Back to top

Image: Bigstock

Can Marsh Sustain Consulting Momentum Despite an Expected Q4 Slowdown?

Read MoreHide Full Article

Key Takeaways

  • Marsh's Management Consulting revenues rose 14% in Q3, fueled by strong demand for AI-related projects.
  • MRSH expects roughly flat Q4 consulting revenues as some success fees were earned earlier than anticipated.
  • Marsh's Consulting segment posted 8% underlying revenue growth and a 9% rise in adjusted operating income.

Marsh & McLennan Companies, Inc. (MRSH - Free Report) is leaning on its consulting business to support earnings growth as softer insurance pricing creates challenges elsewhere. Strong demand for AI-related projects has fueled growth in Management Consulting, although an expected fourth-quarter slowdown could test this momentum.

Management Consulting revenues climbed 14% year over year to $1 billion in the third quarter, while underlying growth reached 11% for the first nine months. For the full year, however, the business is tracking toward high-single-digit growth, implying roughly flat fourth-quarter revenues. Some success fees, initially expected in the final quarter, were earned earlier, making the projected slowdown partly a matter of timing rather than a clear drop in client demand.

The financial stakes extend beyond this one business. Marsh's broader Consulting segment generated $2.7 billion in third-quarter revenues, with underlying growth of 8%. Adjusted operating income rose 9% to $593 million, showing how consulting activity contributes to profitability. Continued project wins and disciplined delivery could help protect earnings growth while property reinsurance pricing remains under pressure. Conversely, a prolonged slowdown would leave less room for margin improvement.

Looking ahead, demand for AI-related advisory services offers a promising avenue for growth. Marsh's ability to secure new projects, maintain client spending and convert consulting revenues into profits will shape its earnings trajectory. With solid year-to-date performance and opportunities in high-demand consulting areas, the business remains well-positioned to support profitability despite the expected near-term slowdown.

How Are MRSH’s Peers Placed?

Peers like Aon plc (AON - Free Report) and Willis Towers Watson Public Limited Company (WTW - Free Report) are navigating changing consulting demand while focusing on revenue growth and profitability.

Aon continues to benefit from demand for health and wealth advisory services, which recorded 6% and 4% organic growth, respectively, in the third quarter. Continued client demand could support AON's revenues, although uneven growth across its offerings may weigh on earnings momentum.

Willis Towers Watson recorded 4% organic revenue growth in its Health, Wealth & Career segment. Operating income grew 10%, outpacing revenue growth and indicating improved operating efficiency. This could support WTW's margins even if consulting demand moderates.

MRSH’s Price Performance, Valuation and Estimates

Shares of Marsh have gained 10.2% year to date, outperforming the broader industry’s 7.3% decline.

Zacks Investment Research
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research

From a valuation standpoint, Marsh trades at a forward price-to-earnings ratio of 18.09X, up from the industry average of 15.1X. MRSH currently carries a Value Score of C.

Zacks Investment Research
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research

The Zacks Consensus Estimate for 2026 earnings implies a 7.6% rise year over year, followed by 9% growth next year.

Zacks Investment Research
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research

The stock currently carries a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold). You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here.

Published in