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AVO Gains 7% in 3 Months: Is This the Right Time to Buy the Stock?
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Key Takeaways
Mission Produce stock rose 7.1% in three months, outpacing the Consumer Staples sector and S&P 500.
Mission Produce sold 253M pounds of avocados in Q3, up 38%, aided by Calavo and higher legacy volumes.
Mission Produce raised annualized Calavo cost-synergy expectations to more than $30M from at least $25M.
Shares of Mission Produce, Inc. (AVO - Free Report) have shown strong momentum, rising 7.1% in the past three months. With this growth, the stock has outperformed the Consumer Staples sector’s gain of 0.4%, the S&P 500 increase of 5.2% and the Zacks Agriculture – Operations industry’s fall of 0.4%.
AVO’s 3-Month Price Performance
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research
AVO’s performance is also notably stronger than that of its close competitor, Dole Plc (DOLE - Free Report) , which posted a decline of 6.4% in the past three months. However, AVO has underperformed Adecoagro (AGRO - Free Report) and Archer Daniels Midland Company (ADM - Free Report) , which have climbed 16.6% and 7.3%, respectively, during the same timeframe.
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research
Currently at $12.70, AVO stock trades 26.1% above its 52-week low of $10.07. The stock’s price also stands 18.22% below its 52-week high of $15.53, reflecting upside potential.
What’s Fueling AVO’s Growth Story?
Mission Produce’s growth outlook is gaining support from resilient avocado demand, improving sourcing flexibility and early benefits from the Calavo Growers acquisition. In the third quarter of fiscal 2026, U.S. retail avocado volume increased about 9% year over year even as average retail prices rose roughly 15% sequentially. U.S. avocado consumption remained at record levels, exceeding 10 pounds per capita year to date and increasing 12% from the prior year, while household penetration improved about 50 basis points. These trends suggest that the lower-price environment earlier in the year helped broaden the consumer base without materially weakening demand as prices recovered.
Mission Produce is also benefiting from stronger volume growth and an improving sourcing mix. The company sold approximately 253 million pounds of avocados in the fiscal third quarter, up 38% year over year, reflecting the addition of Calavo and higher legacy Mission volumes. Importantly, California and Peru became more meaningful supply sources during the quarter, allowing the company to better balance fruit sizes and customer demand across Mexico, California and Peru. This improved origin mix helped per-unit margins recover sequentially from the fiscal second quarter and highlighted the advantage of Mission Produce’s multi-origin sourcing platform.
The Calavo acquisition represents another meaningful growth driver. Mission Produce has raised its annualized cost-synergy target to more than $30 million from at least $25 million previously, primarily driven by greater SG&A savings and network efficiencies identified after closing. The company is already moving fruit across the combined network, reducing dependence on higher-cost external sourcing and improving inventory positioning. Synergies are expected to begin contributing in the fiscal fourth quarter and build more meaningfully through fiscal 2027. The combination also expands Mission Produce’s customer reach, packing capacity and exposure to value-added prepared foods, including processed avocado and guacamole products.
International Farming should further support near-term earnings growth. Mission Produce expects exportable avocado production from its Peruvian farms of 120-130 million pounds this season, up from 105 million pounds last year, with a greater portion of production expected to be sold in the fiscal fourth quarter. Management also expects blueberry activity to strengthen seasonally. Consequently, the company reaffirmed second-half adjusted EBITDA guidance of $84-$88 million and expects fiscal fourth-quarter adjusted EBITDA of $52-$55 million, supported by higher Peruvian crop sales, the seasonal blueberry ramp, a full-quarter contribution from Calavo and improving avocado margins.
Key Risks That Could Temper AVO’s Progress
Mission Produce remains exposed to avocado supply and pricing volatility despite the recent improvement in operating conditions. Fiscal third-quarter average avocado selling prices declined 9% year over year amid elevated industry supply, contributing to a 270-basis-point contraction in consolidated gross margin to 9.9%. International Farming adjusted EBITDA also declined to $7.6 million from $12.1 million, mainly because of lower average avocado sales prices. Management expects industry volumes to remain elevated in the fiscal fourth quarter, which could continue to influence the pricing environment. Changes in harvest timing, vessel schedules, destination-market pricing and customer sales timing may also cause quarterly earnings volatility.
