. Foreign exchange added $819 million to fiscal 2026 revenues, but fiscal 2027 guidance assumes a neutral to $100 million revenue drag.
MDT Stock Estimate Trend
The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Medtronic’s fiscal 2027 earnings per share (EPS) has remained constant at $5.94 in the past 30 days.
The consensus estimate for the company’s fiscal 2027 revenues is pegged at $38.64 billion, implying a 6.3% increase from the year-ago reported number.
Globus Medical has an earnings yield of 5.8% compared to the industry’s negative 1.7% yield. Its earnings surpassed estimates in each of the trailing four quarters, with the average surprise being 27.9%. GMED shares have rallied 35.1% against the industry’s 3.5% decline over the past year.
Veracyte, sporting a Zacks Rank #1, has an earnings yield of 4.6% against the industry’s negative 1.7% yield. Shares of the company have risen 47.8% against the industry’s 3.5% plunge. VCYT’s earnings outpaced estimates in each of the trailing four quarters, the average surprise being 41.8%.
Teleflex, carrying a Zacks Rank #2 (Buy), has an estimated long-term earnings growth rate of 20.7% compared with the industry’s 12.8% growth. Its earnings beat estimates in three of the trailing four quarters and missed on one occasion, the average surprise being 3.2%. TFX shares have rallied 9.9% against the industry’s 3.5% fall over the past year.
View the Zacks #1 Rank List
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Is This the Right Time to Hold Medtronic Stock in Your Portfolio?
Key Takeaways
Medtronic plc (MDT - Free Report) is well-poised for growth in the upcoming quarters due to strong momentum in its Cardiovascular businesses, both in the United States and internationally. In Neuroscience, the company is investing across the portfolio to advance pipeline innovation and long-term growth. Medtronic’s Hypertension business could benefit from a large unmet need as renal denervation moves into broader use. Yet, macroeconomic pressures and adverse foreign exchange impacts may weigh on the company’s results.
Over the past year, this Zacks Rank #3 (Hold) stock has gained 0.1% against the industry’s 23.1% decline and the S&P 500 composite’s 20.2% rise.
The renowned medical device company has a market capitalization of $116.67 billion. Medtronic has an earnings yield of 6.5% compared with the industry’s yield of 2.6%. MDT’s earnings surpassed estimates in each of the trailing four quarters, delivering an average surprise of 2.3%.
Let’s delve deeper.
Tailwinds for MDT
Market Share Gain Within Cardiovascular to Continue: Medtronic is expanding its global foothold within the Cardiovascular business. Fiscal 2026 Cardiovascular revenues grew 9.3% organically, while fourth-quarter revenues rose 10.1% organically, led by 18.2% growth in Cardiac Rhythm & Heart Failure. Cardiac Ablation Solutions delivered 78% growth, including 124% growth in the United States, and gained 8 U.S. share points.
Cardiac Rhythm Management grew in the mid-single digits, supported by Micra, the SelectSecure 3830 lead, Aurora EV-ICD and OmniaSecure. Peripheral Vascular Health also benefits from the full market release of Liberant mechanical thrombectomy and Neuroguard IEP carotid stenting. These platforms support continued share capture across several cardiovascular categories, while fiscal 2027 commentary calls for Cardiovascular performance broadly in line with fiscal 2026.
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research
Neuroscience Portfolio Shows Growth Prospects: Medtronic’s Neuroscience portfolio remains broad, with growth opportunities across Cranial & Spinal Technologies, Specialty Therapies and Neuromodulation. Fiscal 2026 Neuroscience revenues rose 3.1% organically, and fourth-quarter growth was 3% organically, led by 6% growth in international markets. Within CST, Core Spine grew 6% in the fourth quarter, supported by ModuleX expansion and distributor conversions.
Stealth AXiS secured FDA clearance for spine, cranial and ENT indications and CE Mark for spine and cranial indications, which broadens the platform’s contribution to AiBLE. Specialty Therapies grew 3.4% organically in the fourth quarter, while Neurovascular rose 6% as hemorrhagic products advanced 11% with Neuroguard and Artisse adoption. In Pelvic Health, Altaviva is gaining traction, with active implanters up threefold sequentially and patients treated up 2.5 times. In Neuromodulation, SPR Therapeutics and ViaVerte expand Medtronic’s reach into chronic pain therapies and BVNA.
Hypertension, A New Focus Area: Medtronic’s Hypertension business is entering a broader commercial ramp-up through the Symplicity Spyral renal denervation procedure. The final Medicare National Coverage Determination enabled broader access, and procedure momentum improved after reimbursement clarity. Management noted that average weekly procedures doubled after the NCD, and Symplicity is now annualizing at $100 million.
The company estimates roughly 18 million people in the United States live with uncontrolled hypertension despite multiple medications. Long-term data in more than 2,000 patients showed sustained mean systolic BP reductions of 13.3 millimeters of mercury in ambulatory settings and 18.1 millimeters of mercury in office settings in three years. This evidence, combined with expanding reimbursement and patient demand, supports management’s view that renal denervation can become a multi-billion-dollar opportunity over time.
Downsides for MDT
Macroeconomic Issues Hamper Market Growth: Medtronic’s operations remain vulnerable to cost inflation, reimbursement constraints, geopolitical disruption and changing global trade policies. Tariffs impacted the business by 80 basis points (bps) in the fourth quarter of fiscal 2026 after a 110 bps impact in the third quarter. For fiscal 2027, management expects tariff impact on the cost of goods sold (COGS) of approximately $250 million, up $65 million year over year, with no government refund assumed.
Exposure to Currency Movement: Medtronic generates a large portion of sales internationally, leaving reported results sensitive to exchange rates. Foreign exchange added $819 million to fiscal 2026 revenues, but fiscal 2027 guidance assumes a neutral to $100 million revenue drag.
MDT Stock Estimate Trend
The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Medtronic’s fiscal 2027 earnings per share (EPS) has remained constant at $5.94 in the past 30 days.
The consensus estimate for the company’s fiscal 2027 revenues is pegged at $38.64 billion, implying a 6.3% increase from the year-ago reported number.
Key Picks
Some better-ranked stocks in the broader medical space are Globus Medical (GMED - Free Report) , Veracyte (VCYT - Free Report) and Teleflex (TFX - Free Report) .
Globus Medical has an earnings yield of 5.8% compared to the industry’s negative 1.7% yield. Its earnings surpassed estimates in each of the trailing four quarters, with the average surprise being 27.9%. GMED shares have rallied 35.1% against the industry’s 3.5% decline over the past year.
GMED sports a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy) at present. You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank stocks here.
Veracyte, sporting a Zacks Rank #1, has an earnings yield of 4.6% against the industry’s negative 1.7% yield. Shares of the company have risen 47.8% against the industry’s 3.5% plunge. VCYT’s earnings outpaced estimates in each of the trailing four quarters, the average surprise being 41.8%.
Teleflex, carrying a Zacks Rank #2 (Buy), has an estimated long-term earnings growth rate of 20.7% compared with the industry’s 12.8% growth. Its earnings beat estimates in three of the trailing four quarters and missed on one occasion, the average surprise being 3.2%. TFX shares have rallied 9.9% against the industry’s 3.5% fall over the past year.