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Joby Aviation, Inc. (JOBY) Down 16.5% Since Last Earnings Report: Can It Rebound?

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A month has gone by since the last earnings report for Joby Aviation, Inc. (JOBY - Free Report) . Shares have lost about 16.5% in that time frame, underperforming the S&P 500.

But investors have to be wondering, will the recent negative trend continue leading up to its next earnings release, or is Joby Aviation, Inc. due for a breakout? Well, first let's take a quick look at its latest earnings report in order to get a better handle on the recent catalysts for Joby Aviation, Inc. before we dive into how investors and analysts have reacted as of late.

JOBY Incurs Loss in Q2

Joby Aviation reported a second-quarter 2026 loss of 25 cents per share, wider than the Zacks Consensus Estimate of a loss of 23 cents per share. In the year-ago quarter, JOBY reported a loss of 41 cents per share.

Quarterly revenues came in at $38.6 million, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $29 million. Revenues were up from $15,000 in the prior-year period, with Blade contributing $36.2 million in the reported quarter amid seasonal demand and strong passenger activity.

In the June-end quarter, total operating expenses increased 78.4% year over year to $299.52 million. Research and development expenses rose 42.7% to $194.66 million, while selling, general and administrative expenses climbed 143.2% to $76.56 million as Joby invested in certification, manufacturing and commercial readiness and supported the growth of Blade.

Adjusted EBITDA in the second quarter of 2026 was a loss of approximately $197 million, compared with a loss of approximately $179 million in the first quarter. Management attributed the sequential change to the quarter's revenue and expense dynamics.

JOBY exited the second quarter with cash and cash equivalents of $629.86 million and total cash, cash equivalents and short-term investments of $2.26 billion. Long-term debt was $701.87 million at June 30, 2026.

JOBY's Guidance

The company raised its full-year 2026 revenue outlook to a range of $115 million to $125 million from $105 million to $115 million, citing Blade's continued strength. For the second half of 2026, Joby expects to use between $385 million and $415 million of cash, cash equivalents and short-term investments.

On the operating front, Joby expects its first flights under the White House-backed eIPP program in Texas in September and continues to target carrying its first passengers in 2026. The company said five aircraft are flying and another 12 are in production, while it recorded its strongest quarterly progress yet in the fifth and final stage of FAA type certification.

How Have Estimates Been Moving Since Then?

Since the earnings release, investors have witnessed a downward trend in estimates revision.

The consensus estimate has shifted -13.04% due to these changes.

VGM Scores

Currently, Joby Aviation, Inc. has a poor Growth Score of F, a score with the same score on the momentum front. Following the exact same course, the stock was allocated a grade of F on the value side, putting it in the lowest quintile for this investment strategy.

Overall, the stock has an aggregate VGM Score of F. If you aren't focused on one strategy, this score is the one you should be interested in.

Outlook

Estimates have been broadly trending downward for the stock, and the magnitude of these revisions indicates a downward shift. Interestingly, Joby Aviation, Inc. has a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold). We expect an in-line return from the stock in the next few months.

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