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Intuit Stock Gains Nearly 9% in 3 Months: Is More Upside Still Ahead?

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Key Takeaways

  • INTU shares gained 8.7% in three months, driven by mid-market and financial services growth.
  • Intuit expects 9%-10% revenue growth in fiscal 2027 despite sluggish customer gains.
  • INTU's premium valuation and competitive tax pricing call for caution amid acquisition challenges.

After a difficult stretch earlier this year, Intuit Inc. (INTU - Free Report) is showing signs of stabilization. Its latest results highlight demand for QuickBooks, TurboTax Live and financial services, while management shifts attention toward attracting new users. Coming quarters will test whether these businesses can support a recovery in customer acquisition. 

Over the past three months, INTU shares have advanced approximately 8.7%. Over the same period, tax-services rival H&R Block (HRB - Free Report) rose 11.6%, while financial-technology player Block (XYZ - Free Report) declined 1.7%. These differing price paths reflect contrasting investor expectations for growth. 

Intuit spans tax preparation, small-business accounting, consumer finance and payments. H&R Block focuses on tax services, whereas Block serves merchants and consumers through Square and Cash App. Intuit's broader product mix brings several revenue opportunities but leaves it exposed to pricing competition, changing customer preferences and artificial intelligence.

3-Month Price Performance

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INTU’s Growth Engines Extend Beyond Traditional Tax Software

Intuit ended fiscal 2026 with revenues of $21.4 billion, up 14%, and GAAP diluted earnings per share growth of 20%. Its assisted-tax, money and mid-market businesses collectively expanded more than 30%, representing about 30% of total revenues. Mid-market revenues jumped 39% to $1.6 billion, supported by demand for QuickBooks Online Advanced and Intuit Enterprise Suite. Business money revenues increased 31% to $1.8 billion, showing how payments and related services are becoming more important. 

The opportunity lies in expanding these relationships rather than relying only on subscription increases. Intuit Enterprise Suite's annualized revenue exceeded $145 million in the fourth quarter, four times the year-earlier level. Meanwhile, Intuit said 2.5 million customers use Intuit Intelligence automations and insights monthly. These tools could improve retention and service adoption, although higher usage will need to translate into sustained revenue growth.

Fiscal 2027 Could Test INTU’s Customer Acquisition Plan

On the Investor Day, Management reaffirmed fiscal 2027 revenue guidance of $23.28-$23.51 billion, implying growth of 9-10%, slower than fiscal 2026. Global Business Solutions revenues are projected to grow 13-14%, while TurboTax revenues are expected to rise only 2-3%. The company is deliberately adjusting tax pricing to compete with lower-cost alternatives, which may reduce revenue earned per new tax customer initially. Management aims to return to durable double-digit company revenue growth over the longer term.

Customer growth remains the key weakness. Total online paying customers increased just 3% in fiscal 2026, including Mailchimp, and TurboTax lost one percentage point of IRS e-filing share. QuickBooks Free and Lite aim to widen the entry point for smaller firms, while more competitive TurboTax offers seek to rebuild the do-it-yourself customer base. These changes may support longer-term gains, but results will depend on conversion, retention and cross-selling.

INTU’s Balance Sheet and Capital Returns Provide Support

The balance sheet and capital returns provide some support. Intuit repurchased $5.5 billion in shares during fiscal 2026 and raised its quarterly dividend by 15%. Its renewed NFL partnership through 2030 and expanded small-business accelerator program may also increase customer awareness. Spending to attract new customers and improve AI capabilities remains an important factor to monitor.

INTU’s Estimate Revisions Depict a Mixed Trend of Late

INTU’s estimates for fiscal 2027 have remained unchanged over the past 30 days. However, the same for fiscal 2028 has been revised marginally upward over the same period.

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INTU's Premium Valuation Warrants a Closer Look

Intuit trades at about 3.33 times forward 12-month sales, compared with 1.27 times for H&R Block and 1.62 times for Block. The premium reflects Intuit's broader software and services reach, faster recent revenue growth and opportunities to serve customers throughout the year. 

Valuation

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What Should Investors Do With INTU Stock Now?

Intuit's recent share-price recovery has support from mid-market growth, expanding financial services and improving AI adoption. Fiscal 2027 guidance also points to continued earnings growth despite a slower revenue outlook. Still, the customer acquisition reset, competitive tax pricing and a valuation above H&R Block and Block leave limited room for disappointing execution. 

Existing shareholders have reasons to remain invested while following quarterly evidence of better customer gains and sustained service adoption. For investors considering fresh exposure, waiting for clearer signs that QuickBooks entry-level offerings and TurboTax pricing changes are strengthening growth appears more measured than acting solely on the recent rally.

At present, INTU carries a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold). You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here.

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