Back to top

Image: Zacks

CASY Q1 Earnings Call Keeps Outlook Intact on Food, Fuel Strength

Read MoreHide Full Article

Key Takeaways

  • Casey's Q1 EPS hit $7.37 on $5.68B revenue, while fiscal 2027 guidance remained unchanged.
  • Prepared-food and dispensed-beverage same-store sales rose 4.8%, driven mostly by traffic.
  • CEFCO remodels lifted prepared-food and beverage sales about 30%, with a bigger impact expected in Q4.

Casey's General Stores, Inc. (CASY - Free Report) used its first-quarter fiscal 2027 call to reinforce an unchanged outlook while highlighting food and fuel profitability, CEFCO conversion progress and controlled labor hours.

Earnings per share of $7.37 topped the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $6.60, while revenues of $5.68 billion exceeded the $5.65 billion estimate. The call centered on prepared-food traffic, fuel-margin execution and acquisition benefits.

CASY Holds Fiscal 2027 Outlook Steady

Chief financial officer (“CFO”) Stephen Bramlage said Casey's kept its fiscal 2027 outlook unchanged and plans to update annual guidance after the second quarter, following its seasonally largest period.

CFO Bramlage said Casey's still expects inside same-store sales growth of 2% to 5%, inside margin above 42%, same-store fuel gallons ranging from down 1% to up 1%, operating expense growth of 5% to 7%, and EBITDA growth of 8% to 10%.

Bramlage said August inside and fuel same-store volumes were consistent with first-quarter results and within annual guidance. Fuel margin was in the low-40-cent-per-gallon range, while cheese costs were slightly favorable year over year.

Casey's Food Value Drives Traffic

President and CEO Darren Rebelez said prepared food and dispensed beverage same-store sales rose 4.8%, with most growth coming from traffic and minimal pricing. Whole-pizza units increased nearly double digits.

CEO Rebelez said prepared-food transactions increased more than 100 basis points and units rose nearly 4%. CFO Bramlage said the category's 59.3% gross margin benefited partly from lower cheese costs and an internal distribution-cost reclassification.

In Q&A, a BMO Capital Markets analyst pressed management on grocery softness. CEO Rebelez said lower-income customers were slightly more affected, but all three income cohorts Casey's tracks posted growth, while weakness centered on beer, snacks and cigarettes.

CASY Manages Fuel Volatility

CEO Rebelez said same-store fuel gallons fell 0.3%, including an approximately 50-basis-point drag from CEFCO remodeling, while Casey's fuel margin was 47.8 cents per gallon.

A Wells Fargo analyst asked about fuel-margin durability. CFO Bramlage described a volatile quarter, with margins ranging from the 30s to the 60s on some days but spending most days in the 40s.

CEO Rebelez said higher fuel prices led customers to buy fewer gallons per visit but make more trips, while some shifted toward regular gasoline or higher-ethanol blends. Higher-ethanol products carry stronger margins, he said.

Casey's CEFCO Remodels Push Benefits Later

CEO Rebelez said Casey's remodeled 24 CEFCO stores in the first quarter after completing about 50 in fiscal 2026. Remodeled locations have generated an average prepared-food and dispensed-beverage lift of approximately 30%.

A JPMorgan analyst asked when remodel disruption could turn into a net benefit. CEO Rebelez said current projects can disrupt stores for four to six weeks and pointed to the fourth quarter for a more meaningful inflection.

CFO Bramlage said the disruption was already incorporated into annual guidance. CEO Rebelez said Casey's remains on track to add at least 120 stores in fiscal 2027 through acquisitions and new construction.

CASY Balances Expense Growth With Expansion

Operating expenses rose 8%. CFO Bramlage told a Goldman Sachs analyst that new units contributed about two percentage points, same-store employee expense about 1.5 points, and same-store credit card fees roughly 1.5 to two points.

CFO Bramlage said second-quarter operating expense growth should resemble the first quarter, partly because higher retail fuel prices lift card fees. He still expects the full year within Casey's 5% to 7% expense-growth range.

A Melius Research analyst asked about M&A. CEO Rebelez said conditions remain favorable for buyers and reiterated that roughly half of the 120-store target should come from new builds and half from smaller acquisitions.

Casey's Focus Stays on Execution

CEO Rebelez kept the focus on executing the three-year plan, emphasizing prepared-food traffic, CEFCO conversions, fuel capabilities and operational efficiency.

CFO Bramlage paired that confidence with an unchanged annual framework and reserved a formal guidance update for the second-quarter earnings call.

CASY's Zacks Rank and Style Score Signals

CASY carries a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold), with a Value Score of C and Growth, Momentum and VGM Scores of A. Under the Zacks Style Scores framework, A grades represent stronger characteristics than lower grades in their respective categories.

The combination falls short of the framework's most-favored setup, which emphasizes Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy) or #2 (Buy) stocks paired with A or B Style Scores. The Zacks Rank can change as earnings estimates are revised after the just-reported results. You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank stocks here.



 

Published in