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Should You Buy, Hold or Sell Goldman Stock Post Impressive Q3 Results?
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Key Takeaways
Goldman's Q3 EPS jumped 39% y/y to $17.01, while net revenues rose 23% to $18.68B.
Investment banking fees increased 40% y/y in the first nine months of 2026, while AWM revenues grew 15% y/y.
AI initiatives, stronger liquidity aid growth, but rising expenses and moderating earnings warrant caution.
The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc. (GS - Free Report) delivered impressive third-quarter 2026 results, driven by robust equities trading activity, higher investment banking (IB) fees, and growth in asset and wealth management revenues. The company's earnings per share jumped 39% year over year to $17.01, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 31.9%.
Net revenues increased 23% to $18.68 billion, supported by a 72% surge in equities trading revenues and a 21% rise in investment banking fees. The company's annualized return on equity improved to 18.7% from 14.2% in the year-ago quarter, reflecting strong profitability. However, elevated operating expenses, relatively subdued fixed-income trading performance and uncertainties surrounding capital market activity remain concerning.
Despite strong performance, the GS stock currently trades at a discount to the industry. The stock is trading at a forward price/earnings (P/E) of 12.53X, below the industry average of 12.60X. Its peers JPMorgan (JPM - Free Report) and Morgan Stanley (MS - Free Report) are trading at a P/E of 13.26X and 14.36X, respectively.
Price-to-Earnings F12M
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research
Given these mixed factors, investors may wonder whether Goldman's solid earnings momentum makes the GS stock an attractive buy or whether a cautious approach is warranted. To answer this, let us delve deeper and analyze what will drive GS performance.
Investment Banking Driving GS Momentum
Goldman continues to benefit from the recovery in global IB activity, supported by increased mergers and acquisitions (M&A), initial public offerings, and underwriting volumes.
The momentum was also evident in the first nine months of 2026, with IB fees jumping 40% year over year to $9.46 billion. Advisory revenues rose 34% to $4.53 billion, while equity and debt underwriting revenues increased 73% and 29% to $2.19 billion and $2.75 billion, respectively.
Looking ahead, Goldman's leadership position and robust deal pipeline bode well for continued growth. The company has maintained its #1 position in announced and completed M&A volumes and equity underwriting year to date, advising on $1.5 trillion of announced M&A transactions. Despite strong revenue generation in the third quarter, management indicated that its investment banking backlog remains robust, supported by sustained client engagement and replenishment in equity underwriting.
Management continues to view the capital markets environment favorably, with opportunities arising from strategic dealmaking, technology investments and AI infrastructure financing. Although higher interest rates and macroeconomic uncertainties could affect deal activity, GS's leading market position and healthy pipeline position it well to capitalize on the ongoing investment banking recovery.
GS's Strategic Streamlining Is Paying Off
Goldman continues to streamline its operations by exiting non-core consumer banking businesses and strengthening its core franchises. Under CEO David Solomon, the company has been strategically shifting its focus toward Global Banking & Markets (GBM) and Asset & Wealth Management (AWM), wherein it maintains strong competitive advantages and sees opportunities to build more durable revenue streams.
In sync with these efforts, in August 2026, Goldman announced an agreement to acquire NEOS Investments, a provider of derivative income exchange-traded funds (ETFs). The acquisition is expected to increase Goldman's global active ETF assets under supervision to more than $90 billion, positioning it among the top eight providers by assets. The company also announced an agreement to acquire LCN Capital Partners, expanding its private real estate investment capabilities.
In April 2026, Goldman acquired Innovator Capital Management, strengthening its active ETF offerings. In the same month, it completed the divestiture of its Polish asset management business, Goldman Sachs TFI, to ING Bank Slaski. These initiatives complement its broader efforts to reduce exposure to non-core consumer banking operations, including the transition of the General Motors credit card program in 2025 and the planned transfer of the Apple Card program to JPMorgan.
The benefits of Goldman's strategic repositioning are increasingly evident in its financial performance. For the first nine months of 2026, GBM revenues jumped 34% to $41.72 billion, while AWM revenues rose 15% to $13.73 billion.
Notably, management highlighted that durable revenues have more than doubled since its 2020 Investor Day and accounted for approximately 45% of the total revenues in the first nine months of 2026. These developments reflect Goldman's progress in building a more diversified earnings base, improving revenue stability and strengthening its long-term growth prospects.
AI-Led Initiatives to Transform GS Business
Goldman continues to accelerate its firmwide artificial intelligence transformation, focusing on improving productivity, streamlining operations and driving long-term operating leverage. The company is integrating AI across its core businesses, including trading, investment banking, asset management and internal operations, to enhance efficiency and strengthen its competitive position.
