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Can Rising Customer Demand Enhance Xcel Energy's Growth Prospects?

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Key Takeaways

  • Xcel Energy sees rising electricity demand supporting infrastructure investments and rate-base expansion.
  • XEL expects 2026 weather-adjusted electric sales to rise about 3%, with strong large-load demand.
  • Xcel Energy plans $70 billion in capital investment through 2030 as its large-load pipeline tops 20 GW.

Xcel Energy (XEL - Free Report) is benefiting from rising electricity demand from data centers, manufacturing, energy development and electrification. This demand supports additional infrastructure investments, transmission upgrades and rate-base expansion.

In the second quarter of 2026, weather-adjusted year-to-date electric sales increased 2.1%, driven by higher activity in the energy sector in Southwestern Public Service and manufacturing across its operating companies. XEL expects full-year 2026 weather-adjusted electric sales to increase about 3% and retail firm natural gas sales to rise  1%.

The company sees strong large-load demand, with 1 gigawatt (GW) of data centers operating or under construction and 1 GW under signed agreements. It expects 4 GW more by the end of 2027, including 1 GW in 2026, while its pipeline exceeds 20 GW.

The company is pursuing a strategic capital investment plan to develop infrastructure and maintain service reliability, supporting rising customer demand. Xcel Energy expects to invest $70 billion in total capital through 2030, comprising $60 billion in base capital expenditures and more than $10 billion in incremental investments.

XEL targets more than 6-8% long-term earnings growth and 9% average annual EPS growth through 2030. Thus, sustained load expansion and strategic infrastructure development could strengthen XEL’s financial performance and enhance shareholder value over time.

Increasing Customer Demand Boosts Utility Growth

Rising electricity demand from data centers, manufacturing and electrification is creating new growth opportunities for utilities. Higher customer loads encourage investments in generation and grid infrastructure, expanding regulated asset bases.

Alliant Energy’s (LNT - Free Report) growth is supported by rising customer demand, as temperature-normalized retail electric and gas sales increased in the second quarter of 2026. Expected 60% load growth by 2031 supports additional generation and infrastructure investments.

NextEra Energy’s (NEE - Free Report) subsidiary Florida Power & Light benefited from continued customer growth in second-quarter 2026, as customer growth and mix contributed 1.4%, while retail electricity sales increased 0.4% year over year overall.

The Zacks Rundown on XEL

XEL’s Earnings Estimates

The Zacks Consensus Estimate for 2026 and 2027 EPS indicates a year-over-year increase of 8.42% and 9.32%, respectively.

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Debt to Capital

XEL's debt-to-capital currently stands at 62.12%, lower than the  Zacks Utility - Electric Power industry’s 62.33%.

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XEL’s Stock Price Performance

In the past six months, the company’s shares have plunged 12% compared with the industry’s 14.8% decline.

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XEL’s Zacks Rank

XEL currently carries a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold). You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here.

 

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