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Compared to Estimates, VALE (VALE) Q3 Earnings: A Look at Key Metrics

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For the quarter ended September 2026, VALE S.A. (VALE - Free Report) reported revenue of $10.6 billion, up 1.7% over the same period last year. EPS came in at $0.29, compared to $0.63 in the year-ago quarter.

The reported revenue compares to the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $10.14 billion, representing a surprise of +4.49%. The company delivered an EPS surprise of -12.12%, with the consensus EPS estimate being $0.33.

While investors scrutinize revenue and earnings changes year-over-year and how they compare with Wall Street expectations to determine their next move, some key metrics always offer a more accurate picture of a company's financial health.

Since these metrics play a crucial role in driving the top- and bottom-line numbers, comparing them with the year-ago numbers and what analysts estimated about them helps investors better project a stock's price performance.

Here is how VALE performed in the just reported quarter in terms of the metrics most widely monitored and projected by Wall Street analysts:
  • Volume sold in tons - Pellets: 8,720.00 Kmt versus 7,881.35 Kmt estimated by two analysts on average.
  • Volume sold in tons - Nickel: 49.80 Kmt versus 47.41 Kmt estimated by two analysts on average.
  • Volume sold in tons - Fins: 75,513.00 Kmt versus 75,454.48 Kmt estimated by two analysts on average.
  • Volume sold in tons - ROM: 2,052.00 Kmt versus 2,024.73 Kmt estimated by two analysts on average.
  • Volume sold in tons - Copper: 86.30 Kmt versus the two-analyst average estimate of 86.30 Kmt.
  • Average Price - Iron ore pellets realized price: $134.00 versus $133.94 estimated by two analysts on average.
  • C1 cash cost - Iron ore fins - excluding third-party purchase costs: $23.10 versus $23.75 estimated by two analysts on average.
  • Revenue- Vale Base Metals: $2.83 billion versus $2.5 billion estimated by two analysts on average. Compared to the year-ago quarter, this number represents a +41.8% change.
  • Revenue- Iron ore solutions- fines: $6.43 billion versus the two-analyst average estimate of $6.57 billion. The reported number represents a year-over-year change of -9.2%.
  • Revenue- Vale Base Metals- Copper: $1.52 billion versus the two-analyst average estimate of $1.36 billion. The reported number represents a year-over-year change of +75.4%.
  • Revenue- Vale Base Metals- Nickel: $1.34 billion compared to the $1.24 billion average estimate based on two analysts. The reported number represents a change of +102.3% year over year.
  • Revenue- Iron ore solution- Pellets: $1.17 billion compared to the $1.06 billion average estimate based on two analysts. The reported number represents a change of +1.9% year over year.

View all Key Company Metrics for VALE here>>>

Shares of VALE have returned -14.5% over the past month versus the Zacks S&P 500 composite's +0.9% change. The stock currently has a Zacks Rank #5 (Strong Sell), indicating that it could underperform the broader market in the near term.

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