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NTAP Stock Up 14.8% in 3 Months Can AI Momentum Keep It Climbing?

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Key Takeaways

  • NetApp shares climbed 14.8% in three months as flash growth, AI deals and earnings momentum strengthened.
  • NetApp added about 350 AI and data lake modernization deals as customers shifted into production workloads.
  • NetApp raised fiscal 2027 revenue guidance to $7.975-$8.225 billion and earnings to $9.73-$10.03.

NetApp, Inc. (NTAP - Free Report) shares have gained 14.8% over the past three months as all-flash growth, AI-related deal activity and earnings momentum strengthened. Management also raised its fiscal 2027 revenue and earnings outlook after a record first quarter.

The question now is whether those fundamentals can support the advance while investors weigh higher component costs, a richer product mix and purchase timing. The stock's near-term momentum indicators remain favorable, but the recent run raises the bar for execution.

NetApp's AI Storage Momentum Supports the Run

All-flash revenues rose 46.6% year over year to a record $1.31 billion in first-quarter fiscal 2027. All-flash and Public Cloud together represented 75% of quarterly net revenues, increasing the contribution from NetApp's strategic storage and cloud offerings.

NetApp added approximately 350 AI and data lake modernization deals during the quarter. Management said deal sizes increased as customers moved from proof-of-concept projects into production workloads. That shift shows AI activity extending beyond pilot deployments and into larger production environments.

NTAP's Q1 Beat Adds Fundamental Support

Net revenues increased 29.9% to $2.025 billion and beat the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.843 billion by 9.9%. Non-GAAP earnings climbed 66.5% to $2.58 per share, exceeding the $2.13 consensus mark by 21.1%.

The extra week contributed about $65 million to revenues, mainly through support and Public Cloud. Excluding that benefit, revenues still grew 26% year over year. Non-GAAP operating margin expanded to 31.9% from 25.7%, reflecting substantial operating leverage in the quarter.

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NetApp's Raised Outlook Extends the Growth Case

Management raised fiscal 2027 revenue guidance to $7.975-$8.225 billion. The $8.10 billion midpoint implies 17% year-over-year growth and the revised outlook is $650 million above prior guidance, extending the stronger growth outlook beyond the first quarter.

Non-GAAP earnings guidance increased to $9.73-$10.03 per share. The $9.88 midpoint represents 22% growth from fiscal 2026. The current-fiscal-year earnings estimate has also moved 2.5% higher over the past four weeks, adding support to the earnings trend.

NetApp, Inc. Price, Consensus and EPS Surprise

NetApp, Inc. Price, Consensus and EPS Surprise

NetApp, Inc. price-consensus-eps-surprise-chart | NetApp, Inc. Quote

NTAP Faces Margin and Timing Risks After the Gain

Product gross margin fell 150 basis points sequentially to 54.6% as component costs increased. NetApp expects second-quarter non-GAAP gross margin of 67-68% and fiscal 2027 gross margin of 68.1-69.1%, with a richer product mix expected to limit consolidated margins.

Demand timing is another risk. Management saw pockets of accelerated purchasing among larger customers, which can shift revenues between periods and make quarterly comparisons uneven. Competition also remains active as vendors invest in AI-ready storage.

Dell Technologies Inc. (DELL - Free Report) is expanding its AI Data Platform with file, object and parallel-file storage for enterprise AI workloads. Hewlett Packard Enterprise Company (HPE - Free Report) is advancing Alletra Storage MP X10000 with file and object capabilities for AI data pipelines. These investments keep product differentiation and pricing execution important for NetApp.

NetApp's Momentum Signal Stays Strong

NTAP's 14.8% three-month gain is backed by faster flash growth, production-stage AI activity, an earnings beat and higher fiscal 2027 guidance, while margin pressure and purchase timing remain offsets. The stock currently carries a Zacks Rank #2 (Buy), reflecting favorable short-term earnings-estimate revision trends. You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here.

NetApp has a Momentum Score of A, pointing to favorable momentum characteristics. Its Growth Score of C, Value Score of D and VGM Score of C are less supportive.

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