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Keurig Dr Pepper Q3 Earnings Beat on Beverage Growth, Sales Miss
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Key Takeaways
KDP's Q3 adjusted EPS rose to 66 cents, beating estimates, while sales increased 70.6% to $7.3 billion.
KDP's U.S. Refreshment Beverages sales grew 10.9%, while U.S. Coffee operating income advanced 11.4%.
KDP reaffirmed 2026 sales guidance of $25.9-$26.4 billion, while legacy EPS growth expectations narrowed.
Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. (KDP - Free Report) reported third-quarter 2026 results, with adjusted earnings beating the Zacks Consensus Estimate while net sales fell short. Both the top and bottom lines improved year over year, supported by refreshment beverage growth and contributions from the JDE Peet's acquisition.
KDP posted adjusted earnings per share of 66 cents, beating the Zacks Consensus Estimate of 63 cents and increasing 22.2% year over year. Net sales of $7.3 billion missed the consensus estimate of $7.4 billion, but advanced 70.6% year over year. Legacy KDP volume/mix grew 6.5%.
Keurig Dr Pepper, Inc Price, Consensus and EPS Surprise
U.S. Refreshment Beverages delivered net sales of $3 billion, beating the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $2.9 billion and up 10.9% year over year. Growth was driven by a 7.2% increase in volume/mix and favorable net price realization of 3.7%.
Adjusted operating income increased 8.3% to $884 million in line with the Zacks Consensus Estimate, representing 29.1% of segment sales. Higher revenues and productivity savings supported profitability, partly offset by inflationary pressures and increased selling, general and administrative (SG&A) expenses, including higher marketing investments.
The segment maintained its double-digit sales growth momentum. However, adjusted operating income growth trailed sales growth as cost pressures and increased marketing spending weighed on profitability.
Keurig's U.S. Coffee Business Shows Improvement
The U.S. Coffee segment generated net sales of $1,018 million, beating the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $968 million and increasing 2.7% year over year. Volume/mix growth of 6.9% more than offset a 4.2% decline in net price realization, supporting the segment's sales increase.
Adjusted operating income rose 11.4% to $353 million, beating the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $311 million, with the adjusted operating margin reaching 34.7%. Profitability benefited from tariff refunds, higher volume/mix, productivity savings and cost synergies.
These benefits more than offset unfavorable pricing, inflationary pressures and increased marketing expenses. The segment's earnings growth reflected operating improvements and tariff refunds despite continued cost pressures.
KDP's JDE Peet's Acquisition Supports Profitability
The JDE Peet's segment contributed net sales of $2.6 billion in the quarter. The acquisition closed on April 1, 2026, making the segment's contribution entirely incremental compared with the prior-year period.
Adjusted operating income totaled $480 million, representing an adjusted operating margin of 18.1%. The segment contributed to coffee profitability as KDP continued its broader investments in brands and capabilities and advanced integration efforts. Management highlighted JDE Peet's strong profitability as a key aspect of the company's coffee performance.
KDP also continued preparations for its planned separation into two businesses, with ongoing investments aimed at supporting their future operations.
Keurig's International Sales Advance
KDP International reported net sales of $644 million, which beat the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $640 million and increased 11% year over year. On a constant-currency basis, revenues advanced 7.6%, supported by favorable net price realization of 5.7% and volume/mix growth of 1.9%.
Adjusted operating income was $160 million, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $180 million and down 0.6% year over year on a constant-currency adjusted basis. The adjusted operating margin reached 24.8%.
Profitability faced pressure from higher costs, including the Mexico beverage tax and increased marketing expenses. These pressures offset the benefits of higher sales and productivity savings, resulting in a modest decline in constant-currency adjusted operating income.
KDP's Operating Performance and Financial Position
KDP's adjusted operating income increased 52.5% year over year on a constant-currency basis to $1.7 billion. The adjusted operating margin was 22.7%. Growth benefited from higher sales and productivity savings, although inflation and increased SG&A expenses moderated the gains.
The company recorded a $99-million benefit from tariff refunds during the quarter. Adjusted net income attributable to common shareholders increased 22.1% to $905 million. Higher interest expenses, non-operating costs and earnings allocations to preferred investors partly offset operating income growth.
Operating cash flow totaled approximately $1 billion, while free cash flow reached approximately $1 billion.
As of Sept. 30, 2026, cash and cash equivalents were $1.3 billion. Long-term obligations stood at $21.6 billion, while total stockholders' equity was $25.4 billion.
