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Amphenol Gains 12% in Three Months: Buy, Sell, or Hold the Stock?

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Key Takeaways

  • Amphenol shares gained 11.8% in three months, fueled by strong AI demand and diversified markets.
  • APH projects Q3 2026 revenue growth of 50-52% and adjusted EPS growth of 51-53% year over year.
  • APH's 27.82X forward P/E, weak communications demand and automotive uncertainty remain key concerns.

Amphenol (APH - Free Report) shares have rallied 11.8% in the past three months, outperforming the broader Zacks Computer & Technology sector’s return of 7.5%.

The company’s shares have also outperformed its peers, which include Vertiv (VRT - Free Report) and TE Connectivity (TEL - Free Report) . Both Vertiv and TE Connectivity are expanding their footprint in the AI Infrastructure space. While Vertiv’s shares have plunged 20.6%, TE Connectivity shares have gained 10.1% in the past three-month period.

The outperformance can be attributed to the diversified business model. Its strong portfolio of solutions, including high-technology interconnect products, is a key catalyst. The company is seeing strong demand for high-speed, power and fiber interconnect products, led by AI-related IT datacom programs and supported by defense, commercial air and diversified industrial applications. Acquisitions are also helping Amphenol expand its position across a broad array of technologies and markets.

APH Stock Performance

Zacks Investment Research
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research

APH Rides on Strong AI Demand & Diversified End-Markets

Amphenol is benefiting from robust demand for AI-driven connectivity solutions, expanding investments in data center infrastructure and its diversified end-market exposure.

The company’s strong position in high-speed copper, fiber-optic and power interconnect solutions is helping it capitalize on accelerating investments in AI data centers and next-generation computing infrastructure. IT datacom has become APH’s largest end market, which accounted for 43% of second-quarter 2026 sales. Sales in this market surged 89% year over year and 22% sequentially, driven by accelerating demand for products used in AI applications. Amphenol expects IT datacom revenues to grow in the mid-teens sequentially in the third quarter of 2026, supported by accelerating AI data center investments and strengthening enterprise and cloud demand.

Amphenol’s strengthening position in optical connectivity has been noteworthy. The acquisition of CommScope’s Connectivity and Cable Solutions business has expanded its advanced fiber-optic interconnect capabilities and customer relationships. Amphenol now expects CommScope to contribute $4.6 billion in revenues and 30 cents in earnings per share accretion in 2026, up from its previous expectations of $4.1 billion and 15 cents, respectively. This reflects improving operational efficiency and growing AI-related demand.

Amphenol’s diversified end-market exposure has been a major growth driver. In the second quarter, defense revenues increased 37% year over year, driven by broad-based demand for advanced interconnect solutions. Commercial aerospace revenues grew 22% year over year, supported by higher aircraft production and increasing electronic content. Industrial revenues surged 56% year over year, driven by strength in factory automation, electrification, instrumentation and building connectivity. Automotive revenues increased 9%, supported by growing demand for vehicles with electrified drivetrains.

APH Initiates Positive Q3 2026 Guidance

Amphenol’s outlook for the third quarter of 2026 remains strong, driven by accelerating AI infrastructure investments, robust demand for high-speed connectivity solutions and broad-based strength across diversified end markets. The company expects revenues between $9.3 billion and $9.4 billion, representing year-over-year growth of 50-52%. Adjusted earnings per share are projected to be between $1.40 and $1.42, indicating growth of 51-53% year over year.

The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Amphenol’s third-quarter 2026 revenues is pegged at $9.30 billion, suggesting growth of 50.17% year over year.

The Zacks Consensus Estimate for third-quarter 2026 earnings is pegged at 72 per share, up by a penny over the past 30 days and indicating 53.2% growth over the year-ago quarter’s reported figure.

APH Faces Demand Uncertainty and Competitive Pressures

Despite Amphenol’s strong growth momentum, weakness in the communications networks market and automotive demand uncertainty remain concerns. Communications networks revenues declined 6% organically in the second quarter of 2026, reflecting softer demand from network operators and wireless equipment manufacturers. The company expects revenues from this market to decline in the mid-teens sequentially in the third quarter of 2026. Automotive demand uncertainty and seasonal fluctuations could also constrain growth. 

Stiff competition from companies like Bel Fuse (BELFB - Free Report) in the AI Infrastructure space also remains a concern. Bel Fuse’s Industrial Technology & Data Solutions (“ITDS”) segment includes power supplies, fuses, integrated connector modules and transformers used in networking, data centers and AI applications. In the second quarter of 2026, ITDS revenues jumped 31.1% year over year to $100.2 million, while Data Solutions revenues surged 55%, aided by the beginning of a ramp tied to high-performance computing project wins. The dataMate acquisition also expanded Bel Fuse’s Data Solutions portfolio.

APH Stock Is Trading at a Premium

Amphenol is currently overvalued, as suggested by a Value Score of D.

In terms of the forward 12-month price-to-earnings (P/E), APH is currently trading at 27.82X compared with the broader Computer and Technology sector’s 20.93X.

APH Valuation

Zacks Investment Research
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research

Conclusion

Amphenol’s strong AI-driven demand, diversified end-market exposure and strategic acquisitions bode well for its long-term growth prospects. However, weakness in communications networks, automotive demand uncertainty and intensifying competition from companies like Bel Fuse, TE Connectivity and Vertiv remain headwinds. Stretched valuation also remains a concern.

Amphenol currently carries a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold), suggesting that it may be wise to wait for a more favorable entry point in the stock. You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here. 

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