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Can MDU's Capital Investments Drive Long-Term Earnings Growth?

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Key Takeaways

  • MDU plans nearly $3.1B in capital investments through 2030 across electric, gas and pipeline projects.
  • Bakken East Pipeline has nearly 1.2 Bcf/day contracted capacity and could require $2.7B-$3.2B.
  • MDU expects 1-2% annual customer growth and has over 1 GW of data center load under signed agreements.

MDU Resources (MDU - Free Report) benefits from strategic capital investments that strengthen its regulated utility and pipeline infrastructure, support rising customer demand and improve system reliability. These investments also strengthen rate-base growth, support timely regulatory recovery and drive revenue growth.

The company plans capital investments of nearly $3.1 billion through 2030, including about $1.1 billion in electric, $1.4 billion in natural gas distribution and $0.64 billion in pipeline investments. These projects are aimed at upgrading and modernizing infrastructure, meeting rising customer demand and supporting system reliability.

MDU also has significant pipeline growth opportunities. The proposed Bakken East Pipeline has nearly 1.2 billion cubic feet (Bcf) per day of contracted capacity and could require $2.7-$3.2 billion in additional investment if approved. The project would expand MDU’s pipeline footprint, strengthen long-term growth prospects and support earnings growth.

MDU expects its customer base to grow 1-2% annually and has more than 1 gigawatt of data center load under signed electric service agreements. Its capital investments are expected to drive long-term earnings growth of 6-8%.

Overall, capital investments can expand MDU’s regulated rate base, while regulatory mechanisms can support the timely recovery of eligible costs and returns on approved investments. This creates a foundation for revenues, cash flow and long-term earnings growth.

Capital Spending Strengthening Utility Growth

Regulated gas distribution companies are increasing capital investments to replace aging pipelines, expand distribution networks and enhance system reliability as customer demand grows. These investments can expand the regulated rate base and support long-term earnings growth through approved regulatory recovery.

ONE Gas (OGS - Free Report) plans to invest approximately $4.3 billion through 2030 in system integrity, pipeline replacements and customer extensions, supporting 7-9% annual rate-base growth and earnings.

Southwest Gas Holdings (SWX - Free Report) aims to invest $6.3 billion during 2026-2030, focused on safety, new business and system upgrades, supporting a 9.5-11.5% rate-base compound annual growth rate and customer expansion.

The Zacks Rundown on MDU

MDU’s Earnings Estimates

The Zacks Consensus Estimate for 2026 and 2027 EPS indicates a year-over-year increase of 5.38% and 7.91%, respectively.

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Debt to Capital

MDU's debt-to-capital ratio currently stands at 46.82%, lower than the gas distribution industry’s 54.52%.

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Image Source: Zacks Investment Research

MDU’s Stock Price Performance

In the past year, the company’s shares have risen 23.6% compared with the industry’s 7.2% growth.

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MDU’s Zacks Rank

MDU Resources currently carries a Zacks Rank #2 (Buy). You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here.

 

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