Keurig's 2026 Outlook Reflects Coffee Revisions
This Zacks Rank #4 (Sell) company reaffirmed its 2026 guidance, projecting constant-currency net sales of $25.9-$26.4 billion and constant-currency adjusted EPS growth in the low-double-digit range.
The outlook incorporates approximately $8.3-$8.4 billion in revenues from the JDE Peet's acquisition and a 7-8-percentage-point contribution to adjusted EPS growth. Management now anticipates 3-5% constant-currency EPS growth for the legacy KDP business, reflecting revised expectations for U.S. Coffee.
Based on current exchange rates, foreign currency translation is expected to contribute approximately half a percentage point to full-year sales and earnings growth.
Management remains focused on delivering its financial commitments and completing the remaining milestones required for the planned separation of its beverage and coffee businesses.
KDP’s shares have gained 18.6% in the past three months compared with the industry’s 5.2% growth.
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research
Stocks to Consider
Some better-ranked stocks have been discussed below:
Lamb Weston Holdings, Inc. (LW - Free Report) engages in the production, distribution and marketing of frozen potato products in the United States, Canada, Mexico and internationally. LW currently sports a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy). You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank stocks here.
The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Lamb Weston's current fiscal-year sales indicates a decline of 0.5%, and the same for earnings indicates growth of 7.6% from the prior-year levels. Lamb Weston delivered a trailing four-quarter earnings surprise of 22.1%, on average.
Mama’s Creations, Inc. (MAMA - Free Report) , together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and markets fresh deli-prepared foods in the United States. MAMA currently carries a Zacks Rank of 2 (Buy).
The Zacks Consensus Estimate for MAMA's current fiscal-year sales & earnings implies growth of 47.9% and 66.7%, respectively, from the year-ago actuals. MAMA delivered a trailing four-quarter negative earnings surprise of 121.7%, on average.
Embotelladora Andina S.A. (AKO.B - Free Report) , together with its subsidiaries, produces, bottles, commercializes, and distributes Coca-Cola trademark beverages in Chile, Brazil, Argentina and Paraguay. The company currently carries a Zacks Rank of 2.
The Zacks Consensus Estimate for AKO.B’s current fiscal-year sales and earnings indicates growth of 12.4% and 17.9%, respectively, from the year-ago reported figures. The company delivered a trailing four-quarter negative earnings surprise of 4.1%, on average.
View the Zacks #1 Rank List
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Keurig Dr Pepper Q3 Earnings Beat on Beverage Growth, Sales Miss
Key Takeaways
Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. (KDP - Free Report) reported third-quarter 2026 results, with adjusted earnings beating the Zacks Consensus Estimate while net sales fell short. Both the top and bottom lines improved year over year, supported by refreshment beverage growth and contributions from the JDE Peet's acquisition.
KDP posted adjusted earnings per share of 66 cents, beating the Zacks Consensus Estimate of 63 cents and increasing 22.2% year over year. Net sales of $7.3 billion missed the consensus estimate of $7.4 billion, but advanced 70.6% year over year. Legacy KDP volume/mix grew 6.5%.
Keurig Dr Pepper, Inc Price, Consensus and EPS Surprise
Keurig Dr Pepper, Inc price-consensus-eps-surprise-chart | Keurig Dr Pepper, Inc Quote
KDP's Beverage Business Sustains Growth
U.S. Refreshment Beverages delivered net sales of $3 billion, beating the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $2.9 billion and up 10.9% year over year. Growth was driven by a 7.2% increase in volume/mix and favorable net price realization of 3.7%.
Adjusted operating income increased 8.3% to $884 million in line with the Zacks Consensus Estimate, representing 29.1% of segment sales. Higher revenues and productivity savings supported profitability, partly offset by inflationary pressures and increased selling, general and administrative (SG&A) expenses, including higher marketing investments.
The segment maintained its double-digit sales growth momentum. However, adjusted operating income growth trailed sales growth as cost pressures and increased marketing spending weighed on profitability.
Keurig's U.S. Coffee Business Shows Improvement
The U.S. Coffee segment generated net sales of $1,018 million, beating the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $968 million and increasing 2.7% year over year. Volume/mix growth of 6.9% more than offset a 4.2% decline in net price realization, supporting the segment's sales increase.
Adjusted operating income rose 11.4% to $353 million, beating the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $311 million, with the adjusted operating margin reaching 34.7%. Profitability benefited from tariff refunds, higher volume/mix, productivity savings and cost synergies.
