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Ulta Beauty Raises 2026 Outlook as E-Commerce Momentum Accelerates

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Key Takeaways

  • Ulta Beauty raised fiscal 2026 sales, comparable-sales and earnings guidance after a strong second quarter.
  • E-commerce sales grew at a high-teens rate, marking ULTA's sixth straight quarter of double-digit growth.
  • ULTA faces tougher comparisons, flat recent transactions and only modest expected margin improvement.

Ulta Beauty, Inc. (ULTA - Free Report) raised its fiscal 2026 outlook after a better-than-expected second quarter, putting the focus on whether stronger digital growth, loyalty engagement and newer business platforms can sustain the improved earnings trajectory.

The operating update was encouraging, but the second half brings tougher comparisons, subdued recent transaction growth and only modest expected margin improvement. That leaves execution as the key test behind the higher full-year baseline.

Ulta Beauty’s Q2 Beat Sets a Higher 2026 Baseline

Ulta Beauty reported second-quarter fiscal 2026 earnings of $6.55 per share, up 13.3% year over year and above the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $6.21. Net sales increased 8.9% to $3.04 billion, also topping the consensus mark of $2.97 billion.

Ulta Beauty Inc. Revenue (Quarterly YoY Growth)

Ulta Beauty Inc. Revenue (Quarterly YoY Growth)

Ulta Beauty Inc. revenue-quarterly-yoy-growth | Ulta Beauty Inc. Quote

Comparable sales rose 3.8%, while operating income increased 10.1% to $379.6 million. Operating margin improved to 12.5% from 12.4% a year earlier, giving the company a stronger first-half base heading into the balance of the year.

ULTA’s Digital Momentum Broadens the Growth Mix

E-commerce remained a key contributor. Sales grew at a high-teens rate, marking Ulta Beauty’s sixth consecutive quarter of double-digit e-commerce growth.

The company’s store network is also supporting digital scale. More than 50% of e-commerce orders were fulfilled through more than 1,500 store locations, while the mobile app accounted for more than 60% of online sales.

That combination gives Ulta Beauty a broader omnichannel growth mix, with stores functioning as both selling locations and fulfillment nodes while digital engagement continues to deepen. e.l.f. Beauty, Inc. (ELF - Free Report) , which reported 36% sales growth in its latest quarter, provides another sign that beauty demand remains active across digital and brand-led channels, though its business model differs from Ulta Beauty’s retail platform.

Ulta Beauty’s Guidance Upgrade Lifts Expectations

Management raised fiscal 2026 guidance after the stronger first-half performance. Net sales growth is now expected at 6.7%-7.2%, up from the prior 6%-7% range.

Comparable-sales growth is projected at 3.2%-3.7% versus the earlier 2.5%-3.5% range, while operating-income growth is expected at 8.3%-9.3%, compared with 6.5%-9% previously.

The company also increased its earnings outlook to $28.70-$29.00 per share from $28.36-$28.80. The higher ranges establish a more demanding financial benchmark for the second half.

Zacks Investment Research
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research

ULTA’s Margin Outlook Keeps the Upside Measured

The guidance increase does not imply a major margin expansion story. Management still expects fiscal 2026 gross margin to remain roughly flat.

Space NK business mix, higher fuel costs and competitive requirements are among the factors weighing on gross-margin leverage. Ulta Beauty also retains promotional flexibility if competition or consumer demand requires a stronger value response.

Operating margin is expected to improve only modestly for the year, so the upgraded outlook still depends more on sales growth, expense discipline and execution than on a sharp increase in profitability.

Ulta Beauty’s Second-Half Test Gets Tougher

Management expects second-half fiscal 2026 net sales growth of 4%-5%, comparable-sales growth of 2%-3% and operating-profit growth of 6%-8%. Those expectations reflect tougher comparisons after a stronger first half.

Traffic remains another key variable. Second-quarter comparable-sales growth was driven mainly by a 3.9% increase in average ticket, while transactions were roughly flat.

Peer results show why traffic and category execution remain important. Sally Beauty Holdings, Inc. (SBH - Free Report) posted only 0.2% consolidated sales growth in its latest reported quarter, with comparable sales flat and Beauty Systems Group comparable sales down 2.1%. The businesses are not directly comparable, but SBH’s softer demand profile illustrates how uneven beauty spending can be across channels and categories.

Delivering the higher full-year outlook will therefore require Ulta Beauty to sustain ticket strength while improving or at least stabilizing traffic, managing promotions and navigating more difficult year-over-year comparisons.

ULTA’s Growth Score Leads a Mixed Signal Set

Ulta Beauty currently carries a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold). It also has a Growth Score of B, Value Score of C, Momentum Score of D and VGM Score of C. You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here.

The Growth Score is consistent with the raised fiscal 2026 guidance and stronger earnings momentum. The broader Style Score mix is more measured, with the Value and VGM readings in the middle and the Momentum Score weaker.

The operating update raises expectations, but the stock’s signal set still points to a balanced setup. Continued e-commerce strength and execution against the upgraded outlook would support the growth case, while traffic, promotions and margin constraints remain the main second-half tests.

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