In July 2026, Goldman's Asset Management unit launched AlphaAI, an AI-focused investment platform designed to capitalize on AI-driven investment opportunities across public and private markets. In May 2026, Goldman partnered with Anthropic, Blackstone and Hellman & Friedman to establish a $1.5-billion AI services venture designed to accelerate AI adoption across portfolio companies. These initiatives underscore the company's efforts to leverage AI for both investment opportunities and operational improvements.
At the center of Goldman's transformation are One Goldman Sachs 3.0 (OneGS 3.0) and the GS AI Assistant program. OneGS 3.0 is a multi-year initiative focused on embedding AI into the company's operating model by simplifying workflows, automating processes, modernizing infrastructure and improving data management. Meanwhile, the GS AI Assistant is designed to enhance employee productivity by supporting information analysis, content generation and routine tasks, allowing professionals to focus on higher-value activities and client engagement.
In the third-quarter 2026 earnings call, management highlighted significant opportunities arising from growing AI infrastructure investments, particularly increased demand for data centers and computing capacity. Goldman expects its financing, advisory and investment capabilities to position it favorably to capitalize on these opportunities. However, management also emphasized the need for disciplined underwriting and prudent risk management as AI-related financing requirements expand.
Goldman's focus on operating efficiency is also reflected in its latest results. In the first nine months of 2026, the company's efficiency ratio improved to 59.4% from 62.1% in the year-ago period, reflecting better operating leverage and aligning with its 60% target. While investments in AI and technology may keep expenses elevated in the near term, continued automation and process improvements could enhance scalability, support revenue growth, and strengthen long-term profitability.
GS Robust Liquidity Aids Capital Distribution
Goldman maintains a strong balance sheet, supported by robust liquidity and capital levels. Its solid financial position allows the company to return capital to shareholders through share repurchases and regular dividend payments while maintaining sufficient flexibility to support business expansion.
As of Sept. 30, 2026, Goldman's deposits totaled $568 billion, up from $558 billion as of June 30, 2026. Unsecured long-term borrowings stood at $352 billion. The company's average global core liquid assets increased to $574 billion in the third quarter from $555 billion in the preceding quarter, providing a substantial liquidity cushion. Meanwhile, its standardized Common Equity Tier 1 capital ratio stood at 12.4%, 100 basis points above the current regulatory requirement of 11.4%.
Following the Federal Reserve's 2026 stress test, GS increased its quarterly common stock dividend by 11% to $5 per share. Similarly, JPMorgan announced a 10% increase in its quarterly dividend to $1.65 per share in September. Morgan Stanley increased its quarterly dividend by 15% to $1.15 per share in the third quarter of 2026.
In the third quarter of 2026, the company returned $4.49 billion to common shareholders, including $3 billion through share repurchases and $1.49 billion in dividends. In the first quarter of 2025, the board had approved a share repurchase program of up to $40 billion of common stock. As of Sept. 30, 2026,
Goldman had nearly $19 billion worth of shares available under authorization. Supported by robust liquidity, solid earnings generation and capital levels above regulatory requirements, Goldman appears well-positioned to sustain shareholder-friendly capital distributions while pursuing growth opportunities. However, the pace of future buybacks will depend on regulatory capital requirements and business investment needs.
Goldman's Earnings Prospects & Price Performance
Over the past seven days, the Zacks Consensus Estimate for 2026 and 2027 earnings has remained unchanged. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Goldman's 2026 and 2027 earnings implies year-over-year growth of 31.5% and 6.9%, respectively.
Estimate Revision Trend
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research
Shares of Goldman have jumped 16.1% in the past year, outperforming the industry's growth of 7.2%, and its peers JPMorgan and Morgan Stanley's rallies of 8.4% and 14.7%, respectively.
Price Performance
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research
Final Thoughts on GS Stock
Goldman's strong IB pipeline, solid trading performance and growing contribution from AWM revenues provide a favorable outlook for earnings growth. The company's strategic repositioning toward its core businesses, coupled with AI-driven efficiency initiatives, should support operating leverage and improve earnings stability over the long term. Further, its robust liquidity and capital position offer flexibility to pursue growth opportunities while maintaining shareholder-friendly capital distributions.
However, sustaining the recent earnings momentum could prove challenging amid elevated operating expenses, relatively subdued fixed-income trading performance and uncertainties surrounding capital market activity. Moreover, although GS trades at a discount to the industry and its peers, the stock's 16.1% appreciation over the past year suggests that investors have already factored in some of its improving fundamentals. With earnings growth projected to moderate from 31.5% in 2026 to 6.9% in 2027, the scope for valuation expansion may be limited unless revenue growth and operating efficiency improve meaningfully.
Thus, existing investors should retain the GS stock to benefit from its strong franchise, improving revenue diversification and long-term growth prospects. However, prospective investors may be better off waiting for a more attractive entry point or clearer evidence of sustained earnings growth before initiating fresh positions.
