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Mission Produce's Blueberry Business: A Hidden Opportunity?

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Key Takeaways

  • Mission Produce's blueberry sales rose to $5.4M in fiscal Q3 from $4.5M a year earlier.
  • Blueberry adjusted EBITDA fell to a $0.1M loss, reflecting the business' pronounced seasonality.
  • Mission Produce expects the seasonal blueberry ramp to support stronger Q4 cash generation and EBITDA.

Mission Produce, Inc.’s (AVO - Free Report) growth story is increasingly extending beyond its core avocado operations, with blueberries emerging as a potentially meaningful complementary business. The company has been investing in blueberry acreage and related infrastructure in Peru, creating another seasonal earnings stream within its vertically integrated platform. Management noted that newer acreage continues to mature, while efforts remain focused on improving yields, lowering per-unit costs and generating stronger returns from the infrastructure already established.

Although the blueberry business remains relatively small, recent trends point to growing scale. Fiscal third-quarter blueberry sales increased to $5.4 million from $4.5 million in the year-ago period. Segment adjusted EBITDA, however, slipped to a loss of $0.1 million from a profit of $0.5 million, highlighting the business’ pronounced seasonality. Management emphasized that most blueberry sales and profitability are concentrated in the fiscal fourth and first quarters, making near-term quarterly comparisons less indicative of its full earnings potential.

The near-term opportunity lies in the expected seasonal ramp as Mission Produce moves into its stronger blueberry selling period. Management expects increased blueberry activity to support a meaningful improvement in fourth-quarter cash generation and has cited the seasonal blueberry ramp as one of the drivers behind its projected sequential increase in adjusted EBITDA. As additional acreage matures and productivity improves, blueberries could gradually provide greater diversification to Mission Produce’s earnings base while enhancing returns from its Peruvian agricultural infrastructure.

Corteva’s Growth Prospects vs. Dole’s Margin Pressures

Corteva, Inc. (CTVA - Free Report) innovation-led growth prospects contrast with Dole plc’s (DOLE - Free Report) near-term cost pressures, though diversification and operational initiatives offer support for both companies.

Corteva is positioned to benefit from sustained demand for agricultural productivity solutions, supported by its portfolio of advanced seeds, crop protection products and biological offerings. The company’s focus on innovation, differentiated genetics and new product launches is aimed at helping growers improve yields and manage evolving pest, disease and climate-related challenges. Its broad global presence and continued investment in research and development provide a foundation for long-term growth across key agricultural markets.

Dole is facing pronounced supply- and cost-driven margin pressure, particularly within its Fresh Fruit segment. Higher fruit sourcing costs, elevated shipping and fuel expenses, adverse weather affecting pineapple availability and growing costs, and unfavorable currency movements continue to weigh on profitability. However, stronger performance in the Diversified Fresh Produce — Americas & ROW segment, supported by healthy kiwi and avocado volumes, is providing some cushion. Dole’s diversified sourcing network, pricing initiatives and operational efficiencies should help mitigate these headwinds, though a sustained margin recovery will depend on moderating fruit procurement, logistics and other input costs.

AVO’s Price Performance, Valuation & Estimates

Shares of Mission Produce have gained 13.3% in the last three months compared with the industry’s growth of 4.5%.

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From a valuation standpoint, AVO trades at a forward price-to-earnings ratio of 16.66X, above the industry’s average of 14.89X.

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The Zacks Consensus Estimate for AVO’s fiscal 2026 earnings suggests a year-over-year decline of 17.2%, while that for fiscal 2027 indicates growth of 29.2%. The company’s EPS estimates for fiscal 2026 and 2027 have remained stable in the past seven days.

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AVO stock currently carries a Zacks Rank #2 (Buy). You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here.

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