These benefits more than offset unfavorable pricing, inflationary pressures and increased marketing expenses. The segment's earnings growth reflected operating improvements and tariff refunds despite continued cost pressures.
KDP's JDE Peet's Acquisition Supports Profitability
The JDE Peet's segment contributed net sales of $2.6 billion in the quarter. The acquisition closed on April 1, 2026, making the segment's contribution entirely incremental compared with the prior-year period.
Adjusted operating income totaled $480 million, representing an adjusted operating margin of 18.1%. The segment contributed to coffee profitability as KDP continued its broader investments in brands and capabilities and advanced integration efforts. Management highlighted JDE Peet's strong profitability as a key aspect of the company's coffee performance.
KDP also continued preparations for its planned separation into two businesses, with ongoing investments aimed at supporting their future operations.
Keurig's International Sales Advance
KDP International reported net sales of $644 million, which beat the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $640 million and increased 11% year over year. On a constant-currency basis, revenues advanced 7.6%, supported by favorable net price realization of 5.7% and volume/mix growth of 1.9%.
Adjusted operating income was $160 million, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $180 million and down 0.6% year over year on a constant-currency adjusted basis. The adjusted operating margin reached 24.8%.
Profitability faced pressure from higher costs, including the Mexico beverage tax and increased marketing expenses. These pressures offset the benefits of higher sales and productivity savings, resulting in a modest decline in constant-currency adjusted operating income.
KDP's Operating Performance and Financial Position
KDP's adjusted operating income increased 52.5% year over year on a constant-currency basis to $1.7 billion. The adjusted operating margin was 22.7%. Growth benefited from higher sales and productivity savings, although inflation and increased SG&A expenses moderated the gains.
The company recorded a $99-million benefit from tariff refunds during the quarter. Adjusted net income attributable to common shareholders increased 22.1% to $905 million. Higher interest expenses, non-operating costs and earnings allocations to preferred investors partly offset operating income growth.
Operating cash flow totaled approximately $1 billion, while free cash flow reached approximately $1 billion.
As of Sept. 30, 2026, cash and cash equivalents were $1.3 billion. Long-term obligations stood at $21.6 billion, while total stockholders' equity was $25.4 billion.
Keurig's 2026 Outlook Reflects Coffee Revisions
This Zacks Rank #4 (Sell) company reaffirmed its 2026 guidance, projecting constant-currency net sales of $25.9-$26.4 billion and constant-currency adjusted EPS growth in the low-double-digit range.
The outlook incorporates approximately $8.3-$8.4 billion in revenues from the JDE Peet's acquisition and a 7-8-percentage-point contribution to adjusted EPS growth. Management now anticipates 3-5% constant-currency EPS growth for the legacy KDP business, reflecting revised expectations for U.S. Coffee.
Based on current exchange rates, foreign currency translation is expected to contribute approximately half a percentage point to full-year sales and earnings growth.
Management remains focused on delivering its financial commitments and completing the remaining milestones required for the planned separation of its beverage and coffee businesses.
KDP’s shares have gained 18.6% in the past three months compared with the industry’s 5.2% growth.
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research
Stocks to Consider
Some better-ranked stocks have been discussed below:
Lamb Weston Holdings, Inc. (LW - Free Report) engages in the production, distribution and marketing of frozen potato products in the United States, Canada, Mexico and internationally. LW currently sports a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy). You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank stocks here.
The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Lamb Weston's current fiscal-year sales indicates a decline of 0.5%, and the same for earnings indicates growth of 7.6% from the prior-year levels. Lamb Weston delivered a trailing four-quarter earnings surprise of 22.1%, on average.
Mama’s Creations, Inc. (MAMA - Free Report) , together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and markets fresh deli-prepared foods in the United States. MAMA currently carries a Zacks Rank of 2 (Buy).
The Zacks Consensus Estimate for MAMA's current fiscal-year sales & earnings implies growth of 47.9% and 66.7%, respectively, from the year-ago actuals. MAMA delivered a trailing four-quarter negative earnings surprise of 121.7%, on average.
Embotelladora Andina S.A. (AKO.B - Free Report) , together with its subsidiaries, produces, bottles, commercializes, and distributes Coca-Cola trademark beverages in Chile, Brazil, Argentina and Paraguay. The company currently carries a Zacks Rank of 2.
The Zacks Consensus Estimate for AKO.B’s current fiscal-year sales and earnings indicates growth of 12.4% and 17.9%, respectively, from the year-ago reported figures. The company delivered a trailing four-quarter negative earnings surprise of 4.1%, on average.