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HP's Strong Q4 Outlook and FlexRobotics Drive Investor Focus

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Key Takeaways

  • Helmerich & Payne expects fiscal fourth-quarter margins near the high end of its guided range.
  • International Solutions is expected to deliver about $45 million in direct margins for the quarter.
  • ExxonMobil plans seven more FlexRobotics systems, bringing its total deployment to nine.

Helmerich & Payne (HP - Free Report) is heading into the end of fiscal 2026 with encouraging operating momentum. The company recently said it expects direct margins across the North America Solutions, International Solutions and Offshore Solutions businesses to come in at or near the high end of their previously issued fiscal fourth-quarter guidance. The update also points to steady activity across its portfolio and a constructive start to fiscal 2027. Separately, HP is expanding its FlexRobotics relationship with ExxonMobil Holdings Corporation (XOM - Free Report) , adding another potential avenue for technology-led growth.

Fiscal Q4 Performance on Track

Helmerich & Payneexpects its North America Solutions average rig count to be near the high end of its fiscal fourth-quarter guided range. This is important because the segment remains the company’s largest operating business and provides a key source of earnings and cash generation.

International Solutions is expected to post an average rig count near the midpoint of its range, while Offshore Solutions is also expected to come in around the midpoint for the average rig count and management contracts.

The margin outlook is particularly notable in International Solutions. Helmerich & Payneexpects the segment to generate direct margins of around $45 million during the quarter, near the upper end of the previously provided $25-$45 million range. Management highlighted the performance as a strong finish to fiscal 2026, even as geopolitical disruptions continue to affect activity in parts of the Middle East.

The company said other financial guidance items provided with its Aug. 5 earnings release remain unchanged. That stability gives investors greater visibility into the expected fiscal fourth-quarter performance rather than suggesting that the improved margin outlook is being driven by a broad revision to the company’s overall assumptions.

Encouraging Fiscal 2027 Setup

HP’s comments also extend beyond the fiscal fourth-quarter results. Management expects overall direct margins in fiscal 2027 to be stronger than in fiscal 2026, supported by customer discussions and contracting activity across its global portfolio. In North America, the company sees activity remaining robust and commercial trends continuing to support the business.

Internationally, the outlook is more mixed. HP expects stronger activity in Latin America to partly offset near-term reductions in the Middle East. This geographic diversification remains an important feature of the company’s strategy because stronger performance in one region can help cushion disruptions in another.

Management also reiterated its commitment to reducing leverage to approximately 1x net debt to adjusted EBITDA by calendar year-end 2027 while maintaining the base dividend. The combination of improving margins, sustained activity and a stated balance-sheet objective could support investor confidence in the company’s medium-term financial profile.

FlexRobotics Deployment Adds a Technology Catalyst

On the same day, Helmerich & Payne announced that ExxonMobil is expanding its use of FlexRobotics technology. After the initial deployment of two systems on HP rigs, ExxonMobil plans to add seven more systems over the next 12 months. That would bring the total number of FlexRobotics systems operating for ExxonMobil to nine.

This expansion is strategically important because it demonstrates that HP’s automation technology is moving beyond initial deployments and into broader operational use. FlexRobotics is designed to automate repetitive rig-floor activities, which can reduce employee exposure to higher-risk tasks while improving consistency, precision and operating efficiency.

For Helmerich & Payne, a wider deployment with a major customer such as ExxonMobil provides validation of the technology’s commercial value. This can also strengthen the company’s broader automation portfolio and deepen its relationship with an important industry customer. While the announcement does not disclose financial terms, the planned increase from two systems to nine represents a meaningful expansion in scope.

The technology opportunity is particularly relevant as drilling contractors look for ways to improve performance without relying solely on higher rig counts. Automation can help customers extract greater efficiency from existing operations, making technology adoption an additional growth lever alongside traditional drilling activity.

Bottom Line

HP’s Oct. 7 update provides investors with two distinct positives. Near term, the company expects fiscal fourth-quarter direct margins to land at or near the upper end of guidance, with North America activity remaining strong and International Solutions delivering an expected $45 million in direct margins. Longer term, management sees stronger overall direct margins in fiscal 2027, supported by customer activity and a more favorable outlook in Latin America.

At the same time, the expanded ExxonMobil FlexRobotics deployment strengthens HP’s position in drilling automation and shows that customers are increasingly adopting its technology. The combination of solid operating execution, international opportunities, automation growth and a focus on balance-sheet improvement gives HP a constructive setup as it enters fiscal 2027.

HP's Zacks Rank & Key Picks

Currently, HP and XOM have a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold) each.

Investors interested in the energy sector might consider some better-ranked stocks, such as Marathon Petroleum (MPC - Free Report) and Delek US Holdings (DK - Free Report) , each sporting a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy). You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank stocks here.

Marathon Petroleum is valued at $126.22 billion. The company is a leading U.S. independent refiner, marketer and transporter of petroleum products, with a strong refining footprint and an extensive midstream business. Marathon Petroleum benefits from its integrated operations, strategic refining assets and diversified earnings streams across the energy value chain.

Delek US Holdings is valued at $4.63 billion. It is a diversified downstream energy company engaged in petroleum refining, renewable fuels, asphalt production and logistics operations. Delek US Holdings operates multiple refineries in the United States and is committed to delivering safe, reliable energy while investing in cleaner energy initiatives.

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