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Can Marsh Beat Q3 Earnings on Risk and Insurance Services Strength?
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Key Takeaways
Marsh is set to report Q3 earnings on Oct. 15, with EPS estimated at $1.96 on $6.63 billion in revenues.
Risk and Insurance Services revenues are projected to rise 4.1%, with adjusted operating income up 5.6%.
Marsh may face a nearly 3% rise in operating expenses and an expected 27% drop in interest income in Q3.
Marsh & McLennan Companies, Inc. (MRSH - Free Report) is set to report third-quarter 2026 results on Oct. 15, before the opening bell. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for the to-be-reported quarter’s earnings is currently pegged at $1.96 per shareon revenues of $6.63 billion.
The third-quarter earnings estimate has witnessed two upward revisions and four downward movements over the past 60 days. The bottom-line projection still indicates a year-over-year increase of 6%. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for quarterly revenues implies year-over-year growth of 4.5%.
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research
For the full year 2026, the Zacks Consensus Estimate for Marsh’s revenues is pegged at $28.52 billion, implying growth of 5.7% year over year. The consensus mark for the current year EPS is pegged at $10.44, signaling an increase of around 7.1% on a year-over-year basis.
Marsh’s earnings beat the consensus estimate in each of the last four quarters, with the average surprise being 4.1%.
Our proven model predicts a likely earnings beat for the company this time around as well. The combination of a positive Earnings ESP and a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy), 2 (Buy) or 3 (Hold) increases the odds of an earnings beat. That’s precisely the case here.
Marsh has an Earnings ESP of +0.42% and a Zacks Rank #3. You can uncover the best stocks to buy or sell before they’re reported with our Earnings ESP Filter.
What’s Shaping MRSH’s Q3 Results?
Both the Zacks Consensus Estimate and our model estimate for total Risk and Insurance Services revenues indicate 4.1% year-over-year growth. Revenues from the United States and Canada are expected to grow 4.5% from a year ago. Adjusted operating income from the Risk and Insurance Services segment is pegged at $1.02 billion, indicating 5.6% growth.
The consensus mark for total Mercer revenues suggests a 3.7% year-over-year jump, while our model suggests 3% growth. The consensus estimate for total Consulting revenues indicates 4.9% year-over-year growth, whereas our model signals a 4.1% increase. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for adjusted operating income from the segment of $565.7 million signals a 3.8% rise from a year ago.
The consensus estimate for consolidated organic revenue growth is pegged at 3.9% for the to-be-reported quarter. The above-mentioned factors are likely to have positioned MRSH for year-over-year growth and an earnings beat in the third quarter. However, rising costs will likely partly offset the positives.
Our model estimate for total operating expenses is pegged at $5.32 billion, which suggests a nearly 3% year-over-year increase due to higher compensation, benefits and other operating expenses. Also, the consensus mark for interest income signals a 27% decline from a year ago.
Other Stocks That Warrant a Look
Here are some other companies worth considering from the broader insurance space, as our model shows that these, too, have the right combination of elements to beat on earnings this time around:
The Zacks Consensus Estimate for MetLife’s bottom line for the to-be-reported quarter is pegged at $2.64 per share, a 12.8% jump from a year ago. The consensus estimate for MET’s revenues is pegged at $20.10 billion, indicating 12.3% year-over-year growth.
Prudential Financial, Inc. (PRU - Free Report) has an Earnings ESP of +0.69% and a Zacks Rank of 2.
The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Prudential Financial’s bottom line for the to-be-reported quarter is pegged at $3.44 per share, which witnessed five upward estimate revisions over the past 60 days against one downward movement. The consensus estimate for PRU’s revenues is pegged at $14.60 billion.
Willis Towers Watson Public Limited Company (WTW - Free Report) has an Earnings ESP of +0.52% and a Zacks Rank #3.
The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Willis Towers’ bottom line for the to-be-reported quarter is pegged at $3.60 per share, which indicates 17.3% year-over-year growth. The consensus estimate for WTW’s revenues is pegged at $2.48 billion, an 8.3% increase from a year ago.