Image: Bigstock
Should You Buy, Hold or Sell Goldman Stock Post Impressive Q3 Results?
Key Takeaways
The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc. (GS - Free Report) delivered impressive third-quarter 2026 results, driven by robust equities trading activity, higher investment banking (IB) fees, and growth in asset and wealth management revenues. The company's earnings per share jumped 39% year over year to $17.01, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 31.9%.
Net revenues increased 23% to $18.68 billion, supported by a 72% surge in equities trading revenues and a 21% rise in investment banking fees. The company's annualized return on equity improved to 18.7% from 14.2% in the year-ago quarter, reflecting strong profitability. However, elevated operating expenses, relatively subdued fixed-income trading performance and uncertainties surrounding capital market activity remain concerning.
Despite strong performance, the GS stock currently trades at a discount to the industry. The stock is trading at a forward price/earnings (P/E) of 12.53X, below the industry average of 12.60X. Its peers JPMorgan (JPM - Free Report) and Morgan Stanley (MS - Free Report) are trading at a P/E of 13.26X and 14.36X, respectively.
Price-to-Earnings F12M
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research
Given these mixed factors, investors may wonder whether Goldman's solid earnings momentum makes the GS stock an attractive buy or whether a cautious approach is warranted. To answer this, let us delve deeper and analyze what will drive GS performance.
Investment Banking Driving GS Momentum
Goldman continues to benefit from the recovery in global IB activity, supported by increased mergers and acquisitions (M&A), initial public offerings, and underwriting volumes.
The momentum was also evident in the first nine months of 2026, with IB fees jumping 40% year over year to $9.46 billion. Advisory revenues rose 34% to $4.53 billion, while equity and debt underwriting revenues increased 73% and 29% to $2.19 billion and $2.75 billion, respectively.
Looking ahead, Goldman's leadership position and robust deal pipeline bode well for continued growth. The company has maintained its #1 position in announced and completed M&A volumes and equity underwriting year to date, advising on $1.5 trillion of announced M&A transactions. Despite strong revenue generation in the third quarter, management indicated that its investment banking backlog remains robust, supported by sustained client engagement and replenishment in equity underwriting.
Management continues to view the capital markets environment favorably, with opportunities arising from strategic dealmaking, technology investments and AI infrastructure financing. Although higher interest rates and macroeconomic uncertainties could affect deal activity, GS's leading market position and healthy pipeline position it well to capitalize on the ongoing investment banking recovery.
GS's Strategic Streamlining Is Paying Off
Goldman continues to streamline its operations by exiting non-core consumer banking businesses and strengthening its core franchises. Under CEO David Solomon, the company has been strategically shifting its focus toward Global Banking & Markets (GBM) and Asset & Wealth Management (AWM), wherein it maintains strong competitive advantages and sees opportunities to build more durable revenue streams.
In sync with these efforts, in August 2026, Goldman announced an agreement to acquire NEOS Investments, a provider of derivative income exchange-traded funds (ETFs). The acquisition is expected to increase Goldman's global active ETF assets under supervision to more than $90 billion, positioning it among the top eight providers by assets. The company also announced an agreement to acquire LCN Capital Partners, expanding its private real estate investment capabilities.
In April 2026, Goldman acquired Innovator Capital Management, strengthening its active ETF offerings. In the same month, it completed the divestiture of its Polish asset management business, Goldman Sachs TFI, to ING Bank Slaski. These initiatives complement its broader efforts to reduce exposure to non-core consumer banking operations, including the transition of the General Motors credit card program in 2025 and the planned transfer of the Apple Card program to JPMorgan.
The benefits of Goldman's strategic repositioning are increasingly evident in its financial performance. For the first nine months of 2026, GBM revenues jumped 34% to $41.72 billion, while AWM revenues rose 15% to $13.73 billion.
Notably, management highlighted that durable revenues have more than doubled since its 2020 Investor Day and accounted for approximately 45% of the total revenues in the first nine months of 2026. These developments reflect Goldman's progress in building a more diversified earnings base, improving revenue stability and strengthening its long-term growth prospects.
AI-Led Initiatives to Transform GS Business
Goldman continues to accelerate its firmwide artificial intelligence transformation, focusing on improving productivity, streamlining operations and driving long-term operating leverage. The company is integrating AI across its core businesses, including trading, investment banking, asset management and internal operations, to enhance efficiency and strengthen its competitive position.
In July 2026, Goldman's Asset Management unit launched AlphaAI, an AI-focused investment platform designed to capitalize on AI-driven investment opportunities across public and private markets. In May 2026, Goldman partnered with Anthropic, Blackstone and Hellman & Friedman to establish a $1.5-billion AI services venture designed to accelerate AI adoption across portfolio companies. These initiatives underscore the company's efforts to leverage AI for both investment opportunities and operational improvements.