At the same time, integrating Calavo introduces execution, cost and balance-sheet risks. Mission Produce continues to incur transaction and integration-related expenses as it works through facility, technology, organizational and process changes. The acquisition has also increased leverage and interest costs, while operating cash flow has been pressured by lower income, integration spending and working-capital requirements. Successfully capturing the expected synergies without disrupting customer service will be critical. The company must also improve cash generation and reduce leverage over time, making disciplined integration and capital allocation important to sustaining operational and financial progress.
Mission Produce’s Estimate Revision Trend
The Zacks Consensus Estimate for AVO’s fiscal 2026 and 2027 EPS remained unchanged in the last seven days. For fiscal 2026, the Zacks Consensus Estimate for AVO’s sales implies year-over-year growth of 3.6%, whereas EPS implies a decline of 17.7%. The consensus mark for fiscal 2027 sales and earnings suggests year-over-year growth of 12.4% and 29.2%, respectively.
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research
Is AVO’s Premium Valuation Justified?
Mission Produce is currently trading at a forward 12-month P/E multiple of 16.37X, above the industry average of 14.67X.
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research
While this valuation may appear stretched at first glance, it remains well below the company’s five-year peak multiple of 58.58X, suggesting room for potential upside. The premium valuation signals that investors continue to factor in solid growth prospects and expect strong future performance from AVO.
At its current valuation, Mission Produce trades at a notable premium to several close competitors, including Dole, Adecoagro and Archer Daniels, all of which are delivering lower earnings multiples. Dole, Adecoagro and Archer Daniels have forward 12-month P/E ratios of 9.29X, 9.05X and 15.15X — all significantly lower than that of AVO.
Should You Buy, Hold or Sell AVO Stock?
Mission Produce’s growth prospects remain supported by resilient avocado demand, improving sourcing flexibility, higher expected Peruvian production and the benefits of the Calavo acquisition. Management’s increased synergy expectations and outlook for stronger fiscal fourth-quarter profitability also support the earnings trajectory. Although avocado price volatility, integration-related execution risks, elevated leverage and a premium valuation remain concerns, the company’s improving operating backdrop and longer-term growth potential provide support. AVO currently carries a Zacks Rank #2 (Buy), suggesting that investors may consider adding the stock to their portfolios while monitoring progress on margin recovery, synergy realization, cash-flow improvement and debt reduction.
View the Zacks #1 Rank List
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AVO Gains 7% in 3 Months: Is This the Right Time to Buy the Stock?
Key Takeaways
Shares of Mission Produce, Inc. (AVO - Free Report) have shown strong momentum, rising 7.1% in the past three months. With this growth, the stock has outperformed the Consumer Staples sector’s gain of 0.4%, the S&P 500 increase of 5.2% and the Zacks Agriculture – Operations industry’s fall of 0.4%.
AVO’s 3-Month Price Performance
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research
AVO’s performance is also notably stronger than that of its close competitor, Dole Plc (DOLE - Free Report) , which posted a decline of 6.4% in the past three months. However, AVO has underperformed Adecoagro (AGRO - Free Report) and Archer Daniels Midland Company (ADM - Free Report) , which have climbed 16.6% and 7.3%, respectively, during the same timeframe.
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research
Currently at $12.70, AVO stock trades 26.1% above its 52-week low of $10.07. The stock’s price also stands 18.22% below its 52-week high of $15.53, reflecting upside potential.
What’s Fueling AVO’s Growth Story?
Mission Produce’s growth outlook is gaining support from resilient avocado demand, improving sourcing flexibility and early benefits from the Calavo Growers acquisition. In the third quarter of fiscal 2026, U.S. retail avocado volume increased about 9% year over year even as average retail prices rose roughly 15% sequentially. U.S. avocado consumption remained at record levels, exceeding 10 pounds per capita year to date and increasing 12% from the prior year, while household penetration improved about 50 basis points. These trends suggest that the lower-price environment earlier in the year helped broaden the consumer base without materially weakening demand as prices recovered.
Mission Produce is also benefiting from stronger volume growth and an improving sourcing mix. The company sold approximately 253 million pounds of avocados in the fiscal third quarter, up 38% year over year, reflecting the addition of Calavo and higher legacy Mission volumes. Importantly, California and Peru became more meaningful supply sources during the quarter, allowing the company to better balance fruit sizes and customer demand across Mexico, California and Peru. This improved origin mix helped per-unit margins recover sequentially from the fiscal second quarter and highlighted the advantage of Mission Produce’s multi-origin sourcing platform.
The Calavo acquisition represents another meaningful growth driver. Mission Produce has raised its annualized cost-synergy target to more than $30 million from at least $25 million previously, primarily driven by greater SG&A savings and network efficiencies identified after closing. The company is already moving fruit across the combined network, reducing dependence on higher-cost external sourcing and improving inventory positioning. Synergies are expected to begin contributing in the fiscal fourth quarter and build more meaningfully through fiscal 2027. The combination also expands Mission Produce’s customer reach, packing capacity and exposure to value-added prepared foods, including processed avocado and guacamole products.
International Farming should further support near-term earnings growth. Mission Produce expects exportable avocado production from its Peruvian farms of 120-130 million pounds this season, up from 105 million pounds last year, with a greater portion of production expected to be sold in the fiscal fourth quarter. Management also expects blueberry activity to strengthen seasonally. Consequently, the company reaffirmed second-half adjusted EBITDA guidance of $84-$88 million and expects fiscal fourth-quarter adjusted EBITDA of $52-$55 million, supported by higher Peruvian crop sales, the seasonal blueberry ramp, a full-quarter contribution from Calavo and improving avocado margins.
Key Risks That Could Temper AVO’s Progress
Mission Produce remains exposed to avocado supply and pricing volatility despite the recent improvement in operating conditions. Fiscal third-quarter average avocado selling prices declined 9% year over year amid elevated industry supply, contributing to a 270-basis-point contraction in consolidated gross margin to 9.9%. International Farming adjusted EBITDA also declined to $7.6 million from $12.1 million, mainly because of lower average avocado sales prices. Management expects industry volumes to remain elevated in the fiscal fourth quarter, which could continue to influence the pricing environment. Changes in harvest timing, vessel schedules, destination-market pricing and customer sales timing may also cause quarterly earnings volatility.
At the same time, integrating Calavo introduces execution, cost and balance-sheet risks. Mission Produce continues to incur transaction and integration-related expenses as it works through facility, technology, organizational and process changes. The acquisition has also increased leverage and interest costs, while operating cash flow has been pressured by lower income, integration spending and working-capital requirements. Successfully capturing the expected synergies without disrupting customer service will be critical. The company must also improve cash generation and reduce leverage over time, making disciplined integration and capital allocation important to sustaining operational and financial progress.
Mission Produce’s Estimate Revision Trend
The Zacks Consensus Estimate for AVO’s fiscal 2026 and 2027 EPS remained unchanged in the last seven days. For fiscal 2026, the Zacks Consensus Estimate for AVO’s sales implies year-over-year growth of 3.6%, whereas EPS implies a decline of 17.7%. The consensus mark for fiscal 2027 sales and earnings suggests year-over-year growth of 12.4% and 29.2%, respectively.
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research
Is AVO’s Premium Valuation Justified?
Mission Produce is currently trading at a forward 12-month P/E multiple of 16.37X, above the industry average of 14.67X.
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research
While this valuation may appear stretched at first glance, it remains well below the company’s five-year peak multiple of 58.58X, suggesting room for potential upside. The premium valuation signals that investors continue to factor in solid growth prospects and expect strong future performance from AVO.
At its current valuation, Mission Produce trades at a notable premium to several close competitors, including Dole, Adecoagro and Archer Daniels, all of which are delivering lower earnings multiples. Dole, Adecoagro and Archer Daniels have forward 12-month P/E ratios of 9.29X, 9.05X and 15.15X — all significantly lower than that of AVO.
Should You Buy, Hold or Sell AVO Stock?
Mission Produce’s growth prospects remain supported by resilient avocado demand, improving sourcing flexibility, higher expected Peruvian production and the benefits of the Calavo acquisition. Management’s increased synergy expectations and outlook for stronger fiscal fourth-quarter profitability also support the earnings trajectory. Although avocado price volatility, integration-related execution risks, elevated leverage and a premium valuation remain concerns, the company’s improving operating backdrop and longer-term growth potential provide support. AVO currently carries a Zacks Rank #2 (Buy), suggesting that investors may consider adding the stock to their portfolios while monitoring progress on margin recovery, synergy realization, cash-flow improvement and debt reduction.
You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here.