View the Zacks #1 Rank List
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Can Marsh Beat Q3 Earnings on Risk and Insurance Services Strength?
Key Takeaways
Marsh & McLennan Companies, Inc. (MRSH - Free Report) is set to report third-quarter 2026 results on Oct. 15, before the opening bell. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for the to-be-reported quarter’s earnings is currently pegged at $1.96 per shareon revenues of $6.63 billion.
The third-quarter earnings estimate has witnessed two upward revisions and four downward movements over the past 60 days. The bottom-line projection still indicates a year-over-year increase of 6%. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for quarterly revenues implies year-over-year growth of 4.5%.
For the full year 2026, the Zacks Consensus Estimate for Marsh’s revenues is pegged at $28.52 billion, implying growth of 5.7% year over year. The consensus mark for the current year EPS is pegged at $10.44, signaling an increase of around 7.1% on a year-over-year basis.
Marsh’s earnings beat the consensus estimate in each of the last four quarters, with the average surprise being 4.1%.
Marsh Price and EPS Surprise
Marsh price-eps-surprise | Marsh Quote
Q3 Earnings Whispers for MRSH
Our proven model predicts a likely earnings beat for the company this time around as well. The combination of a positive Earnings ESP and a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy), 2 (Buy) or 3 (Hold) increases the odds of an earnings beat. That’s precisely the case here.
Marsh has an Earnings ESP of +0.42% and a Zacks Rank #3. You can uncover the best stocks to buy or sell before they’re reported with our Earnings ESP Filter.
What’s Shaping MRSH’s Q3 Results?
Both the Zacks Consensus Estimate and our model estimate for total Risk and Insurance Services revenues indicate 4.1% year-over-year growth. Revenues from the United States and Canada are expected to grow 4.5% from a year ago. Adjusted operating income from the Risk and Insurance Services segment is pegged at $1.02 billion, indicating 5.6% growth.
The consensus mark for total Mercer revenues suggests a 3.7% year-over-year jump, while our model suggests 3% growth. The consensus estimate for total Consulting revenues indicates 4.9% year-over-year growth, whereas our model signals a 4.1% increase. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for adjusted operating income from the segment of $565.7 million signals a 3.8% rise from a year ago.
The consensus estimate for consolidated organic revenue growth is pegged at 3.9% for the to-be-reported quarter. The above-mentioned factors are likely to have positioned MRSH for year-over-year growth and an earnings beat in the third quarter. However, rising costs will likely partly offset the positives.
Our model estimate for total operating expenses is pegged at $5.32 billion, which suggests a nearly 3% year-over-year increase due to higher compensation, benefits and other operating expenses. Also, the consensus mark for interest income signals a 27% decline from a year ago.
Other Stocks That Warrant a Look
Here are some other companies worth considering from the broader insurance space, as our model shows that these, too, have the right combination of elements to beat on earnings this time around:
MetLife, Inc. (MET - Free Report) has an Earnings ESP of +2.04% and a Zacks Rank of 2. You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank stocks here.
The Zacks Consensus Estimate for MetLife’s bottom line for the to-be-reported quarter is pegged at $2.64 per share, a 12.8% jump from a year ago. The consensus estimate for MET’s revenues is pegged at $20.10 billion, indicating 12.3% year-over-year growth.
Prudential Financial, Inc. (PRU - Free Report) has an Earnings ESP of +0.69% and a Zacks Rank of 2.
The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Prudential Financial’s bottom line for the to-be-reported quarter is pegged at $3.44 per share, which witnessed five upward estimate revisions over the past 60 days against one downward movement. The consensus estimate for PRU’s revenues is pegged at $14.60 billion.
Willis Towers Watson Public Limited Company (WTW - Free Report) has an Earnings ESP of +0.52% and a Zacks Rank #3.
The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Willis Towers’ bottom line for the to-be-reported quarter is pegged at $3.60 per share, which indicates 17.3% year-over-year growth. The consensus estimate for WTW’s revenues is pegged at $2.48 billion, an 8.3% increase from a year ago.