At the center of Goldman's transformation are One Goldman Sachs 3.0 (OneGS 3.0) and the GS AI Assistant program. OneGS 3.0 is a multi-year initiative focused on embedding AI into the company's operating model by simplifying workflows, automating processes, modernizing infrastructure and improving data management. Meanwhile, the GS AI Assistant is designed to enhance employee productivity by supporting information analysis, content generation and routine tasks, allowing professionals to focus on higher-value activities and client engagement.
In the third-quarter 2026 earnings call, management highlighted significant opportunities arising from growing AI infrastructure investments, particularly increased demand for data centers and computing capacity. Goldman expects its financing, advisory and investment capabilities to position it favorably to capitalize on these opportunities. However, management also emphasized the need for disciplined underwriting and prudent risk management as AI-related financing requirements expand.
Goldman's focus on operating efficiency is also reflected in its latest results. In the first nine months of 2026, the company's efficiency ratio improved to 59.4% from 62.1% in the year-ago period, reflecting better operating leverage and aligning with its 60% target. While investments in AI and technology may keep expenses elevated in the near term, continued automation and process improvements could enhance scalability, support revenue growth, and strengthen long-term profitability.
GS Robust Liquidity Aids Capital Distribution
Goldman maintains a strong balance sheet, supported by robust liquidity and capital levels. Its solid financial position allows the company to return capital to shareholders through share repurchases and regular dividend payments while maintaining sufficient flexibility to support business expansion.
As of Sept. 30, 2026, Goldman's deposits totaled $568 billion, up from $558 billion as of June 30, 2026. Unsecured long-term borrowings stood at $352 billion. The company's average global core liquid assets increased to $574 billion in the third quarter from $555 billion in the preceding quarter, providing a substantial liquidity cushion. Meanwhile, its standardized Common Equity Tier 1 capital ratio stood at 12.4%, 100 basis points above the current regulatory requirement of 11.4%.
Following the Federal Reserve's 2026 stress test, GS increased its quarterly common stock dividend by 11% to $5 per share. Similarly, JPMorgan announced a 10% increase in its quarterly dividend to $1.65 per share in September. Morgan Stanley increased its quarterly dividend by 15% to $1.15 per share in the third quarter of 2026.
In the third quarter of 2026, the company returned $4.49 billion to common shareholders, including $3 billion through share repurchases and $1.49 billion in dividends. In the first quarter of 2025, the board had approved a share repurchase program of up to $40 billion of common stock. As of Sept. 30, 2026,
Goldman had nearly $19 billion worth of shares available under authorization.
Supported by robust liquidity, solid earnings generation and capital levels above regulatory requirements, Goldman appears well-positioned to sustain shareholder-friendly capital distributions while pursuing growth opportunities. However, the pace of future buybacks will depend on regulatory capital requirements and business investment needs.
Goldman's Earnings Prospects & Price Performance
Over the past seven days, the Zacks Consensus Estimate for 2026 and 2027 earnings has remained unchanged. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Goldman's 2026 and 2027 earnings implies year-over-year growth of 31.5% and 6.9%, respectively.
Estimate Revision Trend
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research
Shares of Goldman have jumped 16.1% in the past year, outperforming the industry's growth of 7.2%, and its peers JPMorgan and Morgan Stanley's rallies of 8.4% and 14.7%, respectively.
Price Performance
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research
Final Thoughts on GS Stock
Goldman's strong IB pipeline, solid trading performance and growing contribution from AWM revenues provide a favorable outlook for earnings growth. The company's strategic repositioning toward its core businesses, coupled with AI-driven efficiency initiatives, should support operating leverage and improve earnings stability over the long term. Further, its robust liquidity and capital position offer flexibility to pursue growth opportunities while maintaining shareholder-friendly capital distributions.
However, sustaining the recent earnings momentum could prove challenging amid elevated operating expenses, relatively subdued fixed-income trading performance and uncertainties surrounding capital market activity. Moreover, although GS trades at a discount to the industry and its peers, the stock's 16.1% appreciation over the past year suggests that investors have already factored in some of its improving fundamentals. With earnings growth projected to moderate from 31.5% in 2026 to 6.9% in 2027, the scope for valuation expansion may be limited unless revenue growth and operating efficiency improve meaningfully.
Thus, existing investors should retain the GS stock to benefit from its strong franchise, improving revenue diversification and long-term growth prospects. However, prospective investors may be better off waiting for a more attractive entry point or clearer evidence of sustained earnings growth before initiating fresh positions.
At present, GS carries a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold). You can see the complete list of today